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Who is Most Vulnerable? Exploring Job Vulnerability, Social Distancing and Demand During COVID-19 Cover

Who is Most Vulnerable? Exploring Job Vulnerability, Social Distancing and Demand During COVID-19

Open Access
|Feb 2022

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

Data Collection Process
Data Collection Process

Figure 2

Vulnerable jobs by occupation, two metre and one metre social distancing requirements: Top ten occupations, NI, June 2020Note: Figure 2 illustrates vulnerability reduction from 260,000 to 230,000 jobs including both social distancing and demand reductions
Vulnerable jobs by occupation, two metre and one metre social distancing requirements: Top ten occupations, NI, June 2020Note: Figure 2 illustrates vulnerability reduction from 260,000 to 230,000 jobs including both social distancing and demand reductions

Figure 3

Vulnerable jobs by sector, two metre and one metre social distancing requirements: Top ten sectors, NI, June 2020
Vulnerable jobs by sector, two metre and one metre social distancing requirements: Top ten sectors, NI, June 2020

Figure 4

Reduction in job vulnerabilities as a result of reducing social distancing requirements from 2-metre to 1-metre: Top ten occupations, June 2020, NI.Please note that figure 4 illustrates vulnerability reduction from 260,000 to 230,000 jobs when including both social distancing and demand reductions.
Reduction in job vulnerabilities as a result of reducing social distancing requirements from 2-metre to 1-metre: Top ten occupations, June 2020, NI.Please note that figure 4 illustrates vulnerability reduction from 260,000 to 230,000 jobs when including both social distancing and demand reductions.

Figure 5

Reduction in job vulnerabilities as a result of reducing social distancing requirements from 2-metre to 1-metre: Top ten sectors, NI, June 2020
Reduction in job vulnerabilities as a result of reducing social distancing requirements from 2-metre to 1-metre: Top ten sectors, NI, June 2020

Figure 6

Top 10 vulnerable occupations by impact at 1-metre and 2-metre social distancing, June 2020, NI
Top 10 vulnerable occupations by impact at 1-metre and 2-metre social distancing, June 2020, NI

Figure 7

Top 10 vulnerable sectors by impact at 1-metre and 2-metre social distancing, June 2020, NI
Top 10 vulnerable sectors by impact at 1-metre and 2-metre social distancing, June 2020, NI

Figure 8

Job vulnerability by qualification level
Job vulnerability by qualification level

Figure 9

Reduction in job vulnerability by share of qualifications below level 2 NQF, central scenario
Reduction in job vulnerability by share of qualifications below level 2 NQF, central scenario

Figure 10

Job vulnerability by age band
Job vulnerability by age band

Figure 11

Vulnerable jobs by salary band: 1-metre and 2-metre social distancing requirements
Vulnerable jobs by salary band: 1-metre and 2-metre social distancing requirements

Figure 12

Top 10 vulnerable occupations by gender
Top 10 vulnerable occupations by gender

Figure 13

Top 10 vulnerable sectors by gender
Top 10 vulnerable sectors by gender

Figure 14

Top 10 vulnerable occupations by full-time, part-time
Top 10 vulnerable occupations by full-time, part-time

Figure 15

Top 10 vulnerable sectors by full-time, part-time
Top 10 vulnerable sectors by full-time, part-time

Figure 16

Vulnerable jobs by council area as share of employment at both 2-metre and 1-metre social distancing
Vulnerable jobs by council area as share of employment at both 2-metre and 1-metre social distancing

Figure 17

Reduction in vulnerable jobs as share of total by council area
Reduction in vulnerable jobs as share of total by council area

Baseline demand impacts, on the basis of a central scenario, accounting for demand at one metre social distancing, two metre social distancing and whether the job is carried out on a part-time or full-time basis

Social Distance Requirement2-metres1-metre
SectorFTPTFTPT
01 Crop and animal production, hunting and related service activities0%0%0%0%

