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Early identification of struggling learners: using prematriculation and early academic performance data Cover

Early identification of struggling learners: using prematriculation and early academic performance data

Open Access
|Sep 2019

Figures & Tables

Table 1

Descriptive statistics of the measures of interest

Variable on ratio scale

Mean

SD

Range

Number of referrals to SPC

  0.58

  1.34

 0–10

Age (at matriculation)

 24.41

  3.66

20–39

MCAT total score

 31.14

  2.48

25–41

Undergraduate overall GPA

  3.57

  0.26

 2.55–4.00

Number of dependents

  0.19

  0.69

 0–7

Foundation module midterm NBME score

 74.94

  8.38

48–95

Foundation module final NBME score

 76.57

  7.44

55–96

Module average score (average of all assessments during Foundation module)

 80.06

  7.28

62.44–96.64

MSK module midterm NBME score

 79.92

  7.03

56–99

MSK module final NBME score

 83.57

  7.40

57–100

Average module score (average of all assessments during MSK module)

 82.20

  5.08

63.88–92.52

Variables on nominal scale

Category

Frequency

Valid percentage

Referral to SPC

Yes

384

76.95

No

115

23.05

Gender

Female

162

33.26

Male

325

66.74

Number of referrals

Number of students

Percentage

0

384

 73.7

1

 33

  6.3

2

 49

  9.4

3

 20

  3.8

4

 11

  2.1

5

 10

  1.9

6–11

 14

  2.8

SPC Student Promotions Committee, MCAT Medical College Admissions Test, GPA grade point average, NBME National Board of Medical Examiners, Foundation Foundation in Medicine, MSK Musculoskeletal Integument

Table 2

Logistic regression modelling of the outcome variable of whether a student was referred to the SPC

Explanatory variable

Exp (B) (p-value)

95% CI of Exp (B)

Nagelkerke R 2

Pre-matriculation variables

Gender (male as reference group) (Model 1)

0.44 (p < 0.01)

(0.26, 0.76)

Age (Model 1)

0.97 (p = 0.53)

(0.90, 1.06)

Number of dependents (Model 1)

0.87 (p = 0.56)

(0.55, 1.38)

MCAT total score (Model 1)

0.88 (p < 0.05)

(0.79, 0.98)

Undergraduate overall GPA (Model 1)

0.96 (p < 0.01)

(0.97, 0.99)

Adding pre-clerkship performance variables

Model 1:

Foundation module midterm NBME score

0.96 (p < 0.01)

(0.93, 0.99)

0.13

Model 2: Foundation module final NBME score

0.92 (p < 0.01)

(0.89, 0.95)

0.18

Model 3:

Average module score (average of all assessments during Foundation module)

0.98 (p = 0.20)

(0.95, 1.01)

0.11

Model 4:

MSK module midterm NBME score

0.90 (p < 0.01)

(0.87, 0.93)

0.21

Model 5:

MSK module final NBME score

0.90 (p < 0.01)

(0.87, 0.93)

0.22

Model 6:

Average module score (average of all assessments during MSK module)

0.92 (p< 0.05)

(0.86, 0.99)

0.13

SPC Student Promotions Committee, MCAT Medical College Admissions Test, GPA grade point average, Foundation Foundation in Medicine, NBME National Board of Medical Examiners, MSK Musculoskeletal Integument

Table 3

Negative binomial regression modelling of the outcome variable of how many times a student was referred to the SPC

Explanatory variable

Exp (B) (p-value)

95% CI of Exp (B)

AIC, BIC

Pre-matriculation variables

Gender (male as reference group) (Model 1)

0.62 (p < 0.05)

(0.43, 0.90)

Age (Model 1)

1.00 (p = 0.89)

(0.94, 1.05)

Number of dependents (Model 1)

0.73, (p = 0.10)

(0.50, 1.07)

MCAT total score (Model 1)

0.91, (p < 0.05)

(0.84, 0.98)

Undergraduate overall GPA (Model 1)

0.98, (p < 0.01)

(0.98, 0.99)

Adding pre-clerkship performance variables

Model 1:

Foundation module midterm NBME score

0.96, (p < 0.01)

(0.94, 0.98)

(849.68; 878.57)

Model 2: Foundation module final NBME score

0.92, (p < 0.01)

(0.90, 0.95)

(823.46; 852.33)

Model 3:

Module average score (average of all assessments during Foundation module)

0.97, (p < 0.01)

(0.95, 0.99)

(859.49; 888.36)

Model 4:

MSK module midterm NBME score

0.91, (p < 0.01)

(0.89, 0.94)

(808.32; 837.20)

Model 5:

MSK module final NBME score

0.91, (p < 0.01)

(0.89, 0.94)

(810.06; 838.93)

Model 6:

Module average score (average of all assessments during MSK module)

0.92, (p < 0.01)

(0.87, 0.96)

(342.91; 364.73)

SPC Student Promotions Committee, AIC Akaike information criteria, BIC Bayesian information criterion, MCAT Medical College Admissions Test, GPA grade point average, Foundation Foundation in Medicine, NBME National Board of Medical Examiners, MSK Musculoskeletal Integument

Language: English
Published on: Sep 27, 2019
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2019 Layne D. Bennion, Dario Torre, Steven J. Durning, David Mears, Deanna Schreiber-Gregory, Jessica T Servey, David F. Cruess, Michelle Yoon, Ting Dong, published by Bohn Stafleu van Loghum
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.