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Normative future visioning: a critical pedagogy for transformative adaptation Cover

Normative future visioning: a critical pedagogy for transformative adaptation

Open Access
|Mar 2024

Figures & Tables

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Figure 1

Encounter–Change Framework for evaluating the contributions of NFV.

Table 1

Examples of empirical indicators for an evaluation of NFV based on critical (urban) pedagogies

COMPONENTCRITICAL (URBAN) PEDAGOGIESAPPLICATIONS IN NFV
EncountersNew views and experiences, peripheral territories and marginalised urban knowledges, structural domination patterns.Surfacing choices related to participation and inclusion (who is invited to imagine futures and why).
ConnectionsAcross knowledges, between individual experience and social/collective consciousness, between dominant and marginalised practices.Opening spaces for meaningful relationship building (e.g. between communities, scientists and decision makers), for sharing visions from collective lenses, and for understanding desires against trends and possibilities (connecting methods).
EmancipationThrough conflict and ‘unlearning’ of dominant views. New strategies for planning (e.g. from strict rationality to thinking-feeling, radical practices).Empowering marginalised groups through visioning processes and outputs; surfacing values; fostering spaces where future assumptions, technical interpretations and dominant practices can be challenged.
Action and ChangeEmbodying learning and practising what is learnt. Increased capacities leading to concerted social action. Solidarity and urban citizenship performances practised.Allowing spaces for strategising around impact on the basis of visions. Politicising visions and touching on the root causes and drivers of inequalities for critical adaptation practices.
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Figure 2

The Tomorrow’s Cities NFV approach.

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Figures 3 and 4

Individual life story and wheel of assets, Nairobi. Source: Tomorrow’s Cities archive.

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Figure 5

Collective storyline of youth group in Dar es Salaam.

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Figures 6 and 7

Examples of sketched land use plans in Istanbul (left) and Nablus (right).

Table 2

Evaluating the Tomorrow’s Cities NFV approach

EVALUATIVE COMPONENTWHAT/WHO IS ENCOUNTEREDWHAT/WHO IS CONNECTEDHOW EMANCIPATION HAPPENSHOW DOES IT TRIGGER ACTION & CHANGE
PeopleDifferent experiences, knowledges and worldviews. Stakeholder disaggregation emphasises power asymmetries.Contrasts and commonalities across visions surfaced.Stakeholders producing future claims through collective identities.Diverse groups recognising each other and working towards shared goals while recognising differences.
AspirationsDifferent ways of expressing feelings, past experiences, and future hopes through creative methods.Between individual and collective aspirations. Between past, present and future.A cohesive and desired travel trajectory and set of aspirations (as assets) is produced.Clarity in aspirations may catalyse or support concrete claims and struggles from marginalised groups.
SpaceLocal actors using planning tools and data that are usually not accessible.Between valued/desired assets and specific lands.Participants realising own local expertise and being recognised as peers by other stakeholders.Future lens challenging assumptions about aspirations and priorities could lead to changed behaviours from institutions.
PoliciesDiverse strategies to tackle future hazards and equity challenges through the exploration of different policy themes.Spatialised aspirations and measures that could either support such as aspirations or mitigate its negative consequences.Realised capacity to engage in problem framing and produce concrete solutions.Concrete policy designs that connect different themes (housing, environment etc.) could help to activate specific actors for concerted action.
Translation and ValidationScience-informed representations of priorities for the future.Local priorities balanced with scientific rigour and essential planning norms (trade-off thinking).Allowing the language of science to enhance the legitimacy of local priorities. Realised capacity to dialogue and challenge future assumptions and projections.Mutual understanding between local and scientific practitioners expanding the influence of NFV on policy.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.385 | Journal eISSN: 2632-6655
Language: English
Submitted on: Sep 18, 2023
Accepted on: Feb 21, 2024
Published on: Mar 20, 2024
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2024 Thaisa Comelli, Mark Pelling, Max Hope, Jonathan Ensor, Maria Evangelina Filippi, Emin Yahya Menteşe, John McCloskey, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.