02 Forestry and logging0%0%0%0%

03 Fishing and aquaculture0%0%0%0%

05 Mining of coal and lignite−25%−25%−25%−25%

06 Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas−25%−25%−25%−25%

07 Mining of metal ores−25%−25%−25%−25%

08 Other mining and quarrying−25%−25%−25%−25%

09 Mining support service activities−25%−25%−25%−25%

10 Manufacture of food products5%10%5%10%

11 Manufacture of beverages5%10%5%10%

12 Manufacture of tobacco products−40%−40%−40%−40%

13 Manufacture of textiles−40%−40%−40%−40%

14 Manufacture of wearing apparel−40%−40%−40%−40%

15 Manufacture of leather and related products−40%−40%−40%−40%

16 Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials−40%−40%−40%−40%

17 Manufacture of paper and paper products−40%−40%−40%−40%

18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media−40%−40%−40%−40%

19 Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products−40%−40%−40%−40%

20 Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products−40%−40%−40%−40%

21 Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations−40%−40%−40%−40%

22 Manufacture of rubber and plastic products−40%−40%−40%−40%

23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products−40%−40%−40%−40%

24 Manufacture of basic metals−40%−40%−40%−40%

25 Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment−40%−40%−40%−40%

26 Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products−40%−40%−40%−40%

27 Manufacture of electrical equipment−40%−40%−40%−40%

28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c.−40%−40%−40%−40%

29 Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers−40%−40%−40%−40%

30 Manufacture of other transport equipment−40%−40%−40%−40%

31 Manufacture of furniture−40%−40%−40%−40%

32 Other manufacturing−40%−40%−40%−40%

33 Repair and installation of machinery and equipment−40%−40%−40%−40%

35 Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply−5%−5%−5%−5%

36 Water collection, treatment and supply−5%−5%−5%−5%

37 Sewerage−5%−5%−5%−5%

38 Waste collection, treatment and disposal activities; materials recovery−5%−5%−5%−5%

39 Remediation activities and other waste management services−5%−5%−5%−5%

41 Construction of buildings−30%−50%−30%−50%

42 Civil engineering−30%−50%−30%−50%

43 Specialised construction activities−30%−50%−30%−50%

45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles−50%−50%−50%−50%

46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles−50%−50%−50%−50%

47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles−50%−50%−50%−50%

48 Wholesale and retail n.o.s.−50%−50%−50%−50%

49 Land transport and transport via pipelines−18%−18%−18%−18%

50 Water transport−18%−18%−18%−18%

51 Air transport−18%−18%−18%−18%

52 Warehousing and support activities for transportation−18%−18%−18%−18%

53 Postal and courier activities−18%−18%−18%−18%

55 Accommodation−66%−80%−40%−48%

56 Food and beverage service activities−66%−80%−40%−48%

58 Publishing activities−20%−20%−12%−12%

59 Motion picture, video and television programme production, sound recording and music publishing activities−20%−20%−12%−12%

