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Blurred Lines? Provincial Reconstruction Teams and NGO Insecurity in Afghanistan, 2010–2011 Cover

Blurred Lines? Provincial Reconstruction Teams and NGO Insecurity in Afghanistan, 2010–2011

Open Access
|Mar 2015

Figures & Tables

Table 1

Descriptive Statistics (by Province).

VariableObservationsMeanSDMinimumMaximum
NGO Security Incidents684.494.880.0018.00
PRT Presence680.760.430.001.00
US PRT Presence680.410.500.001.00
Coalition PRT Presence680.440.500.001.00
US Military Presence680.740.440.001.00
NGO Projects68173.76183.0515.001,250.00
Total NGO Expenditures (in millions $USD)6821.2934.520.64188.84
Coalition Fatalities6817.2241.370.00290.00
Journalist Security Incidents681.444.030.0032.00
People Incarcerated88651.351,261.251.007,591.00
Hectares of Poppy Cultivation683,7291511,860.820.0065,045.00
Afghan Border680.560.500.001.00
Border with Pakistan680.320.470.001.00
Distance of Province Capital from Kabul (in miles)68173.88122.810.00492.37
% of Population Own a Radio6870.6221.7422.0099.00
% of Population Own a Mobile Device6861.2625.098.0097.00
% of Population with Internet Access587.328.780.0033.00
People Enrolled in Govt General Education (in thousands)68215.98207.6921.111,086.82
People Enrolled in Private General Education682,209.607,713.190.0049,371.00
Population (in thousands)68727.55645.03136.303,818.70
Figure 1

NGO Security Incidents 2010 vs 2011.

Map 1

2010 NGO Security Incidents.

Map 2

2011 NGO Security Incidents.

Table 2

Panel-Corrected Standard Error Models of NGO Security Incidents by Province.

Model 1Model 2
VariableCoefficientsSECoefficientsSE
PRT Presence3.3328***0.6421----
US PRT Presence----1.65481.8711
Coalition PRT Presence----2.8056***0.2588
US Military Presence-1.2755**0.7266-0.71591.5382
NGO Projects-0.00220.0064-0.00110.0057
LOG Total NGO Expenditures (in millions $USD)1.3680*0.92581.2718*0.9517
Coalition Fatalities-0.00390.0032-0.0094***0.0028
Journalist Security Incidents0.2062***0.05370.1150*0.0732
People Incarcerated-0.00060.0008-0.00050.0007
LOG Hectares of Poppy Cultivation-0.4652***0.1187-0.4136***0.1217
Afghan Border-3.1086***0.5739-2.4404***0.5491
Border with Pakistan2.7003*1.79393.0242**1.4465
Distance of Province Capital from Kabul (in miles)0.0264***0.00540.0243***0.0044
% of Population Own a Radio0.0987***0.00680.1006***0.0181
% of Population Own a Mobile Device-0.0224*0.0168-0.0266***0.0115
% of Population with Internet Access-0.0584***0.0173-0.0599***0.0270
People Enrolled in Govt General Education (in thousands)0.0298***0.00330.0285***0.0033
People Enrolled in Private General Education-0.0003**0.0002-0.0003*0.0002
Constant-12.8101***1.3384-12.3337***1.2981
R2 0.58R2 0.58
Wald Chi2 76.99***Wald Chi2 57.78***
N = 68N = 68

[i] ***p < 0.01; **p < 0.05; *p < 0.10, one-tailed test.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/sta.ev | Journal eISSN: 2165-2627
Language: English
Published on: Mar 4, 2015
Published by: Department of Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2015 David F Mitchell, published by Department of Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.