Table 1
Likelihood scale presented in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) AR5 Guidance Note.
| TERM | LIKELIHOOD OF THE OUTCOME (%) |
|---|---|
| Virtually certain | 99–100% probability |
| Very likely | 90–100% probability |
| Likely | 66–100% probability |
| About as likely as not | 33–66% probability |
| Unlikely | 0–33% probability |
| Very unlikely | 0–10% probability |
| Exceptionally unlikely | 0–1% probability |
[i] Source: Mastrandrea et al. (2010).
Table 2
Articles in this special issue, ‘Climate Change Risk and Decision-Making’, Buildings & Cities (2026), 7(1), guest editors Simon Foxell and Ian Cooper.
| AUTHORS | TITLE | DOI/URL |
|---|---|---|
| S. Foxell & I. Cooper | Climate change risk and decision-making (Editorial) | https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.941 |
| C. Nastari Fernandes, P. Ciminelli Ramalho & F. Lima-Silva | Climate-related risks: implications for municipal governments in Brazil | https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.717 |
| C. Rigoni, S. Oliveira, O. Romice, A. Moreno-Rangel & A. Chatzimichali | Towards a new neighbourhood-scale climate risk-adaptation approach | https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.725 |
| K. Buyana & H. Sseviiri | Urban informal settlements in Africa: transforming adaptation governance | https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.732 |
| J. Baker | Anticipating chronic climate risks. (Commentary) | https://www.buildingsandcities.org/insights/commentaries/anticipating-chronic-climate-risks.html |
| S. Greenham & E. Ferranti | Chronic climate risks to urban infrastructure. (Commentary) | https://www.buildingsandcities.org/insights/commentaries/chronic-climate-risks-urban-infrastructure.html |
| J. Robinson, E. Smit, P. Robinson & A. Gloger | Reimagining climate action, community engagement and professional responsibility. (Commentary) | https://www.buildingsandcities.org/insights/commentaries/reimagining-climate-action.html |
| C. Davies & H. Ellis | Professional ethics in a climate crisis. (Commentary) | https://www.buildingsandcities.org/insights/commentaries/professional-ethics-climate-crisis.html |
| I. Cooper | Who is responsible for climate change? (Commentary) | https://www.buildingsandcities.org/insights/commentaries/who-responsible-climate-change.html |