Table 1.
Method parameters for P4 detection in bovine serum samples (n = 18)
| Parameter | Spiking level (μg L−1) | |
|---|---|---|
| Mean concentration (μg L−1) / apparent recovery (%) | 0.500 | 0.433 / 86.5 |
| 1.000 | 0.893 / 89.3 | |
| 2.000 | 1.778 / 88.9 | |
| Repeatability (sr, μg L−1) / RSD (%) | 0.500 | 0.056 / 12.8 |
| 1.000 | 0.111 / 12.4 | |
| 2.000 | 0.333 / 18.7 | |
| Within-lab reproducibility (sR, μg L−1) / RSD (%) | 0.500 | 0.066 / 15.2 |
| 1.000 | 0.193 / 21.6 | |
| 2.000 | 0.366 / 20.6 | |
| Decision limit (CCa, μg L−1) | 0.058 | |
| Detection capability (CCβ, μg L−1) | 0.100 | |
| Expanded measurement uncertainty (U, k = 2, %) | 0.500 | 47 |
| 1.000 | 50 | |
| 2.000 | 55 | |
| Standard calibration curve | ||
| Slope ± sb | 3.2134 ± 0.7344 | |
| y-intercept ± sa | 0.1394 ± 0.0642 | |
| Correlation coefficient | 0.9999 | |
| Standard error | 0.1169 | |
| Matrix-matched calibration curve | ||
| Slope ± sb | 2.8158 ± 0.0242 | |
| y-intercept ± sa | -0.0952 ± 0.7603 | |
| Correlation coefficient | 0.9999 | |
| Standard error | 0.0951 | |
Table 2.
Detection of progesterone (P4) by cattle sex and age in the earlier part of the investigation
| Age (months) | Year of sampling | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |||
| Male cattle | Sample size | 122 | 124 | 117 | 59 | 52 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | >12 | 22 / 7 | 35 / 26 | 26 / 26 | 6 / 4 | 7 / 2 | |
| <12 to ≤24 | 94 / 36 | 78/ 67 | 69 / 60 | 42 / 24 | 38 / 19 | ||
| >24 | 5 / 4 | 8 / 7 | 15 / 13 | 10 / 7 | 7 / 4 | ||
| not specified | 1 / 1 | 3 / 1 | 7 / 0 | 1 / 0 | 0 / 0 | ||
| Female cattle | Sample size | 132 | 146 | 140 | 165 | 130 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | ≤6 | 20 / 2 | 37 / 25 | 15 / 14 | 8 / 6 | 8 / 4 | |
| >6 to ≤12 | 12 / 6 | 11 / 10 | 17 / 17 | 9 / 5 | 4 / 1 | ||
| ≤12 | 32 / 8 | 48 / 35 | 32 / 31 | 17 /11 | 12 / 5 | ||
| >12 to ≤24 | 64 / 32 | 60 / 58 | 41 / 40 | 60 / 48 | 38 / 28 | ||
| >2 | 35 / 21 | 36 / 36 | 67 / 65 | 88 / 78 | 80 / 65 | ||
| not specified | 1 / 0 | 2 / 2 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age sample size | 254 | 270 | 257 | 224 | 182 | |
| Male cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 48 | 101 | 99 | 35 | 25 | |
| Percentage | 39 | 81 | 85 | 59 | 48 | ||
| Female cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 61 | 131 | 136 | 137 | 98 | |
| Percentage | 46 | 90 | 97 | 83 | 75 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age number tested with detected P4 | 109 | 232 | 235 | 172 | 123 | |
| Percentage | 43 | 86 | 91 | 77 | 68 | ||
Table 3.
Detection of progesterone (P4) by cattle sex and age in the later part of the investigation and a summary of the entire research period
| Age (months) | Year of sampling | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2017–2021 | |||
| Male cattle | Sample size | 79 | 34 | 43 | 12 | 642 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | ≤12 | 6 / 0 | 4 / 1 | 3 / 2 | 0 / 0 | 109 / 68 | |
| >12 to ≤24 | 61 / 20 | 21/ 5 | 28 / 10 | 7 / 6 | 438 / 247 | ||
| >24 | 12 / 6 | 8 / 3 | 10 / 7 | 5 / 5 | 80 / 56 | ||
| not specified | 0 / 0 | 1 / 1 | 2 / 1 | 0 / 0 | 15 / 4 | ||
| Female cattle | Sample size | 95 | 55 | 27 | 5 | 895 | |
| Number tested / with detected P4 | ≤6 | 0 / 0 | 2 / 0 | 1 / 1 | 1 / 1 | 92 / 53 | |
| >6 to ≤12 | 3 / 0 | 4 / 0 | 2 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 62 / 39 | ||
| ≤12 | 3 / 0 | 6 / 0 | 3 / 1 | 1 / 1 | 154 / 92 | ||
| >12 to ≤24 | 38 / 22 | 24 / 17 | 8 / 6 | 3 / 3 | 336 / 254 | ||
| >24 months | 54 / 31 | 25 / 21 | 14 / 11 | 1 / 1 | 400 / 329 | ||
| not specified | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 | 2 / 2 | 0 / 0 | 5 / 4 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age sample size | 174 | 89 | 70 | 17 | 1,537 | |
| Male cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 26 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 375 | |
| Percentage | 33 | 29 | 47 | 92 | 57 | ||
| Female cattle | All-age number tested with detected P4 | 53 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 679 | |
| Percentage | 56 | 69 | 74 | 100 | 77 | ||
| Male and female cattle | Combined all-age number tested with detected P4 | 79 | 48 | 40 | 16 | 1,054 | |
| Percentage | 45 | 54 | 57 | 94 | 68 | ||

