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Mathematical model for the transmission of mumps and its optimal control Cover

Mathematical model for the transmission of mumps and its optimal control

Open Access
|Jun 2023

Abstract

Mumps is a viral contagious disease associated with puffy cheeks and tender and swollen jaw. It spreads through direct contact with saliva or respiratory droplets from the mouth, nose or throat of infected persons. In this work, we present a mathematical model which describes the dynamics of the disease in a human population. The model incorporates isolation and treatment of infected individuals as a control measure. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is locally and globally asymptotically stable when the control reproduction number Rc is less than one. It is also shown that the model has a unique endemic equilibrium which exists when Rc > 1. The existence of a unique endemic equilibrium confirms the global stability of the DFE, and the absence of backward bifurcation in the model. Optimal control analysis is performed on the model to obtain the proportion of infected humans to be isolated for optimal control of the disease. Plots are presented to show the dynamics of the disease in the presence of the control measures.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bile-2023-0006 | Journal eISSN: 2199-577X | Journal ISSN: 1896-3811
Language: English
Page range: 77 - 95
Published on: Jun 28, 2023
Published by: Polish Biometric Society
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2023 Emmanuel Chidiebere Duru, Michael Chimezie Anyanwu, published by Polish Biometric Society
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.