60 Programming and broadcasting activities−20%−40%−20%−40%

61 Telecommunications−20%−20%−20%−20%

62 Computer programming, consultancy and related activities−20%−20%−20%−20%

63 Information service activities−20%−20%−20%−20%

64 Financial service activities, except insurance and pension funding−5%−5%−5%−5%

65 Insurance, reinsurance and pension funding, except compulsory social security−5%−5%−5%−5%

66 Activities auxiliary to financial services and insurance activities−5%−5%−5%−5%

68 Real estate activities−40%−40%−40%−40%

69 Legal and accounting activities−10%−10%−10%−10%

70 Activities of head offices; management consultancy activities−10%−10%−10%−10%

71 Architectural and engineering activities; technical testing and analysis−10%−10%−10%−10%

72 Scientific research and development−10%−10%−10%−10%

73 Advertising and market research−10%−10%−10%−10%

74 Other professional; scientific and technical activities−10%−10%−10%−10%

75 Veterinary activities−10%−10%−10%−10%

77 Rental and leasing activities−20%−40%−20%−40%

78 Employment activities−20%−40%−20%−40%

79 Travel agency, tour operator and other reservation service and related activities−20%−40%−20%−40%

80 Security and investigation activities−20%−20%−20%−20%

81 Services to buildings and landscape activities−20%−20%−20%−20%

82 Office administrative, office support and other business support activities−20%−40%−20%−40%

84 Public administration and defence; compulsory social security0%0%0%0%

85 Education−5%−5%−5%−5%

86 Human health activities10%15%10%15%

87 Residential care activities10%15%10%15%

88 Social work activities without accommodation10%15%10%15%

90 Creative, arts and entertainment activities−45%−45%−27%−27%

91 Libraries, archives, museums and other cultural activities−45%−45%−27%−27%

92 Gambling and betting activities−45%−45%−27%−27%

93 Sports activities and amusement and recreation activities−45%−45%−27%−27%

94 Activities of membership organisations−40%−40%−24%−24%

95 Repair of computers and personal and household goods−40%−40%−24%−24%

96 Other personal service activities−40%−40%−24%−24%

97 Activities of households as employers of domestic personnel−50%−50%−30%−30%

98 Undifferentiated goods- and services-producing activities of private households for own use−50%−50%−30%−30%

99 Activities of extraterritorial organisations and bodies−30%−30%−18%−18%

Baseline Social Distancing impacts, by occupation_ 1m Social Distancing

OccupationRisk level
Chief executives and senior officialsLow
Elected officers and representativesLow
Production managers and directors in manufacturingLow
Production managers and directors in constructionLow
Production managers and directors in mining and energyLow
Financial managers and directorsLow
Marketing and sales directorsLow
Purchasing managers and directorsLow
Advertising and public relations directorsLow
Human resource managers and directorsLow
Information technology and telecommunications directorsLow
Functional managers and directors n.e.c.Low
Financial institution managers and directorsLow
Managers and directors in transport and distributionLow
Managers and directors in storage and warehousingLow
Officers in armed forcesHigh
Senior police officersHigh
Senior officers in fire, ambulance, prison and related servicesHigh
Health services and public health managers and directorsMedium
Social services managers and directorsHigh
Managers and directors in retail and wholesaleLow
Managers and proprietors in agriculture and horticultureLow
Managers and proprietors in forestry, fishing and related servicesLow
Hotel and accommodation managers and proprietorsMedium
Restaurant and catering establishment managers and proprietorsHigh
Publicans and managers of licensed premisesHigh
Leisure and sports managersHigh
Travel agency managers and proprietorsMedium
Health care practice managersMedium
Residential, day and domiciliary care managers and proprietorsHigh
Property, housing and estate managersMedium
Garage managers and proprietorsLow
Hairdressing and beauty salon managers and proprietorsHigh
Shopkeepers and proprietors: wholesale and retailHigh
Waste disposal and environmental services managersLow
Managers and proprietors in other services n.e.c.High
Chemical scientistsLow
Biological scientists and biochemistsLow
Physical scientistsLow
Social and humanities scientistsLow
Natural and social science professionals n.e.c.Low
Civil engineersLow
Mechanical engineersLow
Electrical engineersLow
Electronics engineersLow
Design and development engineersLow
Production and process engineersLow
Engineering professionals n.e.c.Low
IT specialist managersLow
IT project and programme managersLow
IT business analysts, architects and systems designersLow
Programmers and software development professionalsLow
Web design and development professionalsLow
Information technology and telecommunications professionals n.e.c.Low
Conservation professionalsHigh
Environment professionalsLow
Research and development managersMedium
Medical practitionersHigh
PsychologistsHigh
PharmacistsHigh
Ophthalmic opticiansHigh
Dental practitionersHigh
VeterinariansHigh
Medical radiographersHigh
PodiatristsHigh
Health professionals n.e.c.High
PhysiotherapistsHigh
Occupational therapistsHigh
Speech and language therapistsHigh
Therapy professionals n.e.c.High
NursesHigh
