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A Time Series Analysis of the Nexus Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices in Nigeria Cover

A Time Series Analysis of the Nexus Between Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Stock Prices in Nigeria

Open Access
|Sep 2018

Abstract

Since macroeconomic fundamentals have been found to play a vital role for changes in the economy of a country. Consequently, the onus is on the appropriate regulatory authorities to take measures in making amendments in these policies to put the economy on the right development track. The aim of this study is to use time series analysis to empirically showcase the nexus between macroeconomic fundamentals and stock prices in Nigeria. The method used for this study was the Co-integration test and the EGARCH technique to estimate the possible influence of the selected macroeconomic fundamentals on stock prices. Volatility was captured by using quarterly data and estimated using GARCH (1,1) respectively. The study found there is a positive relationship between macroeconomic factors and stock prices in Nigeria. Therefore, the study recommends that the Federal authority should put in place policy measures that will enable the exchange rate to be relatively stabilized. This is because empirical evidence from studies has shown that exchange rate affects stock market prices. In addition, the government authority should ensure an enabling environment that would build the mindset of institutional investors in the Nigerian stock market due to the existence of information asymmetry problems among potential investors.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/sbe-2018-0021 | Journal eISSN: 2344-5416 | Journal ISSN: 1842-4120
Language: English
Page range: 69 - 91
Published on: Sep 10, 2018
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 3 issues per year

© 2018 Amassoma Ditimi, Bolarinwa Ifeoluwa, published by Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.