Skip to main content
Have a personal or library account? Click to login
Probability of Hydrogen Ignition: A Landscape Review and Gaps Assessment Cover

Probability of Hydrogen Ignition: A Landscape Review and Gaps Assessment

Open Access
|Feb 2026

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Example flammable material leak event tree. Adapted from Ronza, Vilchez and Casal (2007).

Table 1

The 13 possible hydrogen ignition sources and descriptions. Reproduced from BSI (2019) and Health & Safety Laboratory (2012).

IGNITION SOURCEDESCRIPTION
Hot surfacesThese can ignite hydrogen if they reach a temperature above the autoignition temperature of the gas.
Flames and hot gases (including hot particles)Flames can ignite hydrogen directly, while hot gases and particles can be an ignition source if they are of sufficient temperature to heat hydrogen above its ignition point.
Mechanically generated sparksSparks generated through mechanical means, such as grinding or impact between metals, can ignite hydrogen.
Electrical apparatusElectrical equipment can generate sparks or heat, which may ignite hydrogen under certain conditions.
Stray electric currents, cathodic corrosion protectionUnintended electric currents and those used for corrosion protection can, under certain conditions, lead to hydrogen ignition.
Static electricityThe build-up and discharge of static electricity can provide an ignition source for hydrogen.
LightningA direct lightning strike or related electrical discharge can ignite hydrogen.
Radio frequency (RF) electromagnetic wavesRF waves, typically from 104 Hz to 3 × 10¹¹ Hz, have been documented to cause ignition in certain conditions.
Electromagnetic wavesBroad range of electromagnetic waves, from 3 × 1011 Hz to 3 × 1015 Hz, may potentially ignite hydrogen under specific circumstances.
Ionizing radiationThis type of radiation can ionize hydrogen molecules and potentially lead to ignition, especially in the presence of oxygen.
UltrasonicsUltrasonic waves can create heat or mechanical vibrations that might ignite hydrogen in specific setups.
Adiabatic compression and shock wavesRapid compression of hydrogen can increase temperature and lead to ignition, as can shock waves under certain conditions, also known as ‘diffusion ignition’.
Exothermic reactions, including self-ignition of dustsChemical reactions that release heat can ignite hydrogen. This includes the self-ignition of dusts in the presence of hydrogen.
Figure 2

Minimum ignition energy of hydrogen as a function of concentration. Data from Lewis and von Elbe (1987).

Figure 3

Hot surface ignition temperature as a function of mole fraction. Reproduced with data from Mével et al. (2019).

Table 2

Comparison of immediate ignition probability models and the parameters considered in each model (Mulcahy and Ehrhart, 2025).

MODEL DESCRIPTIONTEMPERATURE (T)AITPRESSUREMIEMIEadj (T)ERFLOW RATEREFERENCE
BaselineXXXX(Moosemiller, 2011)
Baseline and Temp AdjXXXXX(Center for Chemical Process Safety, 2014)
Baseline and ER AdjXXXXX(Hankinson, Mathurkar and Lowesmith, 2009)
Baseline and Temp Adj and ER AdjXXXXXX(Mulcahy and Ehrhart, 2025)
TchouvelevX(Tchouvelev et al., 2006; Tchouvelev et al., 2007; Tchouvelev, 2008)
Dutch QRA GuidelinesX(Uijt de Haag and Ale, 2005)
Table 3

Comparison of delayed ignition probability models and the parameters considered in each model (Mulcahy and Ehrhart, 2025)

MODELIGN. SOURCE STRENGTHPROB. IGN. SOURCE PRESENTAREATIMESURFACE TEMPMULTIPLE IGNITION SOURCESFLOW RATEREFERENCE
Rew et al.XXXXX(Rew, Spencer and Daycock, 2000)
CCPSXX(Center for Chemical Process Safety, 2014)
SimmonsX(Simmons, 1974)
PesceXXXXX(Pesce et al., 2012)
TchouvelevX(Tchouvelev et al., 2006; Tchouvelev et al., 2007; Tchouvelev, 2008)
Dutch QRA GuidelinesXXXXX(Uijt de Haag and Ale, 2005)
Figure 4

Example fault tree framework showing how multiple ignition mechanisms could be combined to estimate an overall ignition probability.

Acronym/AbbreviationDefinition
AITAutoignition temperature
EREquivalence ratio
IA HySafeInternational Association of Hydrogen Safety
JRCJoint Research Centre
LFLLower flammability limit
MIEMinimum ignition energy
RFRadio frequency
SAFENSafe Energy Carriers
QRAQuantitative risk analysis
Language: English
Page range: 10 - 24
Submitted on: Oct 3, 2025
Accepted on: Jan 21, 2026
Published on: Feb 11, 2026
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2026 Ethan S. Hecht, Dusty M. Brooks, Brian D. Ehrhart, Alex Gupta, published by KIT Scientific Publishing
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.