Skip to main content
Have a personal or library account? Click to login
A comparison of tracking methods for extreme cyclones in the Arctic basin Cover

A comparison of tracking methods for extreme cyclones in the Arctic basin

By:  and    
Open Access
|Dec 2014

References

  1. Akperov M. G. , Bardin M. Y. , Volodin E. M. , Golitsyn G. S. , Mokhov I. I . Probability distributions for cyclones and anticyclones from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and the INM RAS climate model. Izvest. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 2007; 43: 705712.
  2. Bardin M. Y. , Polonsky A. B . North Atlantic Oscillation and synoptic variability in the European–Atlantic region in winter. Izvest. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 2005; 41: 127136.
  3. Cavalieri D. J. , Parkinson C. L . Arctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2010. Cryosphere. 2012; 6: 881889.
  4. Cavallo S. M. , Hakim G. J . Composite structure of tropopause polar cyclones. Mon. Weather Rev. 2010; 138: 38403857.
  5. Cavallo S. M. , Hakim G. J . Radiative impact on tropopause polar vortices over the Arctic. Mon. Weather Rev. 2012; 140: 16831702.
  6. Cavallo S. M. , Hakim G. J . Physical mechanisms of tropopause polar vortex intensity change. J. Atmos. Sci. 2013; 70: 33593373.
  7. Comiso J. C . Large decadal decline of the Arctic multiyear ice cover. J. Clim. 2012; 25: 11761193.
  8. Dee D. P. , Uppala S. M. , Simmons A. J. , Berrisford P. , Poli P. , co-authors . The ERA-interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 2011; 137: 553597.
  9. Dierer S. , Schlünzen K. H. , Birnbaum G. , Brümmer B. , Müller G . Atmosphere–sea ice interactions during a cyclone passage investigated by using model simulations and measurements. Mon. Weather Rev. 2005; 133: 36783692.
  10. Duarte C. M. , Agusti S. , Wassmann P. , Arrieta J. M. , Alcaraz M. , co-authors . Tipping elements in the Arctic marine ecosystem. Ambio. 2012; 41: 4455.
  11. Flocas H. A. , Kountouris P. , Kouroutzoglou J. , Hatzaki M. , Keay K. , co-authors . Vertical characteristics of cyclonic tracks over the eastern Mediterranean during the cold period of the year. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2013; 112: 375388.
  12. Hewson T. D . Objective identification of frontal wave cyclones. Meteorol. Appl. 1997; 4: 311315.
  13. Hewson T. D. , Titley H. A . Objective identification, typing and tracking of the complete life-cycles of cyclonic features at high spatial resolution. Meteorol. Appl. 2010; 17: 355381.
  14. Hodges K. I . Feature tracking on the unit sphere. Mon. Weather Rev. 1995; 123: 34583465.
  15. Howell S. E. L. , Wohlleben T. , Komarov A. , Pizzolato L. , Derksen C . Recent extreme light sea ice years in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago: 2011 and 2012 eclipse 1998 and 2007. Cryosphere. 2013; 7: 17531768.
  16. Inoue J. , Hori M. E. , Enomoto T. , Kikuchi T . Intercomparison of surface heat transfer near the Arctic Marginal Ice Zone for multiple reanalyses: a case study of September 2009. SOLA. 2011; 7: 5760.
  17. Jackson J. M. , Allen S. E. , McLaughlin F. A. , Woodgate R. A. , Carmack E. C . Changes to the near-surface waters in the Canada Basin, Arctic Ocean from 1993–2009: a basin in transition. J. Geophys. Res. 2011; 116: 10008.
  18. Jakobson E. , Vihma T . Atmospheric moisture budget in the Arctic based on the ERA-40 reanalysis. Int. J. Climatol. 2010; 30: 21752194.
  19. Keable M. , Simmonds I. , Keay K . Distribution and temporal variability of 500 hPa cyclone characteristics in the Southern Hemisphere. Int. J. Climatol. 2002; 22: 131150.
