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Potential Influence of Urban Sprawl and Changing Land Surface Temperature on Outdoor Thermal Comfort in Lagos State, Nigeria Cover

Potential Influence of Urban Sprawl and Changing Land Surface Temperature on Outdoor Thermal Comfort in Lagos State, Nigeria

Open Access
|Jan 2021

Figures & Tables

Fig. 1

Map of the study area.
Map of the study area.

Fig. 2

Spatial variation in land cover.
Spatial variation in land cover.

Fig. 3

Changes in land cover during 1984–2019.
Changes in land cover during 1984–2019.

Fig. 4

Areal changes in the coverage of land cover within the six focus LGAs during 1984–2019.
Areal changes in the coverage of land cover within the six focus LGAs during 1984–2019.

Fig. 5

Spatial variation in LST.
Spatial variation in LST.

Fig. 6

Distribution of mean LST.
Distribution of mean LST.

Fig. 7

Changes in mean LST.
Changes in mean LST.

Fig. 8

Mean LSTs associated with the different land cover classes.
Mean LSTs associated with the different land cover classes.

Fig. 9

Some parts of Alimosho LGA. a – Ikotun Bus stop/garage; b – Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) terminal along Ikotun-Idimu road in Alimosho LGA (year 2020).
Some parts of Alimosho LGA. a – Ikotun Bus stop/garage; b – Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) terminal along Ikotun-Idimu road in Alimosho LGA (year 2020).

Fig. 10

Some parts of Ikorodu LGA. a – Sprawl in Ikorodu driven partly by the construction of dual-carriage main access; b – Ikorodu Bus stop/garage (year 2020).
Some parts of Ikorodu LGA. a – Sprawl in Ikorodu driven partly by the construction of dual-carriage main access; b – Ikorodu Bus stop/garage (year 2020).

Fig. 11

Heat stress map for Lagos State on 30 January 2019 with mean LST. a – UTCI *1 from utci.org; b – UTCI **2 from climatechip.org.
Heat stress map for Lagos State on 30 January 2019 with mean LST. a – UTCI *1 from utci.org; b – UTCI **2 from climatechip.org.

Minimum and maximum LSTs [°C] associated with the different land cover classes_

YearLand Cover*NMin LSTMax LST
1984Bare Land4325.5631.32
Built-up Area62023.7532.86
Mixed Forest10723.7530.86
Wetland Forest4225.2829.56
Total81623.7532.86
2001Bare Land4325.6033.38
Built-up Area62025.5734.26
Mixed Forest10724.9131.87
Wetland Forest4225.0031.14
Total81624.9134.26
2019Bare Land3027.8832.34
Built-up Area41126.2433.83
Mixed Forest9425.7433.17
Wetland Forest4222.7333.12
Total57722.7333.83

UTCI heat stress index with LST for Lagos State on January 30, 2019_

S/NLGAMean LST [°C] 2019UTCI *1 [°C]Heat Stress Level *1UTCI **2 [°C]Heat Stress Level **2
1Agege32.8433.83S35.58S
2Ajeromi-Ifelodun31.4431.70M33.62S
3Alimosho31.9832.50S34.36S
4Amuwo-Odofin29.4228.80M30.98M
5Apapa29.6129.10M31.22M
6Badagry29.0128.30M31.46M
7Epe29.9429.60M30.61M
8Eti-Osa31.4731.80M33.66S
9Ibeju-Lekki30.3030.10M32.11S
10Ifako-Ijaiye32.7833.70S35.49S
11Ikeja32.3233.00S34.84S
12Ikorodu30.8330.10M32.10S
13Kosofe31.5531.90M33.77S
14Lagos Island30.5830.50M32.48S
15Lagos Mainland30.5930.50M32.49S
16Mushin31.3631.60M33.51S
17Ojo30.0629.70M31.80M
18Oshodi-Isolo31.9132.40S34.26S
19Somolu31.6932.10S33.96S
20Surulere31.3131.20M33.10S
Maximum temp for that day34.0035.70S37.30S

Areal distribution in the coverage of land cover between 1984 and 2019_

S/NLand CoverArea in 1984Area in 2001Area in 2019
[km2][%][km2][%][km2][%]
1Bare Land136.603.76189.815.23142.273.86
2Built-up Area134.583.70464.2112.781041.8828.24
3Mixed Forest1708.1047.021466.4540.371043.0529.13
4Water Body761.8820.97748.7720.61714.3219.36
5Wetland Forest – including mangrove and swamps794.8721.88763.2921.01678.9018.40
6Cloud Cover96.492.6617.070.46
Total3632.52100.003632.52100.003637.49100.00

Contribution index (CI) for 1984, 2001 and 2019_

Land cover198420012019
Dt [°C]SCIDt [°C]SCIDt [°C]SCI
Bare land−0.170.04−0.01−0.170.05−0.010.230.040.01
Built-up area0.370.040.010.450.130.060.410.280.12
Mixed forest−1.510.47−0.71−1.730.40−0.70−1.270.29−0.37
Wetland forest−1.320.22−0.29−1.790.21−0.38−1.360.18−0.25

Areal changes in land cover within the six focus LGAs between 1984 and 2019_

LGA198420012019198420012019198420012019198420012019
Bare landBuilt-up areaMixed forestWetland forest
Area [km2]
Alimosho16.8428.480.324.1091.26150.88118.8344.8710.5343.8218.9521.63
Badagry26.1140.3717.980.8316.43111.63188.05207.05130.91110.65123.78130.28
Eti-Osa6.8524.5215.359.0635.63113.8986.2079.2435.0058.3724.7812.66
Ifako-Ijaiye6.784.440.003.2118.1225.2115.353.571.001.050.260.31
Ikorodu3.9113.611.452.2742.06181.42280.92238.1591.8577.0669.3488.94
Ojo16.2416.925.751.2136.3462.0054.1742.1822.9341.9847.7554.37
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/quageo-2021-0001 | Journal eISSN: 2081-6383 | Journal ISSN: 2082-2103
Language: English
Page range: 5 - 23
Submitted on: Sep 3, 2020
Published on: Jan 29, 2021
Published by: Adam Mickiewicz University
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year
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© 2021 Jerry N. Obiefuna, Chukwuma J. Okolie, Peter C. Nwilo, Olagoke E. Daramola, Lawrence C. Isiofia, published by Adam Mickiewicz University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.