
Figure 1
Layoff procedure in the Spanish labor jurisdiction.
Source: Authors’ own elaboration.
Notes:
a. Out-of-court settlements are resolved in Spain by the “MAC” units (“Mediation, Arbitration and Conciliation Units”). The majority of out-of-court settlements resolved with an agreement between the employer and the employee end up with the effective firing of the employee. Settlements ended without an agreement are the main group of dismissal conflicts which arrive to the labor courts. Following the data of the Ministry of Employment and Social Security, there was a total of 220,095 out-of-court settlements in 2014, of which 101,426 ended with agreement between the employer and the employee.
b. In 2014, the number of dismissals resolved at the labor court was 118,225. This amount is calculated by adding the number of pre-trial settlements with agreement, the dismissals finally ruled by a labor court, and the number of cases withdrawn (including tacit withdrawals and voluntary dismissal of action by the parties).
c. The number of pre-trial layoff settlements in 2014 was 48,508.
d. In 2014, the number of dismissals resolved at the trial level in the labor courts was 42,992, of which a 78% were dismissals ruled as “unfair” (in favor of the employee).
e. In 2014, 26,725 dismissals were withdrawn (thus, they were not resolved by a judge in a trial) as a result of formal failures, tacit withdrawals, and voluntary dismissal of action by the parties.
Table 1
Definitions of variables and sources of data
| Variable | Definition | Scale/Unit | Period | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Court rulings | Percentage of labor court judgments ruling that the dismissal was fair or justified | % | By court, 2004–2015 | CGPJ |
| D1 (Reform 2010) | Period of enforcement of the 2010 labor market reform | Dummy | 2004–2015 | Self elaboration |
| D2 (Reform 2012) | Period of enforcement of the 2012 labor market reform | Dummy | 2004–2015 | Self elaboration |
| Unemployment rate | Percentage of total workforce which is unemployed and is looking for a paid job (in differences from the average) | % | By province, 2004–2014 | Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE) |
| Profitability | Return on assets (ROA) for the 10% of firms with a lower ROA | % | By province, 2004–2013 | Banco de España |
| Temporary employment rate | Percentage of total workforce which has a fixed-term contract | % | By province, 2004–2014 | Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE) |
| Log of the number of workers under collective dismissals | Logarithm of the number of workers affected by collective dismissals | Logarithm | By province, 2004–2014 | Ministry of Employment and Social Security |
| Proportion of companies with more than 200 employees | Proportion of companies with more than 200 employees over the total number of companies | % | By province, 2004–2014 | Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE) |
| Employment share of services | Percentage of total workforce working on services sector | % | By province, 2004–2014 | Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE) |
| Employment share of industry | Percentage of total workforce working on services sector | % | By province, 2004–2014 | Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE) |
| Employment share of construction | Percentage of total workforce working on services sector | % | By province, 2004–2014 | Spanish National Statistics Institute (INE) |
| Proportion of dismissal lawsuits analyzed (+) by | Percentage of labor court judgments ruling that the dismissal was fair or justified | % | By court, 2004–2015 | CGPJ |
| professional judges over total | by professional judges over all the dismissal lawsuits analyzed by all judges | |||
| Proportion of days with temporary | Proportion of days per 365-days a year with positions | Fraction | By court, 2004–2014 | CGPJ |
| positions at the labor courts per year Judicial congestion rate (dismissals lawsuits) | at the labor courts held by interim judges Ratio between the sum of pending cases in a labor court plus new cases and the cases resolved in the same quarter | Fraction | By court, 2004–2014 | CGPJ |
| Judicial congestion rate (pre-trial settlements) | Ratio between the sum of pending settlements in a labor court plus new settlements and the settlements resolved in the same quarter | % | By court, 2010–2015 | CGPJ |
| Out-of-court settlements ratio | Ratio of the number of out-of- court settlements divided by the sum of those settlements and the total number of dismissal lawsuits | % | By court, 2004–2015 | CGPJ |
[i] Source: Authors’ own elaboration.
