Figure 1:
Figure 2:
Examples of Key Words
| Keyword | Meaning in Context |
|---|---|
| »Only successes are reported« | Survivorship bias in performance metrics |
| »We don’t record the failures« | Silencing of negative outcomes |
| »Public thinks everything works« | Distorted public perception |
| »They changed the route« | Need for adaptive operational tactics |
| »Technology failed in fog« | Overestimation of tech capabilities |
| »Caught = success« | Misleading metric for effectiveness |
Themes Identified
| Theme | Description |
|---|---|
| Misleading Success Metrics | Metrics focus only on positive outcomes, ignoring failures or system gaps |
| Underestimation of Risks | Risks are underplayed due to lack of data from failed or undetected incidents |
| Resource Allocation Problems | Misguided investments are made based on biased evaluations of what is effective |
| Neglect of Adaptive Tactics | Lack of recognition of changing smuggling tactics |
| Misguiding Public Perception | Media and official reports emphasize success |