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Export Performance Cluster Analysis of Poland’s Regions in the First 20 Years of EU Membership Cover

Export Performance Cluster Analysis of Poland’s Regions in the First 20 Years of EU Membership

Open Access
|Dec 2025

Figures & Tables

Fig. 1.

GDP per capita, Poland, EU-27, and Ukraine (current USD in thousands) based on World Bank data.
GDP per capita, Poland, EU-27, and Ukraine (current USD in thousands) based on World Bank data.

Fig. 2.

Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) 2004–2023 based on World Bank data.
Data for countries with similar export-to-GDP ratios and trends are shown as averages, to ensure visualisation clarity.
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) 2004–2023 based on World Bank data. Data for countries with similar export-to-GDP ratios and trends are shown as averages, to ensure visualisation clarity.

Fig. 3.

Comparison of Poland’s position in outward FDI with selected post-transition economies based on UnctadStat data.
Comparison of Poland’s position in outward FDI with selected post-transition economies based on UnctadStat data.

Fig. 4.

Share of the EU in overall exports (2004 and 2023, %) based on the Polish National Revenue Administration data.
The left bar shows the share of the EU in each region’s overall exports in 2004, the right bar – in 2023. For Poland overall, these shares were 78.7% (2004) and 74.6 (2023).
Share of the EU in overall exports (2004 and 2023, %) based on the Polish National Revenue Administration data. The left bar shows the share of the EU in each region’s overall exports in 2004, the right bar – in 2023. For Poland overall, these shares were 78.7% (2004) and 74.6 (2023).

Fig. 5.

Correlation between an increase in exports per capita (EUR) and the share of foreign-owned entities (FOEs) in exports change (%) (2004–2023) based on the Polish National Revenue Administration data.
Correlation between an increase in exports per capita (EUR) and the share of foreign-owned entities (FOEs) in exports change (%) (2004–2023) based on the Polish National Revenue Administration data.

Fig. 6.

Results of cluster analysis for Poland’s NUTS-2 regions (voivodeships).
Results of cluster analysis for Poland’s NUTS-2 regions (voivodeships).

Characteristics of Poland’s NUTS-2 regions’ foreign trade (2004, 2023) based on Eurostat, National Bank of Poland, Polish National Revenue Administration, and Statistics Poland data_

Exports of goods (% of GDP)Exports of goods (per capita, EUR)Share of FOEs in exports (%)Share of food and agricultural products in exports (%)Share of HT products in exports (%)Unit value of exports (EUR/KG)Share of IIT (%)
20042023200420232004202320042023200420232004202320042023
Dolnośląskie39.882.02 16917 71965.772.61.83.24.45.61.95.033.637.4
Kujawsko–pomorskie19.339.39156 20539.046.710.522.05.27.40.91.630.837.0
Lubelskie12.826.04903 50037.138.724.330.14.12.90.52.325.141.4
Lubuskie37.976.71 81012 27657.161.14.88.07.74.50.72.033.635.5
Łódzkie13.933.56926 40653.157.17.321.43.910.01.43.135.441.3
Małopolskie17.935.48566 23034.344.09.911.614.610.11.22.835.143.0
Mazowieckie24.234.41 97511 12460.849.820.321.810.010.21.22.333.343.0
Opolskie18.749.98627 79138.448.86.114.96.87.30.51.335.048.6
Podkarpackie26.255.41 0257 59354.263.54.26.015.931.11.54.528.656.9
Podlaskie17.832.77104 83635.517.926.738.42.73.91.41.120.137.2
Pomorskie43.449.72 2929 45734.047.86.627.510.810.90.91.651.342.9
Śląskie42.660.42 56612 46065.263.61.05.02.15.60.41.934.153.2
Świętokrzyskie12.529.95384 34355.854.58.86.91.29.10.61.524.331.5
Warmińsko-mazurskie22.036.78964 98053.141.88.619.02.10.91.62.921.332.3
Wielkopolskie38.056.02 18911 78669.260.69.819.47.14.72.12.942.244.7
Zachodniopomorskie27.241.01 3246 65544.164.611.120.63.65.70.61.438.538.0
Poland overall28.446.61 5309 26556.456.98.714.76.811.70.82.852.563.0

Clusters composition and characteristics of changes within particular features (2004–2023)_

Cluster/voivodeshipsIncrease of exports per capitaChange of FOEs’ share in exportsIncrease of food and agricultural products share in exportsIncrease of HT products share in exportsChange of IIT share in tradeIncrease of unit values of exportsDecrease of EU share in exports (pp.)
1. Dolnośląskievery highincreasemoderatelowno changemoderate–8.1
2. Lubuskie, Mazowieckie, Śląskie, Wielkopolskiemoderatedecreasehighlowincreasesignificant–1.0
3. Kujawsko–Pomorskie, Łódzkie, Małopolskie, Opolskie, Zachodniopomorskiehighsignificant increasehighmoderateincreasemoderate–1.7
4. Pomorskievery lowsignificant increasevery highvery lowdecreaselow–4.1
5. Lubelskie, Podlaskie, Świętokrzyskie, Warmińsko-Mazurskiemoderatedecreaselowvery highsignificant increasemoderate–8.1
6. Podkarpackiehighincreaselowhighsignificant increasesignificant–12.7
DOI: https://doi.org/10.14746/quageo-2025-0040 | Journal eISSN: 2081-6383 | Journal ISSN: 2082-2103
Language: English
Page range: 31 - 41
Submitted on: Feb 26, 2025
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Published on: Dec 31, 2025
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year
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© 2025 Stanisław Umiński, published by Adam Mickiewicz University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.