Fig. 1.
Histogram of progesterone concentrations in male cattle

Fig. 2.
Histogram of progesterone concentrations in female cattle. The charts on the left present concentration data for specific age groups (including the entire cows population); the histograms on the right side show progesterone concentrations that may indicate the current oestrous cycle phase

Fig. 3.
Histogram of progesterone concentrations in female cattle. The charts on the left present concentration data for specific age groups; the histograms on the right side show progesterone concentrations that may indicate the current oestrous cycle phase (continuation of Fig. 2)
Table 4.
Serum progesterone (P4) concentration levels in the studied cattle population, and levels in females that may indicate the current oestrous cycle phase
| Age (months) | Concentration (μg L−1) | Number of results below decision limit | Percentage of results below decision limit | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minimum | Maximum | Mean | Median | Standard deviation | 95thCentile | 99thCentile | |||||
| Male cattle | ≤12 | 0.001 | 31.792 | 1.170 | 0.174 | 4.187 | 4.038 | 19.227 | 16 | 24 | |
| >12 to ≤24 | 0.002 | 4.154 | 0.385 | 0.138 | 0.598 | 1.572 | 3.044 | 65 | 26 | ||
| >24 | 0.019 | 3.905 | 0.727 | 0.172 | 1.042 | 3.138 | 3.804 | 7 | 13 | ||
| All ages combined | 0.001 | 31.792 | 0.575 | 0.155 | 1.905 | 2.169 | 4.310 | 90 | 24 | ||
| Female cattle | ≤6 | 0.010 | 61.842 | 2.541 | 0.216 | 10.615 | 3.640 | 54.755 | 10 | 19 | |
| >6 to ≤12 | 0.001 | 11.503 | 0.791 | 0.206 | 1.895 | 2.038 | 8.442 | 5 | 13 | ||
| ≤12 | 0.001 | 61.842 | 1.799 | 0.211 | 8.164 | 2.689 | 49.439 | 15 | 16 | ||
| >12 to ≤24 | 0.004 | 71.415 | 2.031 | 0.659 | 6.706 | 5.108 | 23.866 | 28 | 11 | ||
| >24 | 0.002 | 496.059 | 6.348 | 0.720 | 35.245 | 13.667 | 109.185 | 35 | 11 | ||
| All ages combined | 0.001 | 496.059 | 4.083 | 0.622 | 25.130 | 8.542 | 68.112 | 78 | 11 | ||
| Female cattle | ≤6 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.010 | 0.996 | 0.240 | 0.108 | 0.717 | 0.968 | |||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.011 | 5.998 | 2.009 | 1.151 | 4.819 | 5.762 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | 5.998 | |||||
| >6 to ≤12 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.001 | 0.816 | 0.231 | 0.122 | 0.757 | 0.811 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.036 | 3.449 | 1.742 | 1.604 | 2.979 | 3.355 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | 3.449 | |||||
| ≤12 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.001 | 0.996 | 0.236 | 0.119 | 0.753 | 0.947 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.011 | 5.998 | 1.875 | 1.446 | 4.341 | 5.666 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.449 | 5.998 | 4.723 | 4.723 | 5.870 | 5.971 | |||||
| >12 to ≤24 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.004 | 0.997 | 0.347 | 0.250 | 0.875 | 0.980 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.024 | 5.809 | 2.511 | 2.264 | 5.098 | 5.359 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.007 | 5.809 | 4.035 | 3.718 | 5.316 | 5.675 | |||||
| ≥24 | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.002 | 0.999 | 0.343 | 0.299 | 0.859 | 0.981 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.002 | 7.996 | 2.831 | 2.154 | 6.027 | 7.898 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.085 | 6.351 | 4.424 | 4.147 | 6.027 | 6.307 | |||||
| All ages combined | P4 conc. <1 (oestrus) | 0.001 | 0.999 | 0.323 | 0.245 | 0.845 | 0.991 | ||||
| P4 conc. >1 (ovulation) | 1.002 | 7.996 | 2.635 | 2.154 | 5.745 | 7.833 | |||||
| P4 conc. ≥3 and ≤7 (midluteal period) | 3.007 | 6.351 | 4.264 | 4.037 | 5.960 | 6.267 | |||||

Fig. 4.
Chromatograms of A – a blank bovine serum sample; B – a serum sample spiked with progesterone (P4) at 0.500 μg L−1; C – a serum sample from a male bovine with P4 detected at the concentration of 1.336 μg L−1; D – a serum sample from a female bovine with P4 detected at the concentration of 13.548 μg L−1 and diagrams of structure of P4 and its heptafluorobutyric anhydride (HFBA) derivative); E – a serum sample from female bovine with P4 detected at the concentration of 4.734 μg L−1; F – a serum sample from female bovine with P4 detected at the concentration of 0.362 μg L−1. 17β-T-D2 – deuterated analogue of 17β-testosterone used as internal standard