Skip to main content
Have a personal or library account? Click to login
A Review of Hydrogen Ignition Probability Based on Large-Scale Test Results Cover

A Review of Hydrogen Ignition Probability Based on Large-Scale Test Results

Open Access
|Jun 2026

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Simple ignition probability models (HyRAM and HYEX, reproduced from Ehrhart, Hecht and Schroeder (2023) and Aarskog et al. (2020) respectively, UKOOA from Energy Institute (2006)).

Table 1

Summary of experimental programmes.

PROJECT REFERENCENO. RELEASESNON-DELIBERATE IGNITIONRELEASE TYPE (NON-DELIBERATE IGNITIONS)
UNBURIEDBURIEDACCUMULATING
H21 WBS1 (Northern Gas Networks, 2021)1360011224
H21 WBS2 (Northern Gas Networks, 2021)8525332 (2)0
H21 WBS3 (Northern Gas Networks, 2021)7307300
H21 WBS4 (Northern Gas Networks, 2021)3800038
H21 WBS5 (Northern Gas Networks, 2021)8126 (1)0
H21 2a Vents and Purges (Northern Gas Networks, 2023)50302
Hy4Heat WP7 Lot2 (DNV, 2020a)4000040
Hy4Heat WP7 Lot3 (DNV, 2020b)5300053
Hy4Heat WP7 Lot4 (DNV, 2020c)4400044
FutureGrid Ruptures (National Grid Transmission, 2024)525 (2)00
HAC H2 Detonation1633000633
Explosion Chamber General23800038
NIA344 (Energy Networks Association, 2023)6300063
Air Products Jets (Rian, 2019)30300
CostFX Jets (Crewe, 2024)3703700
CostFX Quiescent (Crewe, 2024)50005
Osaka Gas Accumulation (Tanaka et al., 2007)2700027
Osaka Gas Transient Dispersion (Tanaka et al., 2007)130607
Osaka Gas Transient Explosion (Tanaka et al., 2007)70601
Osaka Gas Homogeneous Explosion (Tanaka et al., 2007)30003
Osaka Gas Ph1 Explosions (Tanaka et al., 2007)2000020
Totals13365188150998

[i] 115.6 m3 detonation demonstration conducted approximately 1.5 times per week for 422 weeks to date.

211 m3 hydrogen confined, vented explosion chamber used for various clients and applications.

Table 2

Breakdown of experiments by various properties.

NO. RELEASESNON-DELIBERATE IGNITION COUNTRATIO
BY MASS RELEASE RATE BAND (kg/s)
LOWHIGH
Mass Release Rate Band (kg/s)00.01117210.1%
0.010.15500.0%
0.118822.3%
1102015.0%
1010011100.0%
BY RELEASE TYPE
Release TypeUnburied18821.1%
Buried15032.0%
Accumulating99800.0%
BY RELEASE TYPE AND MASS RELEASE RATE (kg/s)
LOWHIGH
Unburied00.018300.0%
0.010.12400.0%
0.116000.0%
1102015.0%
1010011100.0%
Buried00.0112210.8%
0.010.1400.0%
0.112428.3%
11000
1010000
Accumulating00.0196700.0%
0.010.12700.0%
0.11400.0%
11000
1010000
BY MAXIMUM CONC. (%vol)
LOWHIGH
Accumulating0%5%800.0%
5%15%8800.0%
15%30%19300.0%
30%50%69100.0%
50%100%1800.0%
Figure 2

Non-deliberate ignition events by release rate against HyRAM, HYEX and UKOOA ignition models (The UKOAA large plant curves, which are similar to the small plant curves, have been omitted from the figure for clarity).

Figure 3

Remotely controlled excavator in use in H21 (Northern Gas Networks, 2021).

Language: English
Page range: 224 - 232
Submitted on: Feb 13, 2026
Accepted on: Mar 18, 2026
Published on: Jun 18, 2026
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2026 Dan Allason, Ann Halford, D. Mike Johnson, published by KIT Scientific Publishing
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.