Improving quantitative precipitation nowcasting with a local ensemble transform Kalman filter radar data assimilation system: observing system simulation experiments
By: Chih-Chien Tsai, Shu-Chih Yang and Yu-Chieng Liou
References
, , . A multicase comparative assessment of the ensemble Kalman filter for assimilation of radar observations. Part II: short-range ensemble forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev. 2010; 138: 1273– 1292. . An ensemble adjustment Kalman filter for data assimilation. Mon. Weather Rev. 2001; 129: 2884– 2903. Jr. , . Observing-systems simulation experiments: past, present, and future. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 1986; 67: 687– 695. , . A study of the error covariance matrix of radar rainfall estimates in stratiform rain. Weather Forecast. 2008; 23: 1085– 1101. , , . Adaptive sampling with the ensemble transform Kalman filter. Part I: theoretical aspects. Mon. Weather Rev. 2001; 129: 420– 436. , , , , , co-authors. On the forecasting of frontal rain using a weather radar network. Mon. Weather Rev. 1982; 110: 534– 552. . The rainfall intensity-duration control of shallow landslides and debris flows. Geogr. Ann. 1980; 62A: 23– 27. , , . A comparison between the 4DVAR and the ensemble Kalman filter techniques for radar data assimilation. Mon. Weather Rev. 2005; 133: 3081– 3094. , . Coupling an advanced land surface-hydrology model with the Penn State-NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part I: model implementation and sensitivity. Mon. Weather. Rev. 2001; 129: 569– 585. , , , . Short-term forecasting of a midlatitude convective storm by the assimilation of single–Doppler radar observations. Mon. Weather Rev. 2009; 137: 4115– 4135. . Sequential data assimilation with a nonlinear quasi-geostrophic model using Monte Carlo methods to forecast error statistics. J. Geophys. Res. 1994; 99: 10143– 10162. , , . The impacts of Taiwan topography on the predictability of Typhoon Morakot's record-breaking rainfall: a high-resolution ensemble simulation. Weather Forecast. 2011; 26: 613– 633. , . Scale-dependence of the predictability of precipitation from continental radar images. Part I: description of the methodology. Mon. Weather Rev. 2002; 130: 2859– 2873. , , , , . Balance and ensemble Kalman filter localization techniques. Mon. Weather Rev. 2011; 139: 511– 522. , , , . The rainfall intensity-duration control of shallow landslides and debris flows: an update. Landslides. 2008; 5: 3– 17. , . A hybrid ensemble Kalman filter-3D variational analysis scheme. Mon. Weather Rev. 2000; 128: 2905– 2919. , , . A new vertical diffusion package with an explicit treatment of entrainment processes. Mon. Weather Rev. 2006; 134: 2318– 2341. , , . Efficient data assimilation for spatiotemporal chaos: a local ensemble transform Kalman filter. Physica D. 2007; 230: 112– 126. . The Kain-Fritsch convective parameterization: an update. J. Appl. Meteorol. 2004; 43: 170– 181. . Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability. 2003; New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press. 340. , , , , , co-authors. “Variable localization” in an ensemble Kalman filter: application to the carbon cycle data assimilation. J. Geophys. Res. 2011; 116: D09110. , , , . A cloud-resolving 4DVAR assimilation experiment for a local heavy rainfall event in the Tokyo metropolitan area. Mon. Weather Rev. 2011; 139: 1911– 1931. , , , , . Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts for river basins. Weather Forecast. 1993; 8: 424– 439. , . Variational algorithms for analysis and assimilation of meteorological observations: theoretical aspects. Tellus A. 1986; 38: 97– 110. , , . Bulk parameterization of the snow field in a cloud model. J. Clim. Appl. Meteorol. 1983; 22: 1065– 1092. , , , . Doppler radar wind data assimilation with HIRLAM 3DVAR. Mon. Weather Rev. 2004; 132: 1081– 1092. , , , , , co-authors. Structure of precipitating systems over Taiwan's complex terrain during Typhoon Morakot (2009) as revealed by weather radar and rain gauge observations. J. Hydrology. 2013; 506: 14– 25. , , , . Can Lagrangian extrapolation of radar fields be used for precipitation nowcasting over complex Alpine orography?. Weather Forecast. 2012; 27: 28– 49. , . The distribution of raindrops with size. J. Meteorol. 1948; 5: 165– 166. , , . Ensemble Kalman filter and 4D-Var intercomparison with the Japanese operational global analysis and prediction system. Mon. Weather Rev. 2010; 138: 2846– 2866. , . Mesoscale assimilation of radial velocities from Doppler radars in a preoperational framework. Mon. Weather Rev. 2009; 137: 1939– 1953. . The impact of ensemble forecasts on predictability. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 1988; 114: 463– 493. - NCDR
