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Trading signals of the relative strength index and market valuation of State Treasury companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange Cover

Trading signals of the relative strength index and market valuation of State Treasury companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

Open Access
|Nov 2024

Figures & Tables

Figure 1.

Flowchart of the research procedure.

Source: Own elaboration.

Figure 2.

Comparison of annual dividend yields from the WIG index with average annual dividend yields from the surveyed companies (in%).

Source: Own elaboration based on: Statystyki Giełdowe GPW [2023] https://www.gpw.pl/statystyki-gpw#0 [accessed: February 6, 2024].

Table 1.

Summary of transaction results

Item/companyPZUENEAJSWKGHMPGEPKNPKO BPTPEAverage
Number of completed transactions111712131213101313
Average annual investment return (in %)6.552.77−2.52−0.28−3.4811.63−1.10−11.460.26
Average annual investment return including dividends (in %)*23.414.09−1.851.61−0.8818.731.37−9.934.571

1* total returns

1 Source: Own elaboration.

Table 2.

AARs in the event window involving buy trades determined by the trading signals of the RSI with their statistical significance

Day of event window/issuerPZU (9)ENEA (10)JSW (9)KGHM (12)PGE (9)PKN (8)PKO (7)TPE (11)AAR (75)
t3−0.23%−0.16%4.55%0.66%0.02%1.02%0.00%0.44%0.79%
t20.07%0.03%2.58%1.11%0.35%0.10%0.96%−0.05%0.65%
t1−0.10%0.06%0.43%0.13%0.62%−0.35%0.07%0.21%0.14%
t00.30%0.55%−4.34%−1.24%−0.16%−2.80%−0.22%0.92%−0.87%
t+1−0.11%0.24%−3.38%0.83%0.29%3.30%0.02%−0.04%0.15%
t+2−0.26%1.05%2.23%0.90%0.20%−1.28%0.17%0.29%0.41%
t+30.58%0.09%0.47%0.91%0.44%1.94%0.09%0.72%0.65%
CAR0.25%1.85%2.55%3.30%1.77%1.94%1.09%2.50%ACAR
1.91%

1 AARs, average abnormal returns; ACAR, averaged cumulative abnormal return; AR, abnormal returns; CAR, cumulative abnormal returns.

1 Source: Own elaboration.

1* Statistically significant value at the level of p < 0.05.

Table 3.

AARs in the event window involving sales trades determined by the trading signals of the RSI with their statistical significance

Day of event window/issuerPZU (10)ENEA (16)JSW (12)KGHM (11)PGE (10)PKN (9)PKO (9)TPE (11)AAR (88)
t3−0.12%−0.01%−0.59%−0.10%−0.03%−1.95%−0.42%0.17%−0.38%
t2−0.25%0.58%−0.67%−0.98%0.08%0.09%−0.86%0.17%−0.23%
t10.01%0.67%−0.62%−1.09%−0.26%−1.22%−0.33%0.23%−0.33%
t00.22%0.38%−1.24%−1.13%0.38%0.00%−0.41%0.43%−0.17%
t+10.17%−0.32%0.28%−0.58%−0.29%1.00%−0.07%−0.13%0.01%
t+20.41%0.34%0.55%0.02%0.04%−0.12%−0.22%0.20%0.15%
t+3−0.84%0.34%0.49%0.10%0.03%0.50%−0.31%−0.01%0.04%
CAR−0.40%1.98%−1.80%−3.76%−0.06%−1.69%−2.62%1.06%ACAR
−0.91%

1 AARs, average abnormal returns; ACAR, averaged cumulative abnormal return; AR, abnormal returns; CAR, cumulative abnormal returns; RSI, relative strength index.

1 Source: Own elaboration.

1* Statistically significant value at the level of p < 0.05.

graphic/j_ijme-2024-0041_ufig_001.jpg
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ijme-2024-0041 | Journal eISSN: 2543-5361 (formerly 2299-9701) | Journal ISSN: 2299-9701
Language: English
Page range: 212 - 224
Submitted on: Apr 21, 2024
Accepted on: Nov 1, 2024
Published on: Nov 28, 2024
Published by: SGH Warsaw School of Economics
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year
JEL:

© 2024 Bartłomiej Lisicki, Krzysztof Podgórski, published by SGH Warsaw School of Economics
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.