MidwivesHigh
Higher education teaching professionalsLow
Further education teaching professionalsHigh
Secondary education teaching professionalsMedium
Primary and nursery education teaching professionalsHigh
Special needs education teaching professionalsHigh
Senior professionals of educational establishmentsHigh
Education advisers and school inspectorsHigh
Teaching and other educational professionals n.e.c.High
Barristers and judgesHigh
SolicitorsMedium
Legal professionals n.e.c.Low
Chartered and certified accountantsLow
Management consultants and business analystsLow
Business and financial project management professionalsLow
Actuaries, economists and statisticiansLow
Business and related research professionalsLow
Business, research and administrative professionals n.e.c.Low
ArchitectsLow
Town planning officersHigh
Quantity surveyorsMedium
Chartered surveyorsMedium
Chartered architectural technologistsLow
Construction project managers and related professionalsLow
Social workersHigh
Probation officersHigh
ClergyHigh
Welfare professionals n.e.c.High
LibrariansHigh
Archivists and curatorsMedium
Quality control and planning engineersLow
Quality assurance and regulatory professionalsLow
Environmental health professionalsLow
Journalists, newspaper and periodical editorsMedium
Public relations professionalsMedium
Advertising accounts managers and creative directorsHigh
Laboratory techniciansHigh
Electrical and electronics techniciansLow
Engineering techniciansMedium
Building and civil engineering techniciansMedium
Quality assurance techniciansLow
Planning, process and production techniciansLow
Science, engineering and production technicians n.e.c.Low
Architectural and town planning techniciansHigh
DraughtspersonsLow
IT operations techniciansLow
IT user support techniciansLow
ParamedicsHigh
Dispensing opticiansHigh
Pharmaceutical techniciansHigh
Medical and dental techniciansHigh
Health associate professionals n.e.c.High
Youth and community workersHigh
Child and early years officersHigh
Housing officersHigh
CounsellorsHigh
Welfare and housing associate professionals n.e.c.High
NCOs and other ranksHigh
Police officers (sergeant and below)High
Fire service officers (watch manager and below)High
Prison service officers (below principal officer)High
Police community support officersHigh
Protective service associate professionals n.e.c.High
ArtistsLow
Authors, writers and translatorsLow
Actors, entertainers and presentersHigh
Dancers and choreographersHigh
MusiciansHigh
Arts officers, producers and directorsMedium
Photographers, audio-visual and broadcasting equipment operatorsLow
Graphic designersLow
Product, clothing and related designersLow
Sports playersMedium
Sports coaches, instructors and officialsMedium
Fitness instructorsHigh
Air traffic controllersHigh
Aircraft pilots and flight engineersHigh
Ship and hovercraft officersHigh
Legal associate professionalsLow
Estimators, valuers and assessorsLow
BrokersLow
Insurance underwritersLow
Finance and investment analysts and advisersLow
Taxation expertsHigh
Importers and exportersLow
Financial and accounting techniciansLow
Financial accounts managersLow
Business and related associate professionals n.e.c.Low
Buyers and procurement officersLow
Business sales executivesMedium
Marketing associate professionalsLow
Estate agents and auctioneersHigh
Sales accounts and business development managersLow
Conference and exhibition managers and organisersHigh
Conservation and environmental associate professionalsHigh
Public services associate professionalsLow
Human resources and industrial relations officersLow
Vocational and industrial trainers and instructorsMedium
Careers advisers and vocational guidance specialistsHigh
Inspectors of standards and regulationsLow
Health and safety officersMedium
National government administrative occupationsLow
Local government administrative occupationsLow
Officers of non-governmental organisationsLow
Credit controllersLow
Book-keepers, payroll managers and wages clerksLow
Bank and post office clerksHigh
Finance officersHigh
Financial administrative occupations n.e.c.Medium
Records clerks and assistantsLow
Pensions and insurance clerks and assistantsLow
Stock control clerks and assistantsHigh
Transport and distribution clerks and assistantsHigh
Library clerks and assistantsHigh
Human resources administrative occupationsLow
Sales administratorsHigh
Other administrative occupations n.e.c.Low
Office managersHigh
Office supervisorsLow
Medical secretariesHigh
Legal secretariesLow
School secretariesHigh
Company secretariesMedium
Personal assistants and other secretariesMedium
ReceptionistsHigh
Typists and related keyboard occupationsMedium
FarmersLow
Horticultural tradesLow
Gardeners and landscape gardenersMedium
Groundsmen and greenkeepersLow
Agricultural and fishing trades n.e.c.Low
Smiths and forge workersHigh
Moulders, core makers and die castersLow
Sheet metal workersLow
Metal plate workers, and rivetersLow
Welding tradesLow
Pipe fittersLow
Metal machining setters and setter-operatorsLow
Tool makers, tool fitters and markers-outLow
Metal working production and maintenance fittersLow
Precision instrument makers and repairersLow
Air-conditioning and refrigeration engineersHigh
Vehicle technicians, mechanics and electriciansHigh
Vehicle body builders and repairersLow
