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The Impact of Stability on Green Growth: Empirical Evidence from European Union Countries Cover

The Impact of Stability on Green Growth: Empirical Evidence from European Union Countries

Open Access
|Jun 2026

Figures & Tables

Figure 1.

Conceptual framework of the study

Unit root test

VariableLagCADF statistic
GG1−1.949**
D.POLS2−2.021**
GE1−2.241**
D.DC1−1.375***
BANKZ1−4.146*
INF1−2.227**
GD1−2.228**
UNEM1−3.397*
EB1−2.196**
FDI2−1.524***
ERT1−4.928*

The heterogeneity analysis

VariableGroup 1Group 2
D.POLS0.10 (0.83)0.59 (0.24)
GE−1.81 (0.01**)−0.69 (0.40)
D.DC0.03 (0.05***)−0.00 (0.94)
BANKZ0.03 (0.49)−0.16 (0.06***)
INF0.15 (0.10)0.01 (0.89)
GD0.03 (0.08***)0.07 (0.02**)
UNEM−0.01 (0.78)−0.06 (0.09***)
EB−0.00 (0.74)0.0 (0.89)
FDI0.00 (0.17)−0.00 (0.39)
ERT0.00 (0.79)0.02 (0.75)

Hausman, cross-sectional dependence, autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity tests

Hausman testp-value: 0.00
Pesaran cross-sectional dependence testp-value: 0.00
Durbin–WatsonStatistic value: 0.62
Baltagi–WuStatistic value: 0.91
Modified Wald testp-value: 0.00

The empirical results of the Arellano, Froot, Rogers estimator

VariableCoef.p-Val.
D.POLS0.310.32
GE−1.340.02**
D.DC0.030.06***
BANKZ0.120.72
INF0.080.31
GD0.400.00*
UNEM−0.330.30
EB0.010.99
FDI0.100.19
ERT0.010.70

List of variables

VariableDefinition
GGGreen GrowthGlobal Green Growth Index
POLSPolitical Stability and Absence of Violence/TerrorismPolitical Stability and Absence of Violence/Terrorism measures perceptions of the likelihood of political instability and/or politically-motivated violence, including terrorism.
GEGovernment EffectivenessGovernment Effectiveness reflects views on the quality of public services, the competence of the civil service and its level of independence from political influences, the effectiveness of policy development and execution and the reliability of the government’s dedication to these policies.
DCDomestic Credit to Private Sector (% of GDP)Domestic credit to private sector refers to financial resources provided to the private sector by financial corporations, such as through loans, purchases of non-equity securities and trade credits and other accounts receivable, that establish a claim for repayment.
BANKZBank Z ScoresIt reflects the likelihood of a country’s banking system failing. The Z-score evaluates the strength of a country’s banking system (measured by capitalisation and returns) against the fluctuations of those returns.
INF Inflation, indicated by the consumer price index, shows the yearly percentage change in the expenses that an average consumer incurs to obtain a set of goods and services, which may either remain constant or be adjusted at designated times, like annually.
GDGovernment DebtGovernment Consolidated Gross Debt% of GDP
UNEMUnemployment RateUnemployment, total (% of total labour force)
EBExternal Balance of Goods & Services% of GDPThe balance of international trade in goods and services is the difference between the exports and imports of goods and services. This indicator is expressed as a percentage of GDP
FDIForeign Direct InvestmentFDI, net inflows/GDP
ERTGreen PatentPatents on environment technologies

Descriptive statistics

VariablesObs.MeanStd. Dev.MinMax
GG27065.875.1652.374.88
POLS2700.720.35−0.231.43
GE2701.050.56−0.292.21
DC27082.0741.0924.56254.67
BANKZ27015.3810.26−0.3257.44
INF2701.301.38−2.095.65
GD27070.1639.138.5209.4
UNEM2708.534.702.0227.69
EB2704.547.99−7.4941.69
FDI27016.6066.25−296.01452.22
ERT27012.744.630.8445.20
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ceej-2026-0009 | Journal eISSN: 2543-6821 | Journal ISSN: 2544-9001
Language: English
Page range: 153 - 171
Submitted on: Dec 12, 2025
Accepted on: Apr 14, 2026
Published on: Jun 12, 2026
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 1 issue per year

© 2026 Bertaç Şakir Şahin, Sabri Burak Arzova, published by Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.