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How technology, behaviour, and tariffs reshape residential power demand: A comparative study of sub-hourly load curves for subpopulations in Great Britain and France Cover

How technology, behaviour, and tariffs reshape residential power demand: A comparative study of sub-hourly load curves for subpopulations in Great Britain and France

Open Access
|Jul 2026

Figures & Tables

Table 1

Summary of studies on the drivers of residential energy and electricity consumption.

REFERENCEGEOGRAPHY AND POPULATIONMETHODKEY DRIVERS
(Tsemekidi Tzeiranaki et al. 2019)EU (28 countries), Eurostat dataLinear regressionEconomic growth, climate, dwelling size, behaviour
(Brounen et al. 2012)Netherlands, 300,000 householdsStatistical analysisFor gas: building’s physical characteristics
For electricity: household characteristics like size and income
(Lévy and Belaïd 2018)France, ≈30,000 householdsLogistic regressionLife cycle of households, housing type and demographic characteristics
(Borozan 2018)Europe (64 regions)Regression analysisIncome, unemployment, and education
(Huebner et al. 2015)UK, 924 householdsLasso regressionBuilding characteristics, socio-demographic and behaviour
(Millar et al. 2025)UK, 7 homesEmpirical monitoring and quantitative analysisBuilding type, heating technology, occupant behaviour
Table 2

Summary of the key characteristics of both subpopulations.

CHARACTERISTICSSERLPANEL PARTICULIERS
Sample size used in the study6,815 gas and 8,485 electric smart meters1,336 electric smart meters
Temporal coverage2023 & 20242024
Time resolution30 minutes30 minutes
Dominant heating technologyGasElectric
Tariff structureMostly flat-rate tariffs~95% time-of-use pricing
Key limitationsPre-aggregated data for this study; limits analysis of diversityNot nationally representative for this study
Figure 1

Normalised daily non-heating residential load curves (SERL: 6,779 households; PP: 723 and 435 households).

Figure 2

Normalised daily equipped with electric-heating residential load curves (SERL: 460; PP: 613 households).

Figure 3

Normalised daily residential load curves for different space heating source (SERL gas: 6,092; SERL electric: 460; PP: 613 households).

Figure 4

Normalised daily residential load curves for different building type (SERL vs PP).

Figure 5

Temperature gradient analysis of non-electrically heated homes (a) SERL vs (b) Panel Particuliers, (W/m2)/°C.

Figure 6

Temperature gradient analysis of electrically heated homes (a) SERL vs (b) Panel Particuliers, (W/m2)/°C.

Figure 7

Temperature gradient analysis from (a) gas meter SERL vs (b) electric meter Panel Particuliers for electric heated, (W/m2)/°C.

Language: English
Page range: 27 - 27
Submitted on: Mar 17, 2026
Accepted on: May 30, 2026
Published on: Jul 31, 2026
Published by: European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (eceee)
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2026 Mona Moussawel, Jessica Few, Valentin Moreau, Bruno Duplessis, Ellen Zapata-Webborn, Martin Pullinger, Guillaume Binet, Mathieu Schumann, published by European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (eceee)
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.