Figure 1
Estimation of impact of pork-barrel mayors’ characteristics on municipal investment expenditures per capita in the region of Lodz (Central Poland)
| Abbreviation of independent variable | Dependent variable: natural logarithm of municipal investment expenditures | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Transportation | Education | Public administration | |
| Intercept | **** 2.8058 (0.1051) | **** 2.4381 (0.1104) | **** 1.7940 (0.1230) | **** 1.0821 (0.0880) |
| ln INEXPCit-1 | **** 0.5502 (0.0148) | **** 0.4982 (0.0150) | **** 0.4154 (0.0168) | **** 0.3558 (0.0176) |
| ELECt | **** 0.3702 (0.0932) | *** 0.5497 (0.1696) | –0.0458 (0.2319) | –0.2760 (0.1695) |
| FIRSTit | ** −0.0719 (0.0287) | −0.0631 (0.0519) | * 0.1336 (0.0694) | 0.0241 (0.0508) |
| PARTYit | −0.0223 (0.0308) | * −0.1014 (0.0560) | ** −0.1771 (0.0769) | 0.0085 (0.0560) |
| MALEit | * −0.0730 (0.0440) | −0.1023 (0.0799) | −0.1736 (0.1092) | −0.0656 (0.0799) |
| ELECt·FIRSTit | ** −0.1367 (0.0574) | −0.1415 (0.1047) | −0.2144 (0.1428) | 0.0333 (0.1044) |
| ELECt·PARTYit | −0.0402 (0.0633) | 0.0337 (0.1152) | * −0.2673 (0.1574) | 0.0613 (0.1151) |
| ELECt·MALEit | 0.0300 (0.0907) | −0.1390 (0.1650) | 0.2240 (0.2256) | 0.1655 (0.1650) |
| POPULit | 0.0002 (0.0002) | 0.0006 (0.0004) | 0.0005 (0.0005) | **** 0.0024 (0.0004) |
| R2 | 0.3701 | 0.3013 | 0.1811 | 0.1442 |
Level of significance at which the null hypothesis should be rejected and the alternative accepted
| Alternative hypothesis | Dependent variable: natural logarithm of municipal investment expenditures | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | Transportation | Education | Public administration | |
| H1 – ELECt·FIRSTit is a significant determinant of municipal investment expenditures | (–) 0.0173 | (–) 0.1766 | (–) 0.1332 | 0.7495 |
| H2 – ELECt·PARTYit is a significant determinant of municipal investment expenditures | (–) 0.5250 | 0.7698 | (–) 0.0895 | 0.5941 |
| H3 – ELECt·MALEit is a significant determinant of municipal investment expenditures | 0.7404 | (–) 0.3996 | 0.3208 | 0.3157 |