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Time Series Prediction Model of Grey Wolf Optimized Echo State Network Cover

Time Series Prediction Model of Grey Wolf Optimized Echo State Network

Open Access
|May 2019

Abstract

As a novel recursion neural network, Echo State Networks (ESN) are characterized by strong nonlinear prediction capability and effective and straightforward training algorithms. However, conventional ESN predictions require a large volume of training samples. Meanwhile, the time sequence data are complicated and unstable, resulting in insufficient learning of this network and difficult training. As a result, the accuracies of conventional ESN predictions are limited. Aimed at this issue, a time series prediction model of Grey Wolf optimized ESN has been proposed. Wout of ESN was optimized using the Grey Wolf algorithm and predictions of time series data were achieved using simplified training. The results indicated that the optimized time series prediction method exhibits superior prediction accuracy at a small sample size, compared with conventional prediction methods.

Language: English
Submitted on: May 12, 2018
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Accepted on: Apr 3, 2019
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Published on: May 7, 2019
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2019 Huiqing Wang, Yingying Bai, Chun Li, Zhirong Guo, Jianhui Zhang, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.