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Personality traits and select socio-demographic variables as predictors of military morale: longitudinal research in the Estonian defence forces Cover

Personality traits and select socio-demographic variables as predictors of military morale: longitudinal research in the Estonian defence forces

By: Antek Kasemaa and  Ülle Säälik  
Open Access
|Apr 2021

Figures & Tables

Means, standard deviations and correlations (Spearman's ρ) of the Big Five personality traits and military morale at three different time points

VariablemSD12345678
Time 1 (n = 347)
1. Openness3.410.48(0.75)
2. Conscientiousness3.120.470.13*(0.77)
3. Extraversion3.150.640.31**0.03(0.88)
4. Agreeableness3.660.410.25**0.29**0.14**(0.80)
5. Neuroticism2.190.57−0.21**−0.32**−0.17**−0.30**(0.87)
6. DMorale1 (SUM)23.370.640.010.17**0.17**0.18**−0.22**(0.67)
7. DMorale (individual)33.560.790.14**0.35**0.21**0.16**−0.33**0.64**(−)
8. DMorale (collective)3.270.77−0.040.040.11*0.15**−0.090.91**0.29**(0.81)

Time 2 (n = 1,298)5
6. DMorale (SUM)43.110.83−0.010.19**0.23**0.07−0.16*(0.85)
7. DMorale (individual)33.231.040.020.20**0.15*0.06−0.140.74**(−)
8. DMorale (collective)3.080.87−0.020.16*0.24**0.08−0.14*0.96**0.54**(0.83)

Time 3 (n = 1,044)6
6. DMorale (SUM)43.320.860.050.21**0.19*0.15−0.12(0.82)
7. DMorale (individual)33.481.02−0.010.26**0.150.12−0.080.77**(−)
8. DMorale (collective)3.290.900.070.18*0.18*0.14−0.120.97**0.61**(0.81)

The results of binary logistic regression, predicting individual and collective types of military morale (DV) at Time 3 by personality and socio-demographic variables (IVs)

Predictor (IV)BSEWald's χ2dfpExp(B)95% CI for Exp(B)

LowerUpper
Time 3: Individual morale (DV), n = 1,236

Positionnana8.35620.015nanana
Position (1)0.3550.1654.63610.0311.4261.0321.971
Position (2)0.5690.2694.48710.0341.7671.0432.993
Constant0.1240.0643.76510.0521.132nana

χ2dfp

Likelihood ratio test 8.58020.014
Hosmer and Lemeshow 0.00011.000
R2 = 0.005 (Hosmer and Lemeshow), 0.007 (Cox and Snell), 0.009 (Nagelkerke)

Time 3: Collective morale (DV), n = 1,113

Educationnana5.32820.070nanana
Education (1)−0.2840.1942.14110.1430.7530.5151.101
Education (2)−0.5830.2535.31810.0210.5580.3400.916
Place of residencenana9.78840.044nanana
Place of residence (1)−0.2750.1981.93410.1640.7600.5161.119
Place of residence (2)−0.3450.1973.07310.0800.7080.4811.042
Place of residence (3)−0.2130.2780.58810.4430.8080.4681.394
Place of residence (4)−0.4930.1609.54110.0020.6110.4470.835
Constant0.8530.21316.04210.0002.346nana

χ2dfp

Likelihood ratio test 15.87060.014
Hosmer and Lemeshow 1.23350.942
R2 = 0.010 (Hosmer and Lemeshow), 0.014 (Cox and Snell), 0.019 (Nagelkerke)

The results of binary logistic regression, predicting individual and collective types of military morale (DV1) at Time 1 by personality and socio-demographic variables (IVs2)

Predictor (IV2)BSEWald's χ2dfpExp(B)95% CI for Exp(B)

LowerUpper
Time 1: Individual morale (DV1), n = 317

Openness0.0240.2890.00710.9341.0240.5821.803
Consciousness1.0810.29413.55310.0002.9491.6585.244
Extraversion0.6740.20710.59210.0011.9621.3072.944
Agreeableness0.2840.3220.78210.3771.3290.7072.497
Neuroticism−0.7580.2598.58510.0030.4860.2820.778
Constant−4.5841.8905.87910.0150.010nana

χ2dfp

Likelihood ratio test 54.04950.000
Hosmer and Lemeshow 11.89280.156
R2 = 0.125 (Hosmer and Lemeshow), 0.157 (Cox and Snell), 0.211 (Nagelkerke)

