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Religious Voting in a Secularised Country: Evidence From Chile’s 2022 Constitutional Referendum Cover

Religious Voting in a Secularised Country: Evidence From Chile’s 2022 Constitutional Referendum

Open Access
|Jul 2024

Abstract

In Latin America, unlike in Europe, religion is not a variable commonly used to analyse electoral behaviour in constitutional referendums, where theoretical approaches such as systematic political reasoning, heuristic approaches, and economic voting predominate. However, religion matters even in countries with high levels of secularisation. Chile’s Constitutional Referendum 2022, in which citizens were to approve or reject the proposed new constitution, is a good example. Four findings indicate the relevance of the religious cleavage. First, religion affected voting intentions, even after controlling for theoretically more powerful variables such as ideology. Second, Evangelicals were more homogeneous than Catholics, who were divided according to the content of the constitutional proposal. Third, rejection responds to the opposition to the five axes of the constitutional proposal: plurinationality, gender parity, elimination of the senate, abortion, and the creation of a public National Health System. Fourth, Evangelicals rejected abortion across the board, so much so that Evangelicals on the left and right opposed it in almost equal proportions.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/snr.177 | Journal eISSN: 2053-6712
Language: English
Submitted on: Aug 10, 2023
Accepted on: Jul 4, 2024
Published on: Jul 16, 2024
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2024 Mauricio Morales, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.