Vehicle paint techniciansLow
Aircraft maintenance and related tradesLow
Boat and ship builders and repairersLow
Rail and rolling stock builders and repairersMedium
Electricians and electrical fittersMedium
Telecommunications engineersHigh
TV, video and audio engineersMedium
IT engineersLow
Electrical and electronic trades n.e.c.Medium
Skilled metal, electrical and electronic trades supervisorsLow
Steel erectorsLow
Bricklayers and masonsLow
Roofers, roof tilers and slatersLow
Plumbers and heating and ventilating engineersHigh
Carpenters and joinersLow
Glaziers, window fabricators and fittersMedium
Construction and building trades n.e.c.Medium
PlasterersMedium
Floorers and wall tilersLow
Painters and decoratorsLow
Construction and building trades supervisorsHigh
Weavers and knittersLow
UpholsterersLow
Footwear and leather working tradesLow
Tailors and dressmakersMedium
Textiles, garments and related trades n.e.c.Low
Pre-press techniciansLow
PrintersLow
Print finishing and binding workersLow
ButchersHigh
Bakers and flour confectionersLow
Fishmongers and poultry dressersMedium
ChefsHigh
CooksMedium
Catering and bar managersHigh
Glass and ceramics makers, decorators and finishersLow
Furniture makers and other craft woodworkersLow
FloristsHigh
Other skilled trades n.e.c.Low
Nursery nurses and assistantsLow
Childminders and related occupationsHigh
PlayworkersHigh
Teaching assistantsHigh
Educational support assistantsHigh
Veterinary nursesHigh
Pest control officersHigh
Animal care services occupations n.e.c.High
Nursing auxiliaries and assistantsHigh
Ambulance staff (excluding paramedics)High
Dental nursesHigh
Houseparents and residential wardensHigh
Care workers and home carersHigh
Senior care workersHigh
Care escortsHigh
Undertakers, mortuary and crematorium assistantsHigh
Sports and leisure assistantsHigh
Travel agentsMedium
Air travel assistantsHigh
Rail travel assistantsLow
Leisure and travel service occupations n.e.c.High
Hairdressers and barbersHigh
Beauticians and related occupationsHigh
Housekeepers and related occupationsHigh
CaretakersHigh
Cleaning and housekeeping managers and supervisorsHigh
Sales and retail assistantsHigh
Retail cashiers and check-out operatorsHigh
Telephone salespersonsLow
Pharmacy and other dispensing assistantsHigh
Vehicle and parts salespersons and advisersHigh
Collector salespersons and credit agentsLow
Debt, rent and other cash collectorsHigh
Roundspersons and van salespersonsLow
Market and street traders and assistantsHigh
Merchandisers and window dressersMedium
Sales related occupations n.e.c.High
Sales supervisorsMedium
Call and contact centre occupationsLow
TelephonistsHigh
Communication operatorsLow
Market research interviewersLow
Customer service occupations n.e.c.Medium
Customer service managers and supervisorsMedium
Food, drink and tobacco process operativesLow
Glass and ceramics process operativesLow
Textile process operativesLow
Chemical and related process operativesLow
Rubber process operativesLow
Plastics process operativesLow
Metal making and treating process operativesLow
ElectroplatersLow
Process operatives n.e.c.Low
Paper and wood machine operativesLow
Coal mine operativesLow
Quarry workers and related operativesLow
Energy plant operativesLow
Metal working machine operativesLow
Water and sewerage plant operativesHigh
Printing machine assistantsLow
Plant and machine operatives n.e.c.Low
Assemblers (electrical and electronic products)Low
Assemblers (vehicles and metal goods)Low
Routine inspectors and testersLow
Weighers, graders and sortersLow
Tyre, exhaust and windscreen fittersHigh
Sewing machinistsLow
Assemblers and routine operatives n.e.c.Low
Scaffolders, stagers and riggersLow
Road construction operativesMedium
Rail construction and maintenance operativesMedium
Construction operatives n.e.c.Low
Large goods vehicle driversLow
Van driversMedium
Bus and coach driversHigh
Taxi and cab drivers and chauffeursHigh
Driving instructorsMedium
Crane driversLow
Fork-lift truck driversLow
Agricultural machinery driversLow
Mobile machine drivers and operatives n.e.c.Low
Train and tram driversLow
Marine and waterways transport operativesMedium
Air transport operativesHigh
Rail transport operativesLow
Other drivers and transport operatives n.e.c.Low
Farm workersLow
Forestry workersHigh
Fishing and other elementary agriculture occupations n.e.c.High
Elementary construction occupationsLow
Industrial cleaning process occupationsLow
Packers, bottlers, canners and fillersLow
Elementary process plant occupations n.e.c.Low
Postal workers, mail sorters, messengers and couriersHigh
Elementary administration occupations n.e.c.High
Window cleanersHigh
Street cleanersHigh
Cleaners and domesticsHigh
Launderers, dry cleaners and pressersHigh
Refuse and salvage occupationsHigh
Vehicle valeters and cleanersLow
Elementary cleaning occupations n.e.c.High
Security guards and related occupationsHigh
Parking and civil enforcement occupationsHigh
School midday and crossing patrol occupationsHigh
Elementary security occupations n.e.c.High
Shelf fillersMedium
Elementary sales occupations n.e.c.Medium
Elementary storage occupationsLow
Hospital portersHigh
Kitchen and catering assistantsMedium
Waiters and waitressesHigh
Bar staffHigh
Leisure and theme park attendantsHigh
Other elementary services occupations n.e.c.High

