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Self-Monitoring Accuracy over Time for a Complex Diagnostic Skill Cover

Self-Monitoring Accuracy over Time for a Complex Diagnostic Skill

Open Access
|May 2026

Figures & Tables

Table 1

Characteristics of study participants.

CHARACTERISTICMEDIAN (IQR); N (%) (N = 141)
Age (years)22.00 (21.00, 23.00)
Female gender92 (65%)
Semester
    589 (63%)
    752 (37%)
Previous ultrasound-education (hours)
    068 (48%)
    1–250 (35%)
    3–523 (16%)
Cognitive Reflection Test (number of correct answers)
    08 (5.7%)
    114 (9.9%)
    235 (25%)
    384 (60%)
Figure 1

Students’ average performance and confidence at time points T1 and T2, (A) average performance and (B) confidence for completed follow-up vs. lost to follow-up, (C) average performance and (D) confidence in the faculty-led group vs. peer-teaching group.

Table 2

Results from two linear mixed models with the dependent variable performance, only the fixed effects that are of main interest for this study are printed. Detailed results for control variables are given in Table A1.

DUMMY MODEL FORMULA:
PERFORMANCE ~ T2 + CONFIDENCE + T2 * CONFIDENCE + CONTROL VARIABLES + RANDOM EFFECTS
DEPENDENT VARIABLE: PERFORMANCE [0–50]
ESTIMATESstd. Beta95% CIp
T2–2.59–0.09–4.45, –0.740.006
confidence3.170.402.78, 3.56<0.001
T2 * confidence0.620.080.08, 1.160.023

[i] Note. T2 is the OSCE at 6-month follow-up; CI, confidence interval; p-values p < .050 written in bold; control variables were: Age; Female gender; study semester; Previous US education; Additional US training after T1; Peer teaching vs traditional group; Cognitive Reflection Test; OSCE station in order; for the full results please refer to the supplement.

Figure 2

Students’ individual confidence over their individual performance at time points T1 and T2.

Figure A1

Changes in confidence and changes in performance per participant from time point T1 to T2, (A) by gender, (B) by confidence level at T1.

Table A1

Full results from two linear mixed models with the dependent variables performance and confidence.

FIXED EFFECTSMODEL FOR PERFORMANCE [0–50]MODEL FOR CONFIDENCE [1–5]
ESTIMATESstd. Beta95% CIpESTIMATESstd. Beta95% CIp
Age–0.15–0.04–0.42, 0.110.263–0.02–0.04–0.06, 0.020.321
Female gender (Ref. Male)0.570.07–0.62, 1.750.35–0.37–0.35–0.54, –0.19<0.001
7th study semester (Ref. 5)1.860.220.02, 3.700.0470.290.27–0.01, 0.580.060
Previous US education [h]0.250.05–0.14, 0.650.2050.060.080.00, 0.120.047
Additional US training after T1 [h]0.240.10.09, 0.400.0030.020.07–0.00, 0.050.077
Peer teaching group (Ref. faculty-led group)3.870.462.75, 4.99<0.0010.320.300.15, 0.48<0.001
Cognitive Reflection Test [0–3 points]0.290.03–0.34, 0.920.372–0.04–0.04–0.14, 0.050.390
OSCE station in order [1–6]0.210.040.06, 0.360.0060.040.060.01, 0.060.002
T2 (Ref. T1)–2.59–0.09–4.45, –0.740.0060.060.06–0.11, 0.230.492
Confidence level [1–5]3.170.42.78, 3.56<0.001
Confidence level [1–5] * T20.620.080.08, 1.160.023
Random intercepts
σ226.90.70
τ00 students8.440.18
τ00 examiners3.450.10
τ00 osce stations4.50.11
Nstudents141141
Nosce stations1212
Nexaminers2929

[i] US, Ultrasonography; T1, OSCE at baseline; T2, OSCE at 6-month follow-up; σ2, residual variance; τ00, variance random intercept; N, number of groups; CI, confidence interval; p-values p < .050 written in bold.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/pme.1767 | Journal eISSN: 2212-277X
Language: English
Page range: 420 - 431
Submitted on: Mar 1, 2025
Accepted on: Apr 7, 2026
Published on: May 14, 2026
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2026 Wolf E. Hautz, Thimo Marcin, Stefan K. Schauber, Robin Walter, Stefanie C. Hautz, Tanja Birrenbach, Beat Lehmann, Thomas C. Sauter, Roman Hari, Juliane E. Kämmer, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.