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Estimation of DENV-2 Transmission as a Function of Site-Specific Entomological Parameters from Three Cities in Colombia Cover

Estimation of DENV-2 Transmission as a Function of Site-Specific Entomological Parameters from Three Cities in Colombia

Open Access
|Mar 2019

Figures & Tables

Table 1

Midgut infection percentages of mosquitoes from the three field-caught origins and one laboratory colony and the log-odds of getting a positive midgut compared to the baseline of colony origins (Chetumal colony) at 4, 7, 11 and 14 days post-infection (dpi) according to IFA.

Percentage of midgut Infection (n)Log-Odds
dpi471114471114
Chetumal0.48 (27)0.79 (29)0.6 (30)0.63 (27)..  ..  
Riohacha0.33 (27)0.47 (30)0.6 (30)0.5 (30)–0.148–0.326*<0.0001–0.13  
Bello0.56 (25)0.48 (33)0.53 (28)0.48 (27)0.079–0.308*–0.0064–0.15  
Villavicencio0.58 (26)0.56 (25)0.58 (24)0.2 (30)0.095–0.233  –0.016–0.43*

[i] * statistically significant at 95% confidence.

Table 2

Head infection percentages of mosquitoes from the three field-caught origins and one laboratory colony and the log-odds of getting a positive head compared to the baseline of colony origins (Chetumal colony) at 4, 7, 11 and 14 days post-infection (dpi) according to IFA.

Percentage of head Infection (n)Log-Odds
dpi471114471114
Chetumal0.03 (30)0.2 (30)0.5 (30)0.63 (30)..  .  .  
Riohacha0 (30)0.13 (30)0.4 (30)0.47 (30)–0.033–0.067  –0.1  –0.167  
Bello0 (30)0 (30)0.07 (30)0.17 (30)–0.033–0.2*–0.43*–0.467*
Villavicencio0.03 (30)0 (30)0.2 (30)0.23 (30)<.0001–0.2*–0.3*–0.4*

[i] * statistically significant at 95% confidence.

agh-85-1-2339-g1.png
Figure 1

Viral titers at 4, 7, 11 and 14 days post-infection in the midgut and head tissues of mosquitoes from Riohacha, Bello, Villavicencio and the control population of Chetumal. Number of processed mosquitoes per city per dpi equals to 30. Significant differences are represented by *(p < 0.05), **(p < 0.01) and ***(p < 0.001). PFU/mL: Plaque forming units per milliliter.

agh-85-1-2339-g2.png
Figure 2

Curves and mathematical functions fitted to bite data from Riohacha (A), Bello (B) and Villavicencio (C). Every dot is the average of five volunteers. Mathematical functions and determination coefficient is shown under respective graph.

agh-85-1-2339-g3.png
Figure 3

Distribution of bootstrapped EVC values for mosquitoes from Riohacha (A), Bello (B) and Villavicencio (C). Red lines indicate percentiles 2.5 and 97.5.

agh-85-1-2339-g4.png
Figure 4

The role of density in cVC estimation. (A) Similarity of pattern produced by Breteau indices of the cities and cVC when density estimated is included related to dengue incidence during time study (mid-2012 to December 2013). (B) cVC estimated with vector density fixed at 1 showing higher values for Bello population.

Table 3

Parameters used to estimate cVC of each of the three cities.

CityEVC (φ)*Avg. bites per day (a)Density (m)Probability of daily survival (p)
Riohacha0.820.590.420.9295
Bello0.570.760.160.9304
Villavicencio0.340.620.430.9306

[i] * Head positivity by plaque assay used as a proxy for transmission potential of DENV-2.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/aogh.2339 | Journal eISSN: 2214-9996
Language: English
Published on: Mar 13, 2019
Published by: Ubiquity Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2019 Victor Hugo Peña-García, Irma Sánchez-Vargas, Rebecca Christofferson, William C. Black IV, Sair Arboleda, Omar Triana-Chavez, published by Ubiquity Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.