. Disaster Survey and Analysis of Morakot Typhoon (in Chinese). 2010; New Taipei City, Taiwan: National Science and Technology Center for Disaster Reduction. 109. , , , , , co-authors. A local ensemble Kalman filter for atmospheric data assimilation. Tellus A. 2004; 56: 415– 428. , , . Comparison of methods used to generate probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts over South America. Weather Forecast. 2009; 24: 319– 336. . An objective analysis based on the variational method. J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn. 1958; 36: 77– 88. , , , , , co-authors. A Description of the Advanced Research WRF Version 3. 2008; Boulder, CO, USA: National Center for Atmospheric Research. 113. Jr. , , . Radar reflectivity factor calculations in numerical cloud models using bulk parameterization of precipitation processes. J. Appl. Meteorol. 1975; 14: 1156– 1165. , , . Ensemble probabilistic forecasts of a tornadic mesoscale convective system from ensemble Kalman filter analyses using WSR-88D and CASA radar data. Mon. Weather Rev. 2012; 140: 2126– 2146. , , , , . An examination of WRF 3DVAR radar data assimilation on its capability in retrieving unobserved variables and forecasting precipitation through observing system simulation experiments. Mon. Weather Rev. 2009; 137: 4011– 4029. . Initialization and numerical forecasting of a supercell storm observed during STEPS. Mon. Weather Rev. 2005; 133: 793– 813. , . Dynamical and microphysical retrieval from Doppler radar observations using a cloud model and its adjoint. Part I: model development and simulated data experiments. J. Atmos. Sci. 1997; 54: 1642– 1661. , , , , , co-authors. Use of NWP for nowcasting convective precipitation: recent progress and challenges (early online release). Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 2013, . Analysis and prediction of a squall line observed during IHOP using multiple WSR-88D observations. Mon. Weather Rev. 2008; 136: 2364– 2388. , , , , . Precipitation forecasting using Doppler radar data, a cloud model with adjoint, and the Weather Research and Forecasting model: real case studies during SoWMEX in Taiwan. Weather Forecast. 2011; 26: 975– 992. , . Ensemble Kalman filter assimilation of Doppler radar data with a compressible nonhydrostatic model: OSS experiments. Mon. Weather Rev. 2005; 133: 1789– 1807. , , . On the theoretical equivalence of differently proposed ensemble-3DVAR hybrid analysis schemes. Mon. Weather Rev. 2007; 135: 222– 227. , . Assimilating airborne Doppler radar observations with an ensemble Kalman filter for convection-permitting hurricane initialization and prediction: Katrina (2005). Mon. Weather Rev. 2012; 140: 841– 859. , . Ensemble data assimilation without perturbed observations. Mon. Weather Rev. 2002; 130: 1913– 1924. . Probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts derived from PoPs and conditional precipitation amount climatologies. Mon. Weather Rev. 1990; 118: 874– 882. , , , . Rainfall simulation associated with Typhoon Herb (1996) near Taiwan. Part I: the topographic effect. Weather Forecast. 2002; 17: 1001– 1015. , , , , , co-authors. Assimilation of Doppler radar observations with a regional 3DVAR system: impact of Doppler velocities on forecasts of a heavy rainfall case. J. Appl. Meteorol. 2005; 44: 768– 788. , . Multiple-radar data assimilation and short-range quantitative precipitation forecasting of a squall line observed during IHOP_2002. Mon. Weather Rev. 2007; 135: 3381– 3404. , , , , . Comparison of local ensemble transform Kalman filter, 3DVAR, and 4DVAR in a quasigeostrophic model. Mon. Weather Rev. 2009; 137: 693– 709. , , . Accelerating the EnKF spinup for typhoon assimilation and prediction. Weather Forecast. 2012; 27: 878– 897. , , , . Improving the spin-up of regional EnKF for typhoon assimilation and forecasting with Typhoon Sinlaku (2008). Tellus A. 2013; 65: 20804. , , , , . Cloud-resolving hurricane initialization and prediction through assimilation of Doppler radar observations with an ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Weather Rev. 2009; 137: 2105– 2125.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.21804 | Journal eISSN: 3035-9554
Language: English
Page range: 21804 - 21804
Submitted on: Jun 20, 2013
Accepted on: Jan 29, 2014
Published on: Dec 1, 2014
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Keywords:
© 2014 Chih-Chien Tsai, Shu-Chih Yang, Yu-Chieng Liou, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.