  20. Kew S. F. , Sprenger M. , Davies H. C . Potential vorticity anomalies of the lowermost stratosphere: a 10-yr winter climatology. Mon. Weather Rev. 2010; 138: 12341249.
  21. Kouroutzoglou J. , Flocas H. A. , Keay K. , Simmonds I. , Hatzaki M . On the vertical structure of Mediterranean explosive cyclones. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2012; 110: 155176.
  22. Kouroutzoglou J. , Flocas H. A. , Simmonds I. , Keay K. , Hatzaki M . Assessing characteristics of Mediterranean explosive cyclones for different data resolution. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 2011; 105: 263275.
  23. Kriegsmann A. , Brümmer B . Cyclone impact on sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean: a statistical study. Cryosphere. 2014; 8: 303317.
  24. Lim E.-P. , Simmonds I . Southern Hemisphere winter extratropical cyclone characteristics and vertical organization observed with the ERA-40 reanalysis data in 1979–2001. J. Clim. 2007; 20: 26752690.
  25. Lionello P. , Dalan F. , Elvini E . Cyclones in the Mediterranean region: the present and the doubled CO2 climate scenarios. Clim. Res. 2002; 22: 147159.
  26. Livina V. N. , Lenton T. M . A recent tipping point in the Arctic sea-ice cover: abrupt and persistent increase in the seasonal cycle since 2007. Cryosphere. 2013; 7: 275286.
  27. Meier W. , Fetterer F. , Savoie M. , Mallory S. , Duerr R. , co-authors . NOAA/NSIDC Climate Data Record of Passive Microwave Sea Ice Concentration, Version 2. 2013; National Snow and Ice Data Center. Online at: https://nsidc.org/data/docs/noaa/g02202_ice_conc_cdr/ .
  28. Mesquita M.d. S. , Atkinson D. E. , Simmonds I. , Keay K. , Gottschalck J . New perspectives on the synoptic development of the severe October 1992 Nome storm. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2009; 36: 13808.
  29. Murray R. J. , Simmonds I . A numerical scheme for tracking cyclone centres from digital data. Part I: development and operation of the scheme. Aust. Meteorol. Mag. 1991; 39: 155166.
  30. Neu U. , Akperov M. G. , Bellenbaum N. , Benestad R. , Blender R. , co-authors . IMILAST: a community effort to intercompare extratropical cyclone detection and tracking algorithms. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 2013; 94: 529547.
  31. Parkinson C. L. , Comiso J. C . On the 2012 record low Arctic sea ice cover: combined impact of preconditioning and an August storm. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2013; 40: 13561361.
  32. Pezza A. B. , Simmonds I. , Renwick J. A . Southern Hemisphere cyclones and anticyclones: recent trends and links with decadal variability in the Pacific Ocean. Int. J. Climatol. 2007; 27: 14031419.
  33. Pinto J. G. , Spangehl T. , Ulbrich U. , Speth P . Sensitivities of a cyclone detection and tracking algorithm: individual tracks and climatology. Meteorol. Z. 2005; 14: 823838.
  34. Raible C. C. , Della-Marta P. M. , Schwierz C. , Wernli H. , Blender R . Northern Hemisphere extratropical cyclones: a comparison of detection and tracking methods and different reanalyses. Mon. Weather Rev. 2008; 136: 880897.
  35. Rudeva I. , Gulev S. K . Climatology of cyclone size characteristics and their changes during the cyclone life cycle. Mon. Weather Rev. 2007; 135: 25682587.
  36. Screen J. A. , Simmonds I . The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification. Nature. 2010; 464: 13341337.
  37. Screen J. A. , Simmonds I. , Keay K . Dramatic interannual changes of perennial Arctic sea ice linked to abnormal summer storm activity. J. Geophys. Res. 2011; 116: 15105.
  38. Serreze M. C . Climatological aspects of cyclone development and decay in the Arctic. Atmos. Ocean. 1995; 33: 123.
  39. Shkolnik I. M. , Efimov S. V . Cyclonic activity in high latitudes as simulated by a regional atmospheric climate model: added value and uncertainties. Environ. Res. Lett. 2013; 8: 045007.