Distributional vulnerabilities of COVID-19, 2-metre and 1-metre

CategoryMost Vulnerable group / area2-Metre% of group1-Metre% of group
OccupationElementary Admin’ & services

Figures refer to proportion of employees in the sector

40,000 – 50,00056 – 69%30,000 – 40,00046 – 56%
SectorWholesale & retail65,000 – 80,00048 – 57%60,000 – 75,00046 – 54%
QualificationBelow level 2 NQF70,000 – 80,00039 – 45%60,000 – 70,00034 – 40%
Age16 – 24-year-olds40,000 – 45,00036 – 43%30,000 –40,00032 – 38%
Income<£15,000 per annum65,000 – 80,00032 – 41%55,000 – 70,00029 – 36%
GenderMales145,000 – 150,00032 – 34%130,000 – 145,00029 – 33%
Council AreaMid Ulster19,000 – 22,00030 – 34%17,000 – 20,00027 – 31%
Part-Time / Full-TimePart-Time65,000 – 80,00030 – 37%55,000 – 70,00026 – 32%

Total240,000 – 280,00027 – 33%215,000 – 250,00024 – 29%

Methodological approach to estimating labour market vulnerability in NI

SectionBaseline Occupational DataSocial Distancing impactsDemand-side impacts
Data collection- US Department of LaborO*NET Occupations data- ONS LFS 4 -digit Occupational Data-ONS SIC-SOC Matrix- US Department for Labor O*NET Occupational characteristics- ONS BICS- ONS Essential workers analysis- McKinsey & Co. industrial analysis of demand-side impacts- OBR

Office for Budget Responsibility (2020), which produces outlooks for the UK Economy. In March 2020, they released a ‘Coronavirus Reference Scenario’ which forecasted GDP losses across the UK sectors.

Coronavirus Reference Scenario GVA Forecasts- ONS BICS- Ulster University Economic Forecasting Model- Ulster University Economic Policy Centre Labour market assessments (Magill & McPeake, 2020)
Method for analysis- Creation of a baseline labour market model- Aggregating 360 UK sub-occupations to 11 major occupational groups- Disaggregation on the basis of male, female, part-time, full-time, at the 3-digit level- Disaggregation on the basis of qualifications, wages at 2-digit level- US Occupations transposed to UK Occupations using ONS reclassification- Standardised score out of 100, taking weighted average of ‘proximity’, ‘exposure to disease’ and ‘working with others’ scores- Score < 55 = ‘low risk’ Score => 55 =< 65 = ‘medium risk’ Score > 65 = ‘high risk’- Standardised demand-side impacts applied to 2-digit sectors in NI- Impacts filtered through SIC-SOC matrix to determine impact across occupations- Filtered across demographics including gender, age and levels of formal qualification
Results - Measured as share of workers in an occupation vulnerable to social-distancing. Impact was reported according to high, medium and low risk- Measured as a share of workers in an occupation vulnerable to demand-side impacts, based on sectoral forecasts

Social Distancing Workforce Impact

Share of Workforce Impacted
DistanceLow riskMedium riskHigh risk
2-metres10%40%90%
1-metre10%30%60%
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ijm-2021-0011 | Journal eISSN: 2451-2834 | Journal ISSN: 1649-248X
Language: English
Page range: 100 - 142
Published on: Feb 22, 2022
Published by: Irish Academy of Management
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 3 issues per year

© 2022 Richard Johnston, Ryan Hogg, Kristel Miller, published by Irish Academy of Management
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.