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Weibull or Lognormal Distribution to Characterize Fatigue Life Scatter – Which is More Suitable? – Continued Cover

Weibull or Lognormal Distribution to Characterize Fatigue Life Scatter – Which is More Suitable? – Continued

Open Access
|Jul 2025

Figures & Tables

Figure 1.

Lognormal and 3-parameter Weibull distribution of Schijve dataset fatigue test results a) reproduced from Schijve (2009, figure 12.3), and b) reanalysis for this paper.

Table 1.

Fatigue test results in Kilo Cycles (specimen number).

636 (13G)1160 (13J)1461 (12F)
707 (13H)1167 (12H)1511 (13C)
801 (13K)1262 (13A)2119 (12C)
1038 (12K)1265 (13B)2132 (13D)
1090 (13E)1404 (12G)2158 (12D)
1102 (12J)1418 (13F)2368 (12E)
Figure 2.

2-parameter Weibull distribution of Schijve dataset fatigue test results a) reproduced from Brot (2017, figure 18), and b) reanalysis for this paper.

Figure 3.

Lognormal distribution of Schijve dataset fatigue test results a) reproduced from Brot (2017, figure 19), and b) reanalysis for this paper.

Table 2.

Extrapolated fatigue life (Kilo Cycles) at probability of failure at 0.01% (=99.99% reliability).

DistributionFigure 2a distribution fitFigure 2b distribution fit
Weibull8686.3
Lognormal300303.4
Figure 4.

Lognormal and Weibull distribution of Schijve dataset fatigue test results a) with 3-parameter Weibull as used in Schijve analysis (2009), and b) with 2-parameter Weibull as used in Brot analysis in (2017).

Table 3.

Extrapolated fatigue life (Kilo Cycles) at probability of failure (reliability).

% Probability of failure (% reliability)Lognormal2-parameter Weibull3-parameter Weibull γ (gamma) = 503.4
1% (99%)521.7363.8582.5
0.1% (99.9%)387.5177.1525.7
0.01% (99.99%)303.486.3509.7
0.001% (99.999%)245.342.1505.2
0.0001% (99.9999%)202.820.5503.9
Table 4.

Extrapolated fatigue life normalised to γ(gamma) at probability of failure (reliability).

% Probability of failure (% reliability)Lognormal2-parameter Weibull3-parameter Weibull
1% (99%)1.0360.7231.157
0.1% (99.9%)0.7700.3521.044
0.01% (99.99%)0.6030.1711.013
0.001% (99.999%)0.4870.0841.004
0.0001% (99.9999%)0.4030.0411.001
Figure 5.

Lognormal and 2- and 3-parameter Weibull distributions of HBK dataset (logarithmic x-axis with numbers excluded to maintain data confidentiality).

Figure 6.

Lognormal and 2- and 3-parameter Weibull distributions of HBK dataset with confidence bounds for the lower tail of the distributions between 0.01% and 50% (logarithmic x-axis with numbers excluded to maintain data confidentiality).

Table 5.

Extrapolated fatigue life normalised to γ (gamma) at probability of failure (reliability).

% Probability of failure (% reliability)Lognormal2-parameter Weibull3-parameter Weibull
1% (99%)1.3830.7861.293
0.1% (99.9%)0.5840.1301.029
0.01% (99.99%)0.2880.0221.003
0.001% (99.999%)0.1550.0041.000
0.0001% (99.9999%)0.0890.0011.000
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/fas-2024-0011 | Journal eISSN: 2300-7591 | Journal ISSN: 2081-7738
Language: English
Page range: 131 - 146
Published on: Jul 7, 2025
Published by: ŁUKASIEWICZ RESEARCH NETWORK – INSTITUTE OF AVIATION
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2025 Rob Plaskitt, Chris Wynn-Jones, Andrew Halfpenny, published by ŁUKASIEWICZ RESEARCH NETWORK – INSTITUTE OF AVIATION
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.