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GIS-Based Land Cover Analysis and Prediction Based on Open-Source Software and Data Cover

GIS-Based Land Cover Analysis and Prediction Based on Open-Source Software and Data

Open Access
|Jul 2022

Figures & Tables

Fig. 1

Study area location.
Study area location.

Fig. 2

Workflow scheme of land-use prediction process.
Workflow scheme of land-use prediction process.

Fig. 3

Explanatory variables, raster data.a) distance from roads; b) distance from buildings; c) population; d) restricted areas; e) Digital Elevation Model; f) slope.
Explanatory variables, raster data.a) distance from roads; b) distance from buildings; c) population; d) restricted areas; e) Digital Elevation Model; f) slope.

Fig. 4

Percentage of land cover categories on analysed area (2006 and 2012).
Percentage of land cover categories on analysed area (2006 and 2012).

Fig. 5

CLC maps.(a) 2006; (b) 2012; (c) 2018. LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.
CLC maps.(a) 2006; (b) 2012; (c) 2018. LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.

Fig. 6

Change map between land use in 2006 and 2012.LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.
Change map between land use in 2006 and 2012.LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.

Fig. 7

Predicted land use in 2024.LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.
Predicted land use in 2024.LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.

Fig. 8

Spatial distribution of land cover changes.LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.
Spatial distribution of land cover changes.LULC types: 1 – Artificial surfaces; 2 – Agricultural areas; 3 – Forest and seminatural ecosystems; 4 – Wetlands; 5 – Water bodies.

Summary of data used_

Data / formatReference yearsCRSSpatial resolutionData providerExplanatory variables
CORINE land Cover / vector2006, 2012, 2018ETRS89 / Poland CS9225 haCopernicus Land Monitoring Services [CLMS 2022]
BDOT10k / vector2018ETRS89 / Poland CS921:10,000Head Office of Geodesy and Cartography [GUGiK 2022]Distance to roads, built-up area, protected areas
DTED / raster2004WGS8430 mUnited States Geological Survey [USGS 2022]Slope, elevation
GHS POP / Grid2015World Mollweide250 mJoint Research Centre (JRC), DG for Regional and Urban Policy of the European Commission [GHS-POP 2022]Population distribution

Correlation values between explanatory variables_

Names of variablesSlopeDistance to buildingsRestricted areasDistance to roadsPopulationElevation
Slope−0.040.01−0.00−0.000.35
Distance to buildings 0.020.30−0.400.21
Restricted areas 0.03−0.02−0.02
Distance to roads −0.300.10
Population −0.29
Elevation

Land cover and land cover change statistics [in km2]

Land cover201820242012–20182018–2024
Artificial surfaces309.06318.258.819.19
Agricultural areas1289.381285.56−7.69−3.81
Forest and seminatural ecosystems654.12650.25−1.06−3.88
Wetlands3.002.620.00−0.38
Water bodies73.7572.62−0.06−1.12

Statistics of land cover changes in km2_

Land cover classLand cover code2006201220182006–20122012–20182006–2018
Artificial surfaces1213.69300.25309.0686.568.8195.37
Agricultural areas21405.191297.061289.38−108.12−7.69115.81
Forest and seminatural ecosystems3634.56655.19654.1220.62−1.0619.56
Wetlands42.563.003.000.440.000.44
Water bodies573.3173.8173.750.50−0.060.44

Buffer zones applied to roads and built-up area_

Distance to roads and built-up areas [m]Zone number
≤ 1001
100–2002
200–5003
500–10004
> 10005

Transition matrix between CLC 2006 and 2012_

Land coverArtificialAgriculturalForest, seminatural ecosystemsWetlandsWater
Artificial0.97820.010.010.000.00
Agricultural0.060.920.020.000.00
Forest, seminatural ecosystems0.010.010.980.000.00
Wetlands0.000.170.220.610.00
Water0.010.010.000.000.98
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/quageo-2022-0026 | Journal eISSN: 2081-6383 | Journal ISSN: 2082-2103
Language: English
Page range: 75 - 86
Submitted on: Feb 14, 2022
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Published on: Jul 16, 2022
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year
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© 2022 Wojciech Dawid, Elżbieta Bielecka, published by Adam Mickiewicz University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.