Fig. 1

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Fig. 4

Fig. 5

Trends of changes in mean discharge, peak discharge, discharge ratio and water volume in the Sanenrejo sub-watershed (2011–2019)_
| Month | Average discharge (lt/s) | Peak discharge (lt/s) | Peak discharge/average discharge ratio | Vol. stored water (mm/year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wet season | 29.768** | 40.171** | 1.97** | 576** |
| Dry season 1 | −48.778** | −140.492** | −0.78** | −84** |
| Dry season 2 | −13.864** | −14.194** | −1.83** | 325** |
| Wet season | −54.590** | −89.750** | −2.59** | 166** |
| Dry season | −59.549** | −83.395** | 0.86** | 583** |
| Annual | −47.175** | −8.969** | 0.23** | 4,200** |
Estimation results of the model_
| Variable | Coefficients | t-test (p-value) |
|---|---|---|
| Constants | 1,283,795 | 1.520 (0.13)ns |
| Farm size | −1,702,240 | −3.012 (0.00)*** |
| Age | −301,349 | −0.027 (0.98)ns |
| Education | −46,701 | −1.607 (0.11)ns |
| Income | 0.146 | 7.549 (0.00)*** |
| Distance to small dam | −750,874 | −2.410 (0.02)** |
| Management in dry season | 2,144,361 | 9.369 (0.00)*** |
| n | 100 | |
| R2 | 0.83 | |
| F-test | 84.18 | |
| p-value | 0.000 |
Variables in the model_
| Variables | Code | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Farm size | X1 | Size of farmer's land (ha) |
| Age | X2 | Farmer's age (years) |
| Education | X3 | Farmer's formal education (years) |
| Income | X4 | Farmer's income in one cropping season (US$/ha) |
| Distance to small dam | X5 | Distance of farmer's land to small dam (m) |
| Management in dry season | D | Dummy variable representing type of irrigation used in the dry season: (1) private water pump and (0) irrigation from WUA. |
Changes in land use in the Sanenrejo sub-watershed for the period 2011–2019_
| No. | Land use | 2011 | 2019 | Land use | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (ha) | (%) | (ha) | (%) | Change | (%) | ||
| 1. | Forest | 13,227.23 | 47.71 | 11,676.97 | 42.12 | −1550.26 | −11.72 |
| 2. | Plantation | 10,679.91 | 38.52 | 10,486.21 | 37.83 | −193.70 | −1.81 |
| 3. | Dryland | 2,480.25 | 8.95 | 4,001.91 | 14.44 | 1,521.67 | 61.35 |
| 4. | Rice field | 748.43 | 2.70 | 698.20 | 2.52 | −50.24 | −6.71 |
| 5. | Open field | 266.76 | 0.96 | 437.16 | 1.58 | 170.41 | 63.88 |
| 6. | Residential | 320.20 | 1.15 | 422.32 | 1.52 | 102.12 | 31.89 |
| Total | 27,722.77 | 27,722.77 | |||||
Trends of changes in rainfall, number of rainy days and rain intensity in the Sanenrejo sub-watershed (2011–2019)_
| Month | Rainfall (mm/year) | Number of rainy days (day) | Rain intensity | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993–2010 | 2011–2019 | D | 1993–2010 | 2011–2019 | D | 1993–2010 | 2011–2019 | D | |
| Wet season | −140** | 1.269** | 1.409 | −4 | 73** | 77 | −2.50** | −0.39** | 2.10 |
| Dry season 1 | 27** | −1.055** | −1.082 | 2 | 2** | 0 | −0.39** | −34.17** | −33.78 |
| Dry season 2 | −10** | 224** | 234 | −1 | 56** | 56 | −2.02** | 3.39** | 5.41 |
| Wet season | −64** | 120** | 184 | −1 | 91** | 92 | −0.75** | −18.17** | −17.42 |
| Dry season | 11** | 74** | 64 | 0 | 51** | 51 | −0.16** | −29.96** | −29.80 |
| Annual | −54** | 323** | 377 | −2 | −152** | 154 | −1.38** | −26.41** | −25.04 |