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Possibilities and limitations of individual-tree growth models – A review on model evaluations Cover

Possibilities and limitations of individual-tree growth models – A review on model evaluations

By: Sonja Vospernik  
Open Access
|Jun 2017

Abstract

Individual-tree growth models are the new standard for modeling growth and yield. Their main purpose is to simulate future forest management scenarios but they can also be used to predict wood quality, rockfall protection or habitat quality. Individual tree growth models may consist of different models but core models are diameter increment, height increment, crown ratio (often used as a predictor for increment) and mortality. The model differentiation is based on how these four models include tree age (size), competition and site. Four common growth simulators in Central Europe are BWIN, Moses, Prognaus and Silva. These four models are commonly deployed to simulate 30 years of growth, but a prospective application is the simulation of a whole rotation period (80–150 years). It is therefore crucial to understand the possibilities and limitations of these models by evaluating them. This review paper summarizes the statistical and emergent properties’ evaluation results for these models. Statistical evaluations focus on individual models of a simulator, whereas the evaluation of emergent properties evaluates the entire simulator, by testing if the models conform to known principles of stand growth. Further, the meaning of these evaluation results for the development and improvement of individual-tree growth models is discussed.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/boku-2017-0010 | Journal eISSN: 2719-5430 | Journal ISSN: 0006-5471
Language: English
Page range: 103 - 112
Submitted on: Apr 28, 2017
Accepted on: Aug 21, 2017
Published on: Jun 30, 2017
Published by: Universität für Bodenkultur Wien
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2017 Sonja Vospernik, published by Universität für Bodenkultur Wien
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.