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Impact of Fluctuations in Inflation Rate on unemployment in Algeria: A Svar Approach Cover

Impact of Fluctuations in Inflation Rate on unemployment in Algeria: A Svar Approach

Open Access
|Mar 2025

Abstract

Subject and purpose of work

This article aims to analyze the relationship between inflation rates (INF) and unemployment rates (UR) in the Algerian economy during the period 1970-2021 by studying the extent to which the unemployment rate responds to shocks and structural changes that occur at the level of the inflation rate.

Materials and methods

Use the structural VAR (SVAR) approach, based on RStudio output.

Results

The estimation results provide strong evidence in favor of the VAR (SVAR) approach.

Conclusions

The application of Impulse–Response Functions (IRFs) and analysis of variance (ANOVA) reveals that the occurrence of a structural shock in the inflation rate (INF) by one standard deviation leads to a positive effect on the unemployment rate (UNEM) at the beginning of the first period, and then it gradually decreases to become almost nonexistent. Therefore, the improvement in Consumer Price Index (CPI) leads to the absorption and reduction of unemployment rates (UR) to achieve stability and confirm the existence of the Phillips curve.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ers-2024-0035 | Journal eISSN: 2451-182X | Journal ISSN: 2083-3725
Language: English
Page range: 640 - 661
Submitted on: Mar 1, 2024
Accepted on: Dec 1, 2024
Published on: Mar 8, 2025
Published by: John Paul II University of Applied Sciences
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2025 Dekkiche Djamal, Cherayett Fairouz, published by John Paul II University of Applied Sciences
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.