Fig. 1.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 3.

Fig. 4.

Detection of progesterone (P4) by cattle sex and age in the earlier part of the investigation
| Age (months) | Year of sampling | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |||
| Male cattle | Sample size | 122 | 124 | 117 | 59 | 52 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | >12 | 22 / 7 | 35 / 26 | 26 / 26 | 6 / 4 | 7 / 2 | |
| <12 to ≤24 | 94 / 36 | 78/ 67 | 69 / 60 | 42 / 24 | 38 / 19 | ||
| >24 | 5 / 4 | 8 / 7 | 15 / 13 | 10 / 7 | 7 / 4 | ||
| not specified | 1 / 1 | 3 / 1 | 7 / 0 | 1 / 0 | 0 / 0 | ||
| Female cattle | Sample size | 132 | 146 | 140 | 165 | 130 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | ≤6 | 20 / 2 | 37 / 25 | 15 / 14 | 8 / 6 | 8 / 4 | |
| >6 to ≤12 | 12 / 6 | 11 / 10 | 17 / 17 | 9 / 5 | 4 / 1 | ||
| ≤12 | 32 / 8 | 48 / 35 | 32 / 31 | 17 /11 | 12 / 5 | ||
| >12 to ≤24 | 64 / 32 | 60 / 58 | 41 / 40 | 60 / 48 | 38 / 28 | ||
| >2 | 35 / 21 | 36 / 36 | 67 / 65 | 88 / 78 | 80 / 65 | ||
| not specified | 1 / 0 | 2 / 2 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age sample size | 254 | 270 | 257 | 224 | 182 | |
| Male cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 48 | 101 | 99 | 35 | 25 | |
| Percentage | 39 | 81 | 85 | 59 | 48 | ||
| Female cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 61 | 131 | 136 | 137 | 98 | |
| Percentage | 46 | 90 | 97 | 83 | 75 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age number tested with detected P4 | 109 | 232 | 235 | 172 | 123 | |
| Percentage | 43 | 86 | 91 | 77 | 68 | ||
Serum progesterone (P4) concentration levels in the studied cattle population, and levels in females that may indicate the current oestrous cycle phase
| Age (months) | Concentration (μg L−1) | Number of results below decision limit | Percentage of results below decision limit | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minimum | Maximum | Mean | Median | Standard deviation | 95thCentile | 99thCentile | |||||
| Male cattle | ≤12 | 0.001 | 31.792 | 1.170 | 0.174 | 4.187 | 4.038 | 19.227 | 16 | 24 | |
| >12 to ≤24 | 0.002 | 4.154 | 0.385 | 0.138 | 0.598 | 1.572 | 3.044 | 65 | 26 | ||
| >24 | 0.019 | 3.905 | 0.727 | 0.172 | 1.042 | 3.138 | 3.804 | 7 | 13 | ||
| All ages combined | 0.001 | 31.792 | 0.575 | 0.155 | 1.905 | 2.169 | 4.310 | 90 | 24 | ||
| Female cattle | ≤6 | 0.010 | 61.842 | 2.541 | 0.216 | 10.615 | 3.640 | 54.755 | 10 | 19 | |
| >6 to ≤12 | 0.001 | 11.503 | 0.791 | 0.206 | 1.895 | 2.038 | 8.442 | 5 | 13 | ||
| ≤12 | 0.001 | 61.842 | 1.799 | 0.211 | 8.164 | 2.689 | 49.439 | 15 | 16 | ||
| >12 to ≤24 | 0.004 | 71.415 | 2.031 | 0.659 | 6.706 | 5.108 | 23.866 | 28 | 11 | ||
| >24 | 0.002 | 496.059 | 6.348 | 0.720 | 35.245 | 13.667 | 109.185 | 35 | 11 | ||
| All ages combined | 0.001 | 496.059 | 4.083 | 0.622 | 25.130 | 8.542 | 68.112 | 78 | 11 | ||
| Female cattle | ≤6 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.010 | 0.996 | 0.240 | 0.108 | 0.717 | 0.968 | |||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.011 | 5.998 | 2.009 | 1.151 | 4.819 | 5.762 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | |||||
| >6 to ≤12 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.001 | 0.816 | 0.231 | 0.122 | 0.757 | 0.811 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.036 | 3.449 | 1.742 | 1.604 | 2.979 | 3.355 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | |||||
| ≤12 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.001 | 0.996 | 0.236 | 0.119 | 0.753 | 0.947 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.011 | 5.998 | 1.875 | 1.446 | 4.341 | 5.666 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.449 | 5.998 | 4.723 | 4.723 | 5.870 | 5.971 | |||||
