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Estimation of the probability of propulsion loss by a seagoing ship based on expert opinions Cover

Estimation of the probability of propulsion loss by a seagoing ship based on expert opinions

Open Access
|Apr 2009

Abstract

The event of the loss of propulsion function has been defined as hazardous event to a seagoing ship. It has been formalized. The procedure of acquisition of expert opinions on frequency of the event occurrence has been described. It may be considered to be of a numerical-fuzzy character. The fuzzy part was transferred to the numerical form by the pair comparison method. An example of the ship propulsion system comprising a low speed internal combustion engine and a fix pitch propeller illustrates the method presented. It may be used wherever a hazard analysis has to be performed of a system involving human and technical aspects and there is a shortage of objective data on the investigated object.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/v10012-008-0013-9 | Journal eISSN: 2083-7429 | Journal ISSN: 1233-2585
Language: English
Page range: 73 - 77
Published on: Apr 20, 2009
Published by: Gdansk University of Technology
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2009 Alfred Brandowski, published by Gdansk University of Technology
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons License.

Volume 16 (2009): Issue 1 (January 2009)