Table 2
Descriptive statistics
| Variable | Before 2010 | 2010–2012 | After 2012 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obs | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | Obs | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | Obs | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | |
| Court rulings | 7,444 | 0.2730 | 0.1362 | 0 | 1 | 4,025 | 0.2582 | 0.1180 | 0 | 0.8182 | 3,390 | 0.2268 | 0.1144 | 0 | 1 |
| Unemployment rate (in differences) | 8,328 | –0.0517 | 0.0496 | –0.1364 | 0.1397 | 4,164 | 0.0570 | 0.0638 | –0.0859 | 0.2372 | 2,429 | 0.091 | 0.0658 | –0.0271 | 0.2711 |
| Profitability | 8,328 | 0.0398 | 0.0903 | 0 | 0.8100 | 4,164 | 0.0076 | 0.0338 | 0 | 0.3763 | 1,388 | 0.141 | 12527 | 0 | 13.5382 |
| Temporary employment rate | 8,328 | 0.3089 | 0.0811 | 0.1628 | 0.5949 | 4,164 | 0.2480 | 0.0619 | 0.1315 | 0.4863 | 2,429 | 0.2387 | 0.0611 | 0.1325 | 0.5088 |
| Log of the number of workers under collective dismissals | 6,940 | 7.9281 | 1.7189 | 2.8332 | 11.7512 | 4,164 | 9.2074 | 1.2555 | 5.464 | 11.2039 | 3,470 | 8.9239 | 1.3714 | 3.9890 | 10.9548 |
| Proportion of companies with more than 200 employees | 8,578 | 0.0017 | 0.0009 | 0 | 0.0040 | 4,164 | 0.0015 | 0.0008 | 0.0003 | 0.0032 | 2,776 | 0.0016 | 0.0008 | 0.0002 | 0.0032 |
| Employment share of services | 8,328 | 0.6685 | 0.0734 | 0.438 | 0.844 | 4,164 | 0.7400 | 0.0719 | 0.536 | 0.8890 | 2,429 | 0.7606 | 0.0705 | 0.584 | 0.888 |
| Employment share of industry | 8,328 | 0.1626 | 0.0635 | 0.044 | 0.369 | 4,164 | 0.1404 | 0.0553 | 0.032 | 0.3420 | 2,429 | 0.1367 | 0.0557 | 0.031 | 0.279 |
| Employment share of construction | 8,328 | 0.1206 | 0.0276 | 0.058 | 0.239 | 4,164 | 0.0773 | 0.0177 | 0.041 | 0.1670 | 2,429 | 0.0589 | 0.0117 | 0.033 | 0.109 |
| Proportion of dismissal lawsuits analyzed (+) by professional judges over total | 8,328 | 0.9023 | 0.1767 | 0 | 1 | 4,164 | 0.8036 | 0.2736 | 0 | 1 | 3,470 | 0.8474 | 0.2509 | 0 | 1 |
| Proportion of days with temporary positions at the labor courts per year | 8,232 | 0.0083 | 0.0408 | 0 | 0.5 | 4,116 | 0.0130 | 0.0516 | 0 | 0.2556 | 2,744 | 0.0056 | 0.0342 | 0 | 0.2556 |
| Judicial congestion rate (dismissals lawsuits) | 8,328 | 2.0486 | 0.4877 | 1 | 13 | 4,164 | 2.6038 | 0.8173 | 1.0444 | 8.1958 | 0 | ||||
| Judicial congestion rate (pre-trial settlements) | 8,328 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 4,164 | 6.6414 | 12.7790 | 0 | 285 | 3,470 | 6.4727 | 5.0171 | 0.544 | 45.5116 |
| Out-of-court settlements ratio | 8,328 | 0.5422 | 0.1822 | 0 | 0.9310 | 4,164 | 0.4444 | 0.1672 | 0 | 0.8662 | 1,388 | 0.6719 | 0.142 | 0 | 0.9021 |
[i] Source: Authors' own elaboration.
Table 3
Main descriptive statistics by province
| Court rulings | Unemployment ratea | Profitability | Temporary employment rate | Log number workers under collective dismissals | Proportion of companies with more than 200 employees | Out-of-court settlements ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National (full period) | 0.2603 | 0.1630 | 0.0398 | 0.2805 | 8.5692 | 0.0016 | 0.5258 |
| Provincial deviations from the mean | |||||||
| ALMERIA | –0.0499 | 0.0651 | –0.0398 | 0.1884 | –2.2744 | –0.0003 | –0.1314 |
| CADIZ | 0.0138 | 0.1045 | –0.0398 | 0.0734 | –0.8296 | –0.0008 | 0.0163 |
| CORDOBA | 0.0464 | 0.0797 | 0.0112 | 0.1339 | –1.8571 | –0.0008 | –0.0626 |
| GRANADA | 0.0008 | 0.0719 | –0.0218 | 0.1137 | –1.7881 | –0.0008 | –0.0729 |
| HUELVA | –0.0256 | 0.0708 | 0.0082 | 0.1877 | –2.4510 | –0.0005 | –0.0397 |
| JAEN | 0.0378 | 0.0734 | 0.1524 | 0.0942 | –1.2823 | –0.0010 | –0.0181 |
| MALAGA | –0.0025 | 0.0671 | –0.0398 | 0.0617 | –0.7456 | –0.0008 | –0.1051 |
| SEVILLA | 0.0059 | 0.0594 | –0.0105 | 0.0997 | –0.5248 | –0.0002 | 0.0468 |
| HUESCA | 0.0138 | –0.0616 | –0.0013 | –0.0300 | –1.9673 | –0.0010 | –0.4078 |
| TERUEL | 0.0904 | –0.0592 | 0.0579 | –0.0414 | –1.7696 | –0.0008 | –0.4256 |
| ZARAGOZA | –0.0450 | –0.0350 | –0.0340 | –0.0355 | 0.6255 | 0.0001 | –0.3313 |
| ASTURIAS | 0.0599 | –0.0184 | –0.0168 | –0.0185 | 0.5581 | –0.0004 | –0.1168 |
| ILLES BALEARS | –0.0159 | –0.0128 | –0.0398 | –0.0033 | –1.1640 | –0.0004 | –0.2505 |
| LAS PALMAS | –0.0479 | 0.0682 | –0.0349 | 0.0565 | –0.8650 | 0.0000 | 0.0090 |
| SANTA CRUZ DE TENERIFE | –0.0740 | 0.0469 | –0.0268 | 0.0523 | –1.0567 | –0.0003 | 0.0172 |
| CANTABRIA | 0.0009 | –0.0396 | –0.0171 | –0.0321 | 0.0364 | –0.0004 | –0.1808 |
| AVILA | –0.1109 | 0.0036 | 0.1450 | –0.0120 | –2.4403 | –0.0012 | 0.0710 |
| BURGOS | 0.0685 | –0.0400 | –0.0141 | –0.0599 | –0.4829 | –0.0001 | 0.0105 |
| LEON | –0.0226 | –0.0167 | 0.0074 | –0.0229 | –0.6166 | –0.0010 | –0.1287 |
| PALENCIA | 0.1060 | –0.0307 | 0.0070 | –0.0552 | –1.2430 | –0.0006 | –0.1260 |
| SALAMANCA | 0.0079 | –0.0132 | 0.0365 | –0.0260 | –1.9131 | –0.0009 | –0.1264 |
| SEGOVIA | 0.0425 | –0.0445 | –0.0300 | –0.0474 | –2.6397 | –0.0009 | –0.0417 |
| SORIA | 0.0364 | –0.0647 | –0.0183 | –0.0622 | –2.4441 | –0.0006 | 0.0631 |
| VALLADOLID | 0.0287 | –0.0293 | 0.0131 | –0.0296 | 0.1799 | –0.0002 | –0.0310 |
| ZAMORA | –0.0164 | –0.0067 | 0.3171 | –0.0001 | –2.7065 | –0.0013 | –0.1014 |
| ALBACETE | –0.0105 | 0.0239 | 0.0635 | 0.0158 | –1.3802 | –0.0009 | –0.1099 |
| CIUDAD REAL | 0.0180 | 0.0287 | 1.4123 | 0.0313 | –2.0382 | –0.0011 | –0.0253 |
| CUENCA | 0.0355 | –0.0104 | 0.2768 | –0.0016 | –2.7461 | –0.0012 | 0.0532 |
| GUADALAJARA | –0.0221 | –0.0247 | 0.0173 | –0.0453 | –2.3618 | –0.0004 | –0.0141 |
| TOLEDO | –0.0784 | 0.0195 | 0.1394 | 0.0290 | –1.4898 | –0.0010 | –0.0018 |
| BARCELONA | –0.0314 | –0.0210 | –0.0398 | –0.0822 | 2.0148 | 0.0006 | 0.2197 |
| GIRONA | 0.0312 | –0.0114 | –0.0398 | –0.0461 | –0.6995 | –0.0006 | 0.0870 |
| LLEIDA | 0.0426 | –0.0583 | –0.0378 | –0.0818 | –1.6490 | –0.0008 | 0.1113 |
| TARRAGONA | 0.0388 | –0.0122 | –0.0398 | –0.0108 | –0.8174 | –0.0004 | 0.0428 |
| ALICANTE | –0.0915 | 0.0230 | –0.0379 | 0.0601 | –0.0219 | –0.0010 | –0.0450 |
| CASTELLON | 0.0361 | 0.0104 | –0.0379 | 0.0072 | –0.0495 | 0.0006 | 0.0519 |
| VALENCIA | –0.0322 | 0.0102 | –0.0021 | 0.0143 | 0.9955 | 0.0000 | –0.0730 |
| BADAJOZ | 0.0351 | 0.0639 | 0.0258 | 0.1115 | –1.5900 | –0.0009 | –0.0961 |
| CACERES | 0.0551 | 0.0350 | 0.0244 | 0.0670 | –2.0785 | –0.0011 | 0.1215 |
| A CORUÑA | –0.0189 | –0.0285 | 0.0163 | –0.0031 | –0.1954 | –0.0002 | 0.0172 |
| LUGO | 0.0170 | –0.0549 | 0.0226 | –0.0118 | –1.9468 | –0.0011 | –0.0427 |
| OURENSE | –0.0377 | –0.0228 | –0.0017 | –0.0188 | –1.9869 | –0.0008 | –0.0868 |
| PONTEVEDRA | 0.0148 | –0.0013 | –0.0015 | 0.0235 | 0.1738 | –0.0005 | 0.0079 |
| MADRID | 0.0421 | –0.0391 | –0.0398 | –0.0663 | 1.4811 | 0.0018 | 0.0787 |
| MURCIA | 0.0015 | 0.0148 | –0.0145 | 0.0802 | –0.6336 | –0.0001 | –0.0656 |
| NAVARRA | 0.0138 | –0.0608 | 0.0626 | –0.0328 | 0.6025 | 0.0010 | 0.0541 |
| ARABA/ALAVA | 0.0759 | –0.0559 | –0.0044 | –0.0537 | –0.0310 | 0.0006 | 0.0205 |
| GIPUZKOA | 0.0417 | –0.0756 | 0.1014 | –0.0405 | 0.3829 | 0.0000 | 0.0660 |
| BIZKAIA | 0.0111 | –0.0425 | –0.0398 | –0.0265 | 0.6434 | 0.0007 | –0.0242 |
| LA RIOJA | –0.0189 | –0.0416 | –0.0177 | –0.0561 | –1.0135 | –0.0009 | 0.0848 |
Source: Authors' own elaboration.
Table 4
Determinants of settlementsa
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6b | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 reform | –0.107*** (0.0188) | 0.0118 (0.0128) | 0.0148 (0.0209) | 0.0211 (0.0127) | –0.139*** (0.0372) | –0.129*** (0.0447) |
| 2012 reform | 0.208*** (0.0163) | 0.118*** (0.0172) | 0.261*** (0.0172) | 0.124*** (0.0183) | 0.244*** (0.0588) | 0.201*** (0.0463) |
| Unemployment rate | –1.274*** (0.132) | –0.467*** (0.166) | –0.849*** (0.156) | –0.696*** (0.156) | ||
| 2010 reform*Unemployment rate | 0.840*** (0.168) | 0.777*** (0.183) | ||||
| 2012 reform*Unemployment rate | –0.532** (0.222) | –0.375* (0.196) | ||||
| Profitability | 0.0106 (0.0157) | 0.439*** (0.0956) | 0.466*** (0.0893) | 0.475*** (0.0886) | ||
| 2010 reform*Profitability | –0.107 (0.132) | –0.135 (0.153) | ||||
| 2012 reform*Profitability | –0.699*** (0.197) | –0.625*** (0.155) | ||||
| Province fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Other controlsc | NO | YES | NO | YES | YES | YES |
| Observations | 13,880 | 10,976 | 13,880 | 10,976 | 10,976 | 8,192 |
| R-squared | 0.201 | 0.521 | 0.340 | 0.543 | 0.573 | 0.535 |
| # labor courts | 347 | 343 | 347 | 343 | 343 | 256 |
c Other controls include: temporary employment rate, sectoral distribution of employment, logarithm of the number of workers affected by collective dismissals, proportion of companies with more than 200 employees, proportion of dismissal lawsuits analyzed by professional judges, days of temporary positions at the labor courts per year, and judicial congestion rate.
Table 5
Determinants of labor court rulings declaring dismissals/layoffs as faira
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6b | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 reform 2012 reform | –0.0012 (0.00598) –0.0339*** (0.00526) | 0.0376*** (0.00807) –0.0065 (0.00605) | 0.0426*** (0.00479) –0.0088 (0.00590) | 0.0385*** (0.0080) 0.00003 (0.0065) | 0.0120 (0.0197) 0.00126 (0.0214) | 0.0288 (0.0187) 0.00138 (0.0278) |
| Unemployment rate | –0.467*** (0.0800) | –0.304** (0.128) | –0.386*** (0.133) | –0.312** (0.134) | ||
| 2010 reform*Unemployment rate | 0.137 (0.0836) | 0.0680 (0.0776) | ||||
| 2012 reform*Unemployment rate Profitability | –0.0036*** (0.0009) | –0.0530 (0.0570) | –0.0102 (0.0892) –0.0181 (0.0550) | –0.0161 (0.104) –0.0181 (0.0550) | ||
| 2010 reform*Profitability | –0.177** (0.0817) | –0.234*** | ||||
| (0.0813) | ||||||
| 2012 reform*Profitability | –0.0317 (0.150) | –0.0250 (0.151) | ||||
| Province fixed effects | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES | YES |
| Other controlsc | NO | YES | NO | YES | YES | YES |
| Observations | 14.181 | 10.202 | 12.825 | 10.202 | 10.202 | 7.586 |
| R-squared | 0.017 | 0.055 | 0.036 | 0.058 | 0.060 | 0.056 |
| # labor courts | 343 | 339 | 343 | 339 | 339 | 255 |
c Other controls include: temporary employment rate, sectoral distribution of employment, logarithm of the number of workers affected by collective dismissals, proportion of companies with more than 200 employees, proportion of dismissal lawsuits analyzed by professional judges, days of temporary positions at the labor courts per year, and judicial congestion rate.

Figure 2
Proportion of economic dismissals over all dismissals.
Source: Spanish Ministry of Employment.

Figure 3
Percentage of labor court judgments ruling that the dismissal is fair.
Source: Authors’ own elaboration based on data provided by the CGPJ.

Figure 4
Marginal effect of reforms, unemployment, and profitability on labor court rulings declaring dismissals/layoffs as fair.
Table A1
Severance payments in the theoretical model
| FEP | WEG | |
|---|---|---|
| Economic Truthful dismissals | ||
| Disguised as disciplinary | ||
| Disciplinary layoffs | ||
| Truthful | ||
| Disguised as economic |
[i] FEP, firms expects to pay; WEG, worker expects to get.
Table A2
Dismissals: initiation, settlements and effective firing costs
| Truthful dismissals | Disguised | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Economic | Disciplinary | As economic | |
| Initiated | Always | ||
| Settlement | Always | ||
| Effective firing costs | |||
| If settled | |||
| At labor court | |||
Table A3
Effects of EPL reforms
| Economic | dismissals | Disciplinary | Settlements | Firing costs | Fair ruling | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Truthful | Disguised | |||||
| Severance payments/ | ||||||
| court costs | ||||||
| Fair dismissals ↓ | ↑ | ↓ | unchanged | unchanged | ↓ | ↑ |
| Unfair dismissals ↓ | ↓ | ↑ | unchanged | unchanged | ↓ | ↓ |
| Cause of economic dismissals ↑ | ↑ | ↓ | unchanged | ↓ | ↓ | ↑ |
| Downturns | ||||||
| Firm profitability ↓ | ↑ | ↓ | unchanged | ↓ | ↓ | ↑ |
| Local labor market conditions | ↓ | ↑ | ↓ | unchanged | ↑ | ↓ |
| ↓ |
[i] EPL, employment protection legislation.

Figure A1
Proportion of magistrates belonging to professional associations.