Fig. 1:
Summary of trends gathered from the literature review based on occurrence
| Political trends | Economic trends | Social trends | Technological trends | Environmental trends |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global shift in power balance, protectionism, global trade shift, polarisation | Demographic changes, localisation, labour shortage, increasing inequality | Urbanisation, individual consumption, increasing inequality, servitisation | Digitalisation, artificial intelligence, Industry 4.0, cyber-physical systems, blockchain technology | Climate change, resource scarcity, circular economy, sustainability, zero emissions, natural disasters |
Summary of the recurring key trends that will have an impact on Finnish logistics up to 2040
| Key trends | Political trends | Economic trends | Social trends | Technological trends | Environmental trends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West-East power balance | Ageing population | Demographic changes | Digitalisation | Climate change |
| 2 | Protectionism | Localisation | Urbanisation | Autonomy | Circular economy |
| 3 | Regulation | Circular economy | Individual consumption | Artificial Intelligence | Zero emissions |
Literature review results for different search items (situation in week 39/2021; Scopus, Taylor & Francis, Google Scholar and Science-Direct databases were searched again in weeks 6 and 7/2022)
| Research query | Scopus | ProQuest Ebook | Google Scholar | Taylor & Francis | ScienceDirect | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | Relevant | Results | Relevant | Results | Relevant | Results | Relevant | Results | Relevant | |
| CIV 1 | 14 | 1 | 48* | 1 | 1,060 | >5 | 39,509* | <5 | 106,159 | <5 |
| CIV 2 | 671 | 0 | 2* | 0 | 1,480 | >5 | 13,219* | <5 | 106,214 | <5 |
| MIL 1 | 0 | 0 | 96* | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MIL 2 | 0 | 0 | 82* | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ‘logistics trends’ 2040 | 5 | 1 | 4** | 1 | 91 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| ‘supply chain* trends’ 2040 | 2 | 0 | 5** | 1 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |