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Forkome Model Application for Prognosis of Forest Fires Cover

Forkome Model Application for Prognosis of Forest Fires

Open Access
|Dec 2014

Abstract

This paper presents the perspectives of FORKOME model use regarding the simulation of fre and its impact on forest stands. The calculation of probability of forest fres and predicting its effect on forest stands are analysed as well. The model is supposed to examine the impact of fres on pine stands, which ultimately leads to a decline in the viability of those trees. As a result of fre activity there were determined the following categories of trees - undamaged, slightly damaged, heavily damaged and destroyed. Moreover, by conducting simulations on forests with Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), there were demonstrated the possibilities of FORKOME model practical application. Simulation shows the possibility of the model to predict the fre damage in a particular year and the perspective of a stand development, taking into account climate change and its influence on the frequency of fres. Prospects and directions of further developments of the model concerning simulation of fre in forest stands were discussed as well.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/eko-2014-0035 | Journal eISSN: 1337-947X | Journal ISSN: 1335-342X
Language: English
Page range: 391 - 400
Published on: Dec 10, 2014
Published by: Institute of Landscape Ecology
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2014 Ihor Kozak, Andrzej Węgiel, Paweł Strzeliński, Rafał Frąk, Adam Stępień, Piotr Kociuba, Hanna Kozak, published by Institute of Landscape Ecology
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.