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Urban Car-Sharing Viability in the Knowledge Economy: A Monte Carlo-Based Planning Tool for Shared Mobility Policy Cover

Urban Car-Sharing Viability in the Knowledge Economy: A Monte Carlo-Based Planning Tool for Shared Mobility Policy

Open Access
|Dec 2025

Figures & Tables

Likelihood of a car-sharing business being successful according to the resident population size, given the Berlin market situation

Population sizeNumber of cases in which the corresponding population size allowed the car-sharing entity to achieve its critical massLikelihood of achieving critical mass (non-cumulative)
0 – 200,00000.00%
200,001 – 400,00000.00%
401,000 – 600,00000.00%
600,001 – 800,00000.00%
800,001 – 1,000,00000.00%
1,000,001 – 1,200,0003293.29%
1,200,001 – 1,400,0006069.35%
1,400,001 – 1,600,00071316.48%
1,600,001 – 1,800,00076124.09%
1,800,001 – 2,000,00089533.04%
2,000,001 – 2,200,00085641.60%
2,200,001 – 2,400,00083349.93%
2,400,001 – 2,600,00077157.64%
2,600,001 – 2,800,00084366.07%
2,800,001 – 3,000,00069973.06%
3,000,001 – 3,200,00052878.34%
3,200,001 – 3,400,00049483.28%
3,400,001 – 3,600,00044387.71%
3,600,001 – 3,800,00030390.74%
3,800,001 – 4,000,00024893%
more than 4,000,001678100%
Total10,000

j_mdke-2025-0019_tab_002

WebsiteCategorySub-category
https://rocketeach.co/uni-urban-mobility-international-gmbh-profile_6452b71fc8d4b76Fixed costsGross employment costs
https://teleport.org/cities/berlin/salaries/Fixed costsGross employment costs
https://www.salaryexpert.com/salary/job/secretary/germany/berlinFixed costsGross employment costs
https://www.bmfe-steuern.de/Fixed costsGross employment costs
https://www.opinet/news/channel/003-wholesaler/united-stations-office-supplies-and-business-sales/Fixed costsOffice equipment & other utilities
https://www.companyformationgermany.com/Fixed costsCompany funding costs
https://ussianagabond.com/cost-of-setting-up-business-in-germany-how-much-will-you-need/Fixed costsCompany funding costs
https://albaniabizinfo.com/guides/start-a-business-germany/Fixed costsCompany funding costs
https://fulli.com/web-development-costs/Fixed costsWeb development costs
https://www.salaryexpert.com/salary/job/manager/germany/berlinFixed costsOwner’s wage
https://www.investopedia.com/best-car-rental-software-5091851Fixed costsCar-sharing app/software
https://www.softwareworld.co/best-car-rental-software/Fixed costsCar-sharing app/software
https://sourceforge.net/software/car-rental/Fixed costsCar-sharing app/software
https://iguazio.io/taxi-software/pricing/Fixed costsCar-sharing app/software
https://www.capterra.com/p/135421/Car-Rental-Software/Fixed costsCar-sharing app/software
https://www.thebalance.com/best-car-rental-software-5119211Fixed costsCar-sharing app/software
https://www.just-neuwagen.de/leasing-uw-volkswagen-uw/schraeghecklimousine/Fixed costsCar leasing costs
https://www.gelbe-anzeigen.de/preise-202004935Fixed costsInterest costs for the initial investment
https://globalpetrolprices.com/Germany/electricity_price/Variable costsFuel costs
https://run.taks.de/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:de:shb:diva-35485Variable costsFuel costs
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2021.103366Variable costsFuel costs
https://www.mpld.eu/stations/germany/pricesVariable costsFuel costs
https://cmspay.eu/blogs/scheme-fees-in-germany/Variable costsElectronic payment fees
https://www.hanseatic.com/career/entrepreneur-germany/business-taxesTaxes
https://www.share-now.com/de/en/pricing-berlin/#footnotesPrices
https://www.sixte.de/share/car-sharing/Prices
https://www.we-share.io/de/berlinPrices
https://www.berlin.de/umweltatlas/en/land-use/population-of-service/Expected Use of Service
https://www.statista.com/study/26783/car-sharing-in-germany-statista-dossier/Expected Use of Service
https://www.statista.com/study/40459/mobility-services-report/Expected Use of Service
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/mdke-2025-0019 | Journal eISSN: 2392-8042 | Journal ISSN: 2286-2668
Language: English
Page range: 340 - 356
Submitted on: Oct 2, 2025
|
Accepted on: Dec 10, 2025
|
Published on: Dec 22, 2025
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2025 Matteo SAGLIA, Katrin ZULAUF, Paul DION, Ralf WAGNER, published by Scoala Nationala de Studii Politice si Administrative
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.