  40. Simmonds I . Comparing and contrasting the behaviour of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice over the 35-year period 1979–2013. Ann. Glaciol. 2015; 56: 1828.
  41. Simmonds I. , Burke C. , Keay K . Arctic climate change as manifest in cyclone behavior. J. Clim. 2008; 21: 57775796.
  42. Simmonds I. , Drinkwater M. R . Côté J . A ferocious and extreme Arctic storm in a time of decreasing sea ice. Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling, Report No. 37, WMO/TD-No. 1397. 2007; Geneva: World Meteorological Organization. 2.272.28.
  43. Simmonds I. , Keay K . Extraordinary September Arctic sea ice reductions and their relationships with storm behavior over 1979–2008. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2009; 36: 19715.
  44. Simmonds I. , Keay K. , Lim E.-P . Synoptic activity in the seas around Antarctica. Mon. Weather Rev. 2003; 131: 272288.
  45. Simmonds I. , Rudeva I . The great Arctic cyclone of August 2012. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2012; 39: 23709.
  46. Sinclair M. R . An objective cyclone climatology for the Southern Hemisphere. Mon. Weather Rev. 1994; 122: 22392256.
  47. Sinclair M. R . Objective identification of cyclones and their circulation intensity, and climatology. Weather Forecast. 1997; 12: 595612.
  48. Skific N. , Francis J. A . Drivers of projected change in Arctic moist static energy transport. J. Geophys. Res. 2013; 118: 27482761.
  49. Tanaka H. L. , Yamagami A. , Takahashi S . The structure and behavior of the Arctic cyclone in summer analyzed by the JRA-25/JCDAS data. Polar Sci. 2012; 6: 5569.
  50. Thorncroft C. D. , Hoskins B. J. , McIntyre M. E . Two paradigms of baroclinic-wave life-cycle behaviour. Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc. 1993; 119: 1755.
  51. Tilinina N. , Gulev S. K. , Bromwich D. H . New view of Arctic cyclone activity from the Arctic system reanalysis. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2014; 41: 17661772.
  52. Trigo I. F . Climatology and interannual variability of storm-tracks in the Euro-Atlantic sector: a comparison between ERA-40 and NCEP/NCAR reanalyses. Clim. Dyn. 2006; 26: 127143.
  53. Vavrus S. J . Extreme Arctic cyclones in CMIP5 historical simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2013; 40: 62086212.
  54. Vavrus S. J. , Holland M. M. , Jahn A. , Bailey D. A. , Blazey B. A . Twenty-first-century Arctic climate change in CCSM4. J. Clim. 2012; 25: 26962710.
  55. Walsh J. E . Melting ice: what is happening to Arctic sea ice, and what does it mean for us?. Oceanography. 2013; 26: 171181.
  56. Wang X. L. , Swail V. R. , Zwiers F. W . Climatology and changes of extratropical cyclone activity: comparison of ERA-40 with NCEP-NCAR reanalysis for 1958–2001. J. Clim. 2006; 19: 31453166.
  57. Wernli H. , Schwierz C . Surface cyclones in the ERA-40 dataset (1958–2001). Part I: novel identification method and global climatology. J. Atmos. Sci. 2006; 63: 24862507.
  58. Woods C. , Caballero R. , Svensson G . Large-scale circulation associated with moisture intrusions into the Arctic during winter. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2013; 40: 47174721.
  59. Zhang J. , Lindsay R. , Schweiger A. , Steele M . The impact of an intense summer cyclone on 2012 Arctic sea ice retreat. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2013; 40: 720726.
  60. Zolina O. , Gulev S. K . Improving the accuracy of mapping cyclone numbers and frequencies. Mon. Weather Rev. 2002; 130: 748759.
Language: English
Page range: 25252 - 25252
Submitted on: Jun 22, 2014
Accepted on: Aug 10, 2014
Published on: Dec 1, 2014
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2014 Ian Simmonds, Irina Rudeva, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.