| >12 to ≤24 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0.347 | 0.250 | 0.875 | 0.980 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.024 | 5.809 | 2.511 | 2.264 | 5.098 | 5.359 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.007 | 5.809 | 4.035 | 3.718 | 5.316 | 5.675 | |||||
| ≥24 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0.343 | 0.299 | 0.859 | 0.981 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.002 | 7.996 | 2.831 | 2.154 | 6.027 | 7.898 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.085 | 6.351 | 4.424 | 4.147 | 6.027 | 6.307 | |||||
| All ages combined | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.001 | 0.999 | 0.323 | 0.245 | 0.845 | 0.991 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.002 | 7.996 | 2.635 | 2.154 | 5.745 | 7.833 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.007 | 6.351 | 4.264 | 4.037 | 5.960 | 6.267 | |||||
Detection of progesterone (P4) by cattle sex and age in the later part of the investigation and a summary of the entire research period
| Age (months) | Year of sampling | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2017–2021 | |||
| Male cattle | Sample size | 79 | 34 | 43 | 12 | 642 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | ≤12 | 6 / 0 | 4 / 1 | 3 / 2 | 0 / 0 | 109 / 68 | |
| >12 to ≤24 | 61 / 20 | 21/ 5 | 28 / 10 | 7 / 6 | 438 / 247 | ||
| >24 | 12 / 6 | 8 / 3 | 10 / 7 | 5 / 5 | 80 / 56 | ||
| not specified | 0 / 0 | 1 / 1 | 2 / 1 | 0 / 0 | 15 / 4 | ||
| Female cattle | Sample size | 95 | 55 | 27 | 5 | 895 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | ≤6 | 0 / 0 | 2 / 0 | 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 | 92 / 53 | |
| >6 to ≤12 | 3 / 0 | 4 / 0 | 2 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 62 / 39 | ||
| ≤12 | 3 / 0 | 6 / 0 | 3 / 1 | 1 / 1 | 154 / 92 | ||
| >12 to ≤24 | 38 / 22 | 24 / 17 | 8 / 6 | 3 / 3 | 336 / 254 | ||
| >24 months | 54 / 31 | 25 / 21 | 14 / 11 | 1 / 1 | 400 / 329 | ||
| not specified | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 2 / 2 | 0 / 0 | 5 / 4 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age sample size | 174 | 89 | 70 | 17 | 1,537 | |
| Male cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 26 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 375 | |
| Percentage | 33 | 29 | 47 | 92 | 57 | ||
| Female cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 53 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 679 | |
| Percentage | 56 | 69 | 74 | 100 | 77 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age number tested with detected P4 | 79 | 48 | 40 | 16 | 1,054 | |
| Percentage | 45 | 54 | 57 | 94 | 68 | ||
Method parameters for P4 detection in bovine serum samples (n = 18)
| Parameter | Spiking level (μg L−1) | |
|---|---|---|
| Mean concentration (μg L−1) / apparent recovery (%) | 0.500 | 0.433 / 86.5 |
| 1.000 | 0.893 / 89.3 | |
| 2.000 | 1.778 / 88.9 | |
| Repeatability (sr, μg L−1) / RSD (%) | 0.500 | 0.056 / 12.8 |
| 1.000 | 0.111 / 12.4 | |
| 2.000 | 0.333 / 18.7 | |
| Within-lab reproducibility (sR, μg L−1) / RSD (%) | 0.500 | 0.066 / 15.2 |
| 1.000 | 0.193 / 21.6 | |
| 2.000 | 0.366 / 20.6 | |
| Decision limit (CCa, μg L−1) | 0.058 | |
| Detection capability (CCβ, μg L−1) | 0.100 | |
| Expanded measurement uncertainty (U, k = 2, %) | 0.500 | 47 |
| 1.000 | 50 | |
| 2.000 | 55 | |
| Standard calibration curve | ||
| Slope ± sb | 3.2134 ± 0.7344 | |
| y-intercept ± sa | 0.1394 ± 0.0642 | |
| Correlation coefficient | 0.9999 | |
| Standard error | 0.1169 | |
| Matrix-matched calibration curve | ||
| Slope ± sb | 2.8158 ± 0.0242 | |
| y-intercept ± sa | -0.0952 ± 0.7603 | |
| Correlation coefficient | 0.9999 | |
| Standard error | 0.0951 | |