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Economic voting in the Philippines Cover

Abstract

The article wanted to find out if elections in the Philippines are economically motivated. Using 2019 gubernatorial election results, a logit model with inflation rate, unemployment rate, provincial revenue, and poverty incidence for the economic variables and party affiliation with the President and membership in a political family as the political variables was tested to explain the probability of an incumbent governor to be re-elected. The marginal effects tell us that a change in the unemployment rate decreases the predicted probability of a governor being reelected but interestingly, a change in the poverty incidence rates has the opposite effect.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/hjbpa-2021-0019 | Journal eISSN: 2067-9785 | Journal ISSN: 2457-5720
Language: English
Page range: 1 - 12
Submitted on: Aug 1, 2021
Accepted on: Nov 1, 2021
Published on: Dec 9, 2021
Published by: Association Holistic Research Academic (Hora)
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 3 issues per year

© 2021 Amelia L. Bello, published by Association Holistic Research Academic (Hora)
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.