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Players’ Performance Prediction for Fantasy Premier League, Using Transformer-based Sentiment Analysis on News and Statistical Data Cover

Players’ Performance Prediction for Fantasy Premier League, Using Transformer-based Sentiment Analysis on News and Statistical Data

By: M. Tamimi and  T. Tran  
Open Access
|May 2025

Figures & Tables

MSE for Algorithms Trained on Datasets with and without Additional Features, Second Method_ +F indicates training algorithms with the additional news and injury features_

Players PositionRidgeRidge+FLightGBMLightGBM+FCNN (Frees et al., 2024)CNN+FLSTMLSTM+F
GK7.617.617.547.477.344.893.613.61
DEF5.515.515.515.515.715.517.036.97
MID6.056.065.955.945.465.927.027.08
FWD9.099.079.219.246.566.2010.1611.20

Average7.067.067.057.046.275.636.957.21

Performance of Algorithms Trained on Datasets with and witout News Sentiments, Classification Task_

Algorithm/First MethodAccuraccy%F1 score%
Baseline86.2282.35
Catboost84.4576.59
Catboost+News Sentiment85.1577.89
XGBoost83.7475.78
XGBoost+News Sentiment84.0975.93
GB84.0976.43
GB+News Sentiment83.3974.86

Comparison of proposed methods in Related Works_

RefrenceEPL DataTextual DataOther MetadataML-basedDL-based
Bangdiwala et al., 2022; Hermann and Ntoso, 2015; Rajesh et al., 2022; Shah et al., 2023
Gupta, 2019; Lombu et al., 2024; Ramdas, 2022
Bonello et al., 2019
Baughman et al., 2021; Frees et al., 2024, Our Model

Performance of Algorithms Trained on Datasets with and without News Sentiments, Regression Task_

Algorithm/First MethodMSERMSE
Catboost7.272.69
Catboost+News Sentiment7.512.74
XGBoost7.462.73
XGBoost+News Sentiment7.402.72
GB7.372.71
GB+News Sentiment7.742.78

Players’ Presence Prediction Using Catboost for Different Postions, with and witout News Sentiment_

Players PositionAccuraccy%F1 score%
GK87.8774.99
GK+News Sentiment95.2387.71
DEF77.5273.68
DEF+News Sentiment80.0073.84
MID86.6680.85
MID+News Sentimen92.6688.57
FWD76.9262.50
FWD+News Sentiment92.5082.35
Language: English
Page range: 133 - 147
Published on: May 5, 2025
Published by: International Association of Computer Science in Sport
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2025 M. Tamimi, T. Tran, published by International Association of Computer Science in Sport
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.