
Figure 1
Trade between Pakistan and Afghanistan from 2005 through 2012. Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics and Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (2013).
Table 1
Pakistan’s Key Exports to Afghanistan. Source: State Bank of Pakistan 2013.
| Amount in thousands of US $ | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Items | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
| Milk and cream & sugar | 18701 | 36024 | 73369 | 47167 | 20712 | 15461 |
| Animal and Vegetable oil | 105726 | 87989 | 111196 | 102265 | 95466 | 112973 |
| Cement | 92427 | 77218 | 120524 | 162025 | 181770 | 222571 |
| Crude oil | 242333 | 156473 | 433484 | 311431 | 510019 | 862722 |
| Wheat and Rice | 59 | 565 | 1330 | 14868 | 16875 | 78018 |
| Table ware and Household furniture | 69463 | 19211 | 36328 | 21790 | 17009 | 18789 |

Figure 2
Methodological Framework.
Table 2
Salient features of Households (HHs) in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Source: WDI and authors own calculations from HIES 2004-05 and 2010-11.
| Variables | Khyber Pakhtunkhwa | Balochistan | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-05 | 2010-11 | 2004-05 | 2010-11 | ||
| Households in trade, transport, warehousing, and communication (TTWC) sectors | 586 | 2,287 | 456 | 2,557 | |
| Sample population dependent on TTWC3 | 3,926 | 15,094 | 2,873 | 15,853 | |
| Actual number of households the sample represents in TTWC | 209,286 | 737,742 | 130,286 | 639,250 | |
| Actual population the sample represents (TTWC) | 981,550 | 2,515,700 | 718,200 | 1,761,489 | |
| Monthly per capita consumption (food) | 1133 | 2731 | 1236 | 2566 | |
| Key sources of occupation (no. of HHs) | Agriculture, forestry & Fishing | 630 | 2714 | 746 | 4682 |
| Social and Personal Service/Education | 455 | 727 | 403 | 890 | |
| Wholesale & Retail trade | 435 | 1310 | 300 | 1449 | |
| Construction | 213 | 1357 | 130 | 1208 | |
| Land Transport | 151 | 720 | 156 | 864 | |
| Mean years of schooling | 8.6 | 9.14 | 8.6 | 8.76 | |
| Infant mortality rate | 81 | 72 | 81 | 72 | |
Table 3
Employment and Incomes in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Source: Author calculation from HIES 2004-5 and 2010-11.
| Variables | 2004-05 | 2010-11 |
|---|---|---|
| HHs in survey dependent on TTWC | 1042 | 4844 |
| Actual HHs dependent on TTWC | 315,757 | 1,670,344 |
| Mean per capita income in TTWC (nominal) | PKR 5998 | PKR 11,711 |
| Mean per capita income in TTWC (real) | PKR 5552 | PKR 5685 |
| Mean per capita income in non-TTWC (nominal) | PKR 5472 | PKR 10824 |
| Mean per capita income in non-TTWC (real) | PKR 5065 | PKR 5254 |
Table 4
Household distribution in TTWC Sector in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Source: SDPI calculations from HIES.
| Income Quintiles | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 73 | 31 | 51 | 72 | 92 |
| 2011 | 516 | 402 | 313 | 164 | 340 |
| Change in Employment (no.) | +443 | +371 | +262 | +92 | +248 |
Table 5
Household distribution in TTWC Sector in Balochistan. Source: SDPI calculations from HIES.
| Income Quintiles | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 59 | 71 | 43 | 3 | 107 |
| 2011 | 611 | 441 | 305 | 348 | 403 |
| Change in Employment (no.) | +552 | +370 | +262 | +345 | +296 |

Figure 3
Regression Results for 2004-05.

Figure 4
Regression Results for year 2010-11.

Figure 5
Economic Implications Post-2014.

Figure 6
Security Implications Post-2014.
