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Forecasting the Impact of Wind Power Expansion on Latvia’s Electricity Supply and Demand Balance Cover

Forecasting the Impact of Wind Power Expansion on Latvia’s Electricity Supply and Demand Balance

Open Access
|Nov 2025

Abstract

Globally, including in Latvia, the production of renewable electricity is increasing. In the near future, rapid development of wind power plants (WPP) is expected in Latvia, significantly increasing the existing capacity of WPPs. To effectively plan the development of the electricity supply system, it is necessary to forecast the potential amount of electricity that will be generated by the planned WPPs. As part of this study, calculations were made for the potential electricity production from onshore WPPs in Latvia, using available data on average wind strength and planned WPPs. The results show that by implementing the planned capacity of 791.9 MW of WPPs, the electricity generated by WPPs will increase by 2.4 TWh per year. Meanwhile, achieving the 2050 target (4.5 GW installed onshore capacity), approximately 15.3 TWh of electricity will be generated annually by WPPs. The planned electricity volumes from WPPs significantly exceed the current electricity demand in Latvia, therefore, solutions for balancing electricity demand and supply in the future need to be found.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/rtuect-2025-0054 | Journal eISSN: 2255-8837 | Journal ISSN: 1691-5208
Language: English
Page range: 809 - 821
Submitted on: Apr 23, 2025
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Accepted on: Sep 4, 2025
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Published on: Nov 17, 2025
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2025 Evelina Behmane, Liga Rozentale, Ivars Veidenbergs, Dagnija Blumberga, published by Riga Technical University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.