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Evaluation of the Spatial Biases and Sample Size of a Statewide Citizen Science Project Cover

Evaluation of the Spatial Biases and Sample Size of a Statewide Citizen Science Project

Open Access
|Dec 2021

Figures & Tables

cstp-6-1-344-g1.png
Figure 1

Map of the 9,586 random points (grey) across North Carolina, USA used to quantify variation in available habitat types, and the 4,295 sites sampled with camera traps (blue). Black lines indicate the three primary ecoregions (from west to east): mountains, piedmont, coastal.

Table 1

Habitat variables considered for the analysis of how representative the data were of the state.

HABITATDESCRIPTIONUNITSOURCE
Cover typeOpen, forest, developed, or other(Homer et al. 2015)
ElevationElevationmUSGS
Large core forestsArea within a 5 km radius consisting of continuous forest fragment (forest parcels >2 ha)%(Homer et al. 2015)
DevelopedArea within a 5 km radius consisting of developed land use%(Homer et al. 2015)
HousesHousing density within 1 km radius of the sitehouses/km2(Hammer et al. 2004)
RoadsRoad density within a 250 m radius of sitekm/km2NCDOT
Tree CoverTree cover at 30 m pixel resolution%(Hansen et al. 2013)
cstp-6-1-344-g2.png
Figure 2

Distribution of elevational habitats available in North Carolina measured at 9,586 random points across the states. Colors show the 10 categories that each represent ~10% of the variation in available habitat. We used these categories to see if our camera samples were representative of the dimensions of a given habitat type.

Table 2

Covariates used in occupancy models.

CATEGORYCOVARIATEDESCRIPTION
HabitatForest cover% forested in 5 km2 buffer
HabitatHousing densityAverage housing density (houses/km) in 5 km2 square buffer
HabitatContagion index (“Clumpiness”)The propensity for a 5 km2 square raster pixel of a given land-cover class to be neighboring a different land-cover class
HabitatPRDPatch richness density. Number of land-cover types per 100 ha in 5 km2 square buffer
Site variationYardCategorical predictor of whether the camera was placed within a residential yard
Site variationRichnessNumber of species detected at the camera site
NuisancePrecipitationPrecipitation rate averaged over camera deployment period (Mesinger et al. 2006)
NuisanceTemperatureTemperature averaged over camera deployment period (Dee et al. 2011)
NuisanceEVIEnhanced vegetation index; a measure of greenness at the camera site.
NuisanceJulianJulian day of the year
NuisanceDetection distanceFurthest distance away that the camera was triggered by a human
NuisanceBaitCategorical of whether bait was used at the camera site
Survey effortTrap nightsLength (days) of camera trap deployment. Used to control for variation in effort (i.e., catch per unit effort)
Table 3

Example of results for the representation of the camera trap sampling for one ecoregion (mountains) for one habitat type (tree cover). Columns show number of cameras set in each habitat type by staff, volunteers, and total. Habitat types with <40 camera samples (bold) were judged to be insufficiently sampled. In this example, additional sampling by staff ensured adequate sampling for the 98–100% category but not for the 0–40% category. The proportional availabilities of a habitat categories for that ecoregion are given by the % of random points that fell into that category, which are then summed if they are sampled adequately (>40 pts) or very adequately (>60) to quantify the total % of a given habitat type adequately sampled in a given ecoregion. Additional habitats/ecoregion results are in Appendix 1.

TREE COVER %STAFF CAMSVOLUNTEER CAMSALL CAMSRANDOM %ADEQUATE SAMPLE (>40)VERY ADEQUATE SAMPLE (>60)
017516813%13%13%
0–401024344%00
40–8122781009%9%9%
81–94509614612%12%12%
94–983310113412%12%12%
98–1001826443%3%0
1009934844745%45%45%
Total95.6%92.2%
Table 4

Percentage of the area in three ecoregions of the state adequately sampled (>40 sites) by camera traps in the North Carolina’s Candid Critters(NCCC) project across seven habitat dimensions. See Table 3 for an example of how this was estimated for one habitat/ecoregion and Appendix 1 for all results.

HABITAT COVARIATECOASTALMOUNTAINSPIEDMONTAVERAGE
Tree cover10095.610098.5
Elevation99.799.999.799.8
Large forests98.993.799.897.5
Developed10010099.699.9
Houses10010099.299.7
Land use10096.310098.8
Roads100100100100
Average99.897.999.899.2
cstp-6-1-344-g3.png
Figure 3

Graphs showing relative bias (a measure how different the estimates were from the full data set estimate) of occupancy estimates for white-tailed deer and coyote. These were calculated with subsets of the full NCCC dataset for a) three ecoregions, b) four seasons, and c) ecoregion-seasons. Our estimates reached our goal for bias (<0.1) at very small sample sizes for the common deer and after sampling 250–300 sites for the less common coyote across all spatio-temporal divisions. The lack of change in these estimates with increasing sample size also indicates a stable, robust result. Results were similar for estimates of error (Supplemental Figure 1).

cstp-6-1-344-g4.png
Figure 4

Graphs showing the changes in the relative error (relative root mean square error [RRMSE], a measure of how variable the estimates of occupancy were across the replicates) with larger sample size for estimated ecological relationships for agriculture land cover in occupancy models for coyotes and deer. Models were run across regions (top), seasons (middle), and regions-seasons (bottom). Only significant model effects are shown. Error estimates approached our 10% goal more rapidly with more restricted models (i.e., region-season) suggesting spatio-temporal variability in these relationships added variation to the larger-scale models. Full results for changes in error and bias of all covariates are available in Supplemental Figure 2.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/cstp.344 | Journal eISSN: 2057-4991
Language: English
Submitted on: Jun 3, 2021
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Accepted on: Sep 14, 2021
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Published on: Dec 16, 2021
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2021 Roland Kays, Monica Lasky, Arielle W. Parsons, Brent Pease, Krishna Pacifici, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.