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Trends in Pancreatic Cancer Mortality in Serbia: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis Cover

Trends in Pancreatic Cancer Mortality in Serbia: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis

Open Access
|Aug 2025

Abstract

Pancreatic cancer is a significant public health problem worldwide. It is currently ranked as the 12th most common malignancy and the 6th leading cause of cancer mortality. This study aimed to investigate sex-specific and age-specific pancreatic cancer mortality trends and disparities in the Serbia from 2000 to 2021. A descriptive epidemiological population-based study analyzing pancreatic cancer mortality was conducted. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) were calculated using the Segi's world standard population. Temporal trends for pancreatic cancer mortality were assessed using the joinpoint regression analysis. Age-standardized rate of pancreatic cancer in Serbia was 6.4/100,000 (7.9/100,000 in men, 5.1/100,000 in women). The rates were found to be 1.6 times higher in men than women. Pancreatic cancer mortality trend significantly increased from 2000 to 2010 in men (APC=+2.4%, 95%CI: 0.3 – 1.4), after 2010 rates nonsignificantly decline (APC=−0.4%; (95%CI: −2.5 – 0.5). In women, mortality trend significantly increased by +1.8% at an annual level (95%CI: 0.7–2.7). The mortality of pancreatic cancer increased by age. The joinpoint analysis showed a significant rising trend of mortality rates in all age groups 60+, with the highest average annual percent change being reported in the age groups 85+ (AAPC=+3.1 (95%CI: 1.6–4.5)). The provision of updated statistics on the occurrence and outcomes of pancreatic cancer, time trends among various population groups, along with a better understanding of its etiology and identification of causal changeable risk factors – are essential when it comes to the primary prevention of this particular disease.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/eabr-2025-0007 | Journal eISSN: 2956-2090 | Journal ISSN: 2956-0454
Language: English
Submitted on: Apr 4, 2025
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Accepted on: May 8, 2025
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Published on: Aug 7, 2025
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2025 Sanja Ilic, Filip Dzudovic, Jovana Radovanovic, Viktor Selakovic, Emilija Subanovic, Natalija Djurovic, Dragana Andric, Zorana Babic, Svetlana Vukosavljevic, Maja Mirocevic Rotolo, published by University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Medical Sciences
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

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