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Between incrementalism and punctuated equilibrium: the case of budget in Poland, 1995–2018 Cover

Between incrementalism and punctuated equilibrium: the case of budget in Poland, 1995–2018

Open Access
|Sep 2021

Figures & Tables

Fig. 1

Annual percent changes across budget functions, 1996–2018
Annual percent changes across budget functions, 1996–2018

Fig. 2

Fiscal years and number of outliers based on the Median Absolute Deviation test
Fiscal years and number of outliers based on the Median Absolute Deviation test

Fig. 3

Annual percent changes across budget functions, 1996–2018, standardized values
Annual percent changes across budget functions, 1996–2018, standardized values

Fig. 4

Bands for cross-category and over-time standardized distributionNote: Shaded area indicates bands for 90 percentile point below and above zero.
Bands for cross-category and over-time standardized distributionNote: Shaded area indicates bands for 90 percentile point below and above zero.

Thresholds defining incremental and punctuated budget changes

Author(s)Range cut-off points
Dezhbakhsh et al., 200340 and 45 percentile point below/above zero
Sebők & Berki, 201740% below/above zero
Flink, 2017; Flink & Robinson, 2020; Robinson, Caver, Meier, & O’Toole, 2007; Robinson, Flink, & King, 2014{+35.5%; −33%} ±5% margin
M. M. Jordan, 2003{+35%; −25%}
Bailey & O’Connor, 1975; Wildavsky, 196430%
Gist, 197420%
Jones et al., 1998{+20%; −15%}
Fenno, 1966{10%; −10%} and {20%; −20%}
Kemp, 1982; Wanat, 197410%
Baumgartner & Epp, 2013; Kanter, 19725%

Budget major functions crosswalk

Budget major functions, 1995–2000Budget major functions, 2001–2018
IndustryMining and quarrying+Manufacturing
Construction
AgricultureAgriculture and hunting
ForestryForestry
TransportationTransport and telecommunication
Communication
Trade: domesticTrade
Trade: foreign
Miscellaneous material servicesServices
Municipal servicesCommunal services and environmental protection
Housing economy and intangible municipal servicesDwelling economy (housing)
ScienceScience
EducationEducation + educational care
Higher educationHigher education
Culture and artCulture and national heritage
Health careHealth care
Social welfare*Social assistance and other social policy issues
Physical education and sportPhysical education and sport
Tourism and recreationTourism
State administrationPublic administration
Administration of justice and public prosecutor's officeAdministration of justice
Public safetyPublic safety and fire care
FinancePublic debt servicing
Social securityCompulsory social security
National defenseNational defense

Budget major categories: a comprehensive coverage

Budget major codeNumber of minor categoriesBudget category
01042Agriculture and hunting
0209Forestry
05015Fishing and fisheries
10012Mining and quarrying
15021Industrial processing
40010Production and distribution of electrical energy, gas, and water
50011Trade
5509Hotel and restaurant services
60031Transport and communication
6309Tourism services
70019Dwelling economy (housing economy)
71025Services
7207Information technology
73014Science
75048Public administration
75118Offices of supreme bodies of the central government, control and protection of law and judiciary
75224National defense
75317Compulsory social security
75426Public safety and fire protection
75516Administration of justice
75637Revenue from legal persons, natural persons, and other units without legal personality, and expenses related to its collection
7575Public debt service
75831Other transfers and settlements
80135Education
80313Higher education
85134Health care
85227Welfare (social assistance)
85323Other social policy issues
85423Educational care (educational social services)
90029Communal economy and environmental protection
92128Culture and protection of national heritage
92510Botanical and zoological gardens, nature sites, and nature reserves
92610Physical education and sports

Budget categories and number of outliers based on the Median Absolute Deviation test

Budget categoryNo. of casesPooled dataCross-function
No. of outliers% of outliersNo. of outliers% of outliers
Trade231252.17%626.01%
Physical education and sport231043.48%417.39%
Mining and quarrying + manufacturing23939.13%417.39%
Transport and telecommunication23939.13%313.04%
Education + educational care23834.78%521.74%
Communal services and environmental protection23834.78%626.01%
Forestry23730.43%313.04%
Tourism23730.43%730.43%
Dwelling economy (housing)*22522.73%418.18%
Agriculture and hunting23521.74%521.74%
Culture and national heritage23521.74%417.39%
Health care23417.39%730.43%
Social assistance and other social policy issues23313.04%939.13%
Services2328.69%28.69%
National defense2314.35%313.04%
Public debt servicing2314.35%14.35%
Science2300%313.04%
Public administration2300%28.69%
Public safety and fire protection2300%417.39%
Administration of justice2300%28.69%
Higher education2300%730.43%
Compulsory social security2300%00%
Total5059619%9118%

Distribution of outliers across categories and fiscal years

19961997199819992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018TOTAL
Mining and quarrying + Manufacturing * * * * * * **8
Agriculture and hunting * *2
Forestry** * ** 5
Trade **** *** ** 9
Transport and telecommunication 0
Tourism* * 2
Dwelling economy (housing) ** * * * 5
Services * *2
Science 0
Public administration 0
National defense * 1
Compulsory social security * 1
Public safety and fire protection 0
Administration of justice * 1
Public debt servicing ** 2
Education + Educational care* * * * ** 6
Higher education * 1
Health care * 1
Social assistance and other social policy issues * * ** 4
Communal services and environmental protection * * * * *5
Culture and national heritage ** 2
Physical education and sport * * * ****** 9
Total32222333233334333333334

Major and minor codes: public debt service

Major codeMinor codeBudget function: public debt service
75775701Servicing of foreign debt, debtors, and other foreign transactions
75702Servicing of securities, credits, and loans of local government units
75703Servicing of national Treasury securities and other financial instruments on the domestic market
75704Settlements under sureties and guarantees provided by the State Treasury or local government units
75705Servicing of domestic entities’ credits of other public finance sector units
Language: English
Page range: 14 - 30
Submitted on: May 5, 2020
Accepted on: Jan 23, 2021
Published on: Sep 2, 2021
Published by: University of Matej Bel in Banska Bystrica, Faculty of Economics
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2021 Lukasz Wordliczek, published by University of Matej Bel in Banska Bystrica, Faculty of Economics
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.