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Welfare Impacts of Afghan Trade on the Pakistani Provinces of Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Cover

Welfare Impacts of Afghan Trade on the Pakistani Provinces of Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

By:  and    
Open Access
|Feb 2015

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Trade between Pakistan and Afghanistan from 2005 through 2012. Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics and Trade Development Authority of Pakistan (2013).

Table 1

Pakistan’s Key Exports to Afghanistan. Source: State Bank of Pakistan 2013.

Amount in thousands of US $
Items200620072008200920102011
Milk and cream & sugar187013602473369471672071215461
Animal and Vegetable oil1057268798911119610226595466112973
Cement9242777218120524162025181770222571
Crude oil242333156473433484311431510019862722
Wheat and Rice595651330148681687578018
Table ware and Household furniture694631921136328217901700918789
Figure 2

Methodological Framework.

Table 2

Salient features of Households (HHs) in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Source: WDI and authors own calculations from HIES 2004-05 and 2010-11.

VariablesKhyber PakhtunkhwaBalochistan
2004-052010-112004-052010-11
Households in trade, transport, warehousing, and communication (TTWC) sectors5862,2874562,557
Sample population dependent on TTWC33,92615,0942,87315,853
Actual number of households the sample represents in TTWC209,286737,742130,286639,250
Actual population the sample represents (TTWC)981,5502,515,700718,2001,761,489
Monthly per capita consumption (food)1133273112362566
Key sources of occupation (no. of HHs)Agriculture, forestry & Fishing63027147464682
Social and Personal Service/Education455727403890
Wholesale & Retail trade43513103001449
Construction21313571301208
Land Transport151720156864
Mean years of schooling8.69.148.68.76
Infant mortality rate81728172
Table 3

Employment and Incomes in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Source: Author calculation from HIES 2004-5 and 2010-11.

Variables2004-052010-11
HHs in survey dependent on TTWC10424844
Actual HHs dependent on TTWC315,7571,670,344
Mean per capita income in TTWC (nominal)PKR 5998PKR 11,711
Mean per capita income in TTWC (real)PKR 5552PKR 5685
Mean per capita income in non-TTWC (nominal)PKR 5472PKR 10824
Mean per capita income in non-TTWC (real)PKR 5065PKR 5254
Table 4

Household distribution in TTWC Sector in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. Source: SDPI calculations from HIES.

Income Quintiles1st2nd3rd4th5th
20047331517292
2011516402313164340
Change in Employment (no.)+443+371+262+92+248
Table 5

Household distribution in TTWC Sector in Balochistan. Source: SDPI calculations from HIES.

Income Quintiles1st2nd3rd4th5th
20045971433107
2011611441305348403
Change in Employment (no.)+552+370+262+345+296
Figure 3

Regression Results for 2004-05.

Figure 4

Regression Results for year 2010-11.

Figure 5

Economic Implications Post-2014.

Figure 6

Security Implications Post-2014.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/sta.et | Journal eISSN: 2165-2627
Language: English
Published on: Feb 17, 2015
Published by: Department of Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Keywords:

© 2015 Saad Shabbir, Vaqar Ahmed, published by Department of Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.