Time 1: Collective morale (DV1), n = 281

Openness−0.5820.2953.88510.0490.5590.3130.997
Consciousness−0.1030.2840.13210.7160.9020.5171.575
Extraversion0.2090.2021.06510.3021.2320.8291.832
Agreeableness0.7810.3375.36310.0212.1831.1274.226
Neuroticism−0.3390.2611.68710.1940.7120.4271.189
Language1.2310.6024.18710.0413.4261.05311.144
Educationnana6.35620.042nanana
Education (1)0.4401.4640.09010.7641.5520.08827.335
Education (2)0.4301.4920.08310.7730.6510.03512.107
Constant−0.9102.4230.14110.7070.402nana

χ2dfp

Likelihood ratio test 20.44280.009
Hosmer and Lemeshow 8.44880.391
R2 = 0.053 (Hosmer and Lemeshow), 0.070 (Cox and Snell), 0.094 (Nagelkerke)

Socio-demographic characteristics of research samples

VariableWave 1 (n = 359)Wave 2 (n = 1,354)Wave 3 (n = 1,236)
Gender
  Female41414
  Male3551,3271,115
Language
  Estonian3291,2121,018
  Russian2712895
  Others88
  Missing36115
Education
  Basic2159135
  Secondary2551,002853
  Higher57162130
  Missing4531118
Place of residence
  Countryside149519466
  Small town90299247
  Major town118511417
  Missing225106
Age
  Mean21.3721.5321.62
  SD1.561.571.59
  Minimum181818
  Maximum272728
  Missing111110
Training unit1
  Unit 1238498429
  Unit 28211177
  Unit 349788
  Unit 488154181
  Unit 5145155
  Unit 67792
  Unit 762111
  Unit 874
  Missing21363
Position
  Soldiers3591,133987
  NCOs199183
  Reserve officers2266
Student
  Yes58409230
  No127824500
  Missing174121506

Cohen's d values used to compare the mean differences

VariableMean differenced/gCICLES
1. DMorale1 (IND)2: Time 1 → Time 2−0.33−0.333[−0.449, −0.216]0.593
2. DMorale (IND): Time1 → Time 3−0.08−0.082[−0.199, 0.035]0.523
3. DMorale (IND): Time 2 → Time 30.250.243[0.167, 0.319]0.568
1. DMorale (COL)3: Time 1 → Time 2−0.15−0.176[−0.292, −0.059]0.549
2. DMorale (COL): Time1 → Time 30.0550.064[−0.053, 0.181]0.518
3. DMorale (COL): Time 2 → Time 30.2050.234[0.158, 0.31]0.566
1. DMorale (SUM): Time 1 → Time 2−0.219−0.276[−0.392, −0.16]0.577
2. DMorale (SUM): Time1 → Time 3−0.003−0.003[−0.12, 0.114]0.501
3. DMorale (SUM): Time 2 → Time 30.2170.259[0.183, 0.336]0.573

The results of binary logistic regression, predicting individual and collective types of military morale (DV) at Time 2 by personality and socio-demographic variables (IVs)

Predictor (IV)BSEWald's χ2dfpExp(B)95% CI for Exp(B)

LowerUpper
Time 2: Individual morale (DV), n = 1,227

Age−0.0720.0373.79210.0510.9300.8651.000
Positionnana5.91720.052nanana
Position (1)0.3820.1595.74110.0171.4651.0722.003
Position (2)−0.1240.4420.07910.7780.8830.3722.099
Status of student0.3070.1246.14510.0131.3601.0661.734
Constant1.0640.8091.72810.1892.897nana

χ2dfp

Likelihood ratio test 16.12040.003
Hosmer and Lemeshow 15.09070.35
R2 = 0.010 (Hosmer and Lemeshow), 0.013 (Cox and Snell), 0.017 (Nagelkerke)

Time 2: Collective morale (DV), n = 1,219

Status of student0.3380.1286.97110.0081.4021.0911.801
Educationnana9.45920.009nanana
Education (1)−0.3500.1923.32210.0680.7050.4841.027
Education (2)−0.7600.2499.32310.0020.4680.2870.762
Positionnana11.59820.003nanana
Position (1)0.1380.1600.74210.3891.1480.8391.572
Position (2)2.0980.63011.08710.0018.1472.37028.004
Constant0.0110.2150.00310.9581.011nana

χ2dfp

Likelihood ratio test 35.60450.000
Hosmer and Lemeshow 0.79940.939
R2 = 0.022 (Hosmer and Lemeshow), 0.029 (Cox and Snell) 0.038 (Nagelkerke)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/jms-2021-0003 | Journal eISSN: 1799-3350 | Journal ISSN: 2242-3524
Language: English
Page range: 22 - 37
Submitted on: Jun 1, 2020
|
Accepted on: Mar 8, 2021
|
Published on: Apr 30, 2021
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2021 Antek Kasemaa, Ülle Säälik, published by National Defense University
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.