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Forecasting Electicity in Photovoltaic Power Plants Cover

Forecasting Electicity in Photovoltaic Power Plants

Open Access
|Oct 2025

Abstract

Due to the increasing global demand for sustainable energy and the variable nature of solar radiation, accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) system performance has become essential. This study focuses on the development of an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict monthly electricity production in a rooftop photovoltaic power plant. The model uses meteorological inputs such as direct normal irradiation, diffuse radiation, and average monthly temperature, covering the period from January 2017 to December 2023. The ANN demonstrated high predictive accuracy and reliability, making it a valuable tool for energy management, planning, and integration of PV systems into power grids. While the dataset spans 2017–2023, the model is structured to allow generalization for future forecasting applications under similar input conditions.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bhee-2025-0009 | Journal eISSN: 2566-3151 | Journal ISSN: 2566-3143
Language: English
Submitted on: Nov 19, 2024
Accepted on: Mar 11, 2025
Published on: Oct 8, 2025
Published by: Bosnia and Herzegovina National Committee CIGRÉ
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 times per year

© 2025 Aleksandra Ijačić, Damir Špago, Obrad Spaić, Dragi Tiro, published by Bosnia and Herzegovina National Committee CIGRÉ
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

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