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Trade war or currency war? How do import duties translate into the RMB/USD exchange rate? Cover

Trade war or currency war? How do import duties translate into the RMB/USD exchange rate?

Open Access
|Oct 2024

Figures & Tables

Table 1.

Estimation of ANOVA and ANCOVA models for the renminbi

VariableParametersCoefficient Model 1Coefficient Model 2Coefficient Model 3Coefficient Model 4
Constantα06.614
(0.006)
[973.037]
{0.000}
0.064
(0.027)
[2.385]
{0.017}
6.614
(0.007)
[912.824]
{0.000}
0.075
(0.025)
[2.993]
{0.002}
D1:β10.182
(0.023)
[7.903]
{0.000}
0.009
(0.003)
[2.726]
{0.006}
0.175
(0.024)
[7.167]
{0.000}
0.008
(0.003)
[2.590]
{0.009}
D2:β30.047
(0.035)
[1.345]
{0.178}
–0.006
(0.004)
[–1.255]
{0.209}
0.053
(0.037)
[1.433]
{0.151}
–0.005
(0.004)
[–1.087]
{0.277}
D3:β4–0.027
(0.029)
[–0.919]
{0.358}
–0.0007
(0.004)
[–0.174]
{0.861}
–0.025
(0.031)
[–0.825]
{0.409}
–7.66E–06
(0.004)
[–0.001]
{0.998}
D4:β50.059
(0.074)
[0.796]
{0.426}
0.022
(0.010)
[2.140]
{0.032}
0.084
(0.041)
[2.066]
{0.039}
0.002
(0.005)
[0.541]
{0.588}
D5:β60.018
(0.076)
[0.236]
{0.812}
–0.018
(0.010)
[–1.731]
{0.083}
0.093
(0.040)
[2.297]
{0.021}
–0.0006
(0.005)
[–0.126]
{0.899}
D6:β70.154
(0.055)
[2.795]
{0.005}
0.004
(0.007)
[0.520]
{0.603}
0.059
(0.020)
[2.91]
{0.003}
0.002
(0.002)
[0.816]
{0.414}
D7:β80.048
(0.062)
[0.777]
{0.437}
0.003
(0.008)
[0.350]
{0.725}
0.047
(0.098)
[0.487]
{0.625}
0.002
(0.013)
[0.169]
{0.865}
D8:β90.036
(0.059)
[0.607]
{0.543}
–0.015
(0.008)
[–1.897]
{0.058}
–0.075
(0.097)
[–0.769]
{0.441}
–0.007
(0.012)
[–0.611]
{0.540}
D9:β10–0.110
(0.049)
[–2.236]
{0.0255
0.005
(0.006)
[0.855]
{0.392}
–0.193
(0.045)
[–4.216]
{0.000}
–0.001
(0.006)
[–0.259]
{0.795}
D10:β11–0.341
(0.018)
[–18.161]
{0.000}
–0.007
(0.002)
[–2.389]
{0.0170}
–0.332
(0.043)
[–7.560]
{0.000}
–0.002
(0.005)
[–0.424]
{0.671}
D11:β12–0.218
(0.018)
[–11.631]
{0.000}
0.002
(0.002)
[0.755]
{0.450}
Renminbit-1δ10.922
(0.028)
[31.916]
{0.000}
0.927
(0.028)
[32.138]
{0.000}
Renminbit-2δ20.067
(0.028)
[2.343]
{0.019}
0.060
(0.028)
[2.106]
{0.035}
R20.7230.9940.6860.994
Akaike info–1.256–5.116–1.086–5.116
criterion–1.206–5.153–1.115–5.150
Schwarz–1.2371.9960.0251.997
criterion
Hannan-Quinn
criterion.

1 Dependent variable: renminbi.

1 Note: () standard err, [] t-stat, {} p-value.

1 Source: Authors’ own elaboration with data from the renminbi.

1 ANCOVA, analysis of covariance; ANOVA, analysis of variance.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ijme-2024-0033 | Journal eISSN: 2543-5361 (formerly 2299-9701) | Journal ISSN: 2299-9701
Language: English
Page range: 97 - 109
Submitted on: Oct 17, 2023
Accepted on: Aug 9, 2024
Published on: Oct 18, 2024
Published by: SGH Warsaw School of Economics
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year
JEL:

© 2024 Justyna Wieloch, Osvaldo U. Becerril-Torres, Gabriela Munguía Vázquez, published by SGH Warsaw School of Economics
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.