Table 1
Clinical data of the two groups of patients
| Group | Healed (n = 74) | Unhealed (n = 26) | t/χ 2 | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender, n (%) | 0.041 | 0.84 | ||
| Male | 41 (55.41) | 15 (57.69) | ||
| Female | 33 (44.59) | 11 (42.31) | ||
| Age (year) | 42.58 ± 6.82 | 43.02 ± 7.11 | 0.28 | 0.78 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 22.86 ± 2.02 | 23.18 ± 1.14 | 0.764 | 0.446 |
| Course of disease (month) | 5.62 ± 1.13 | 5.81 ± 1.22 | 0.722 | 0.472 |
| Jaw position, n (%) | 0.094 | 0.76 | ||
| Upper jaw | 43 (58.11) | 16 (61.54) | ||
| Lower jaw | 31 (41.89) | 10 (38.46) | ||
| Tooth position, n (%) | 1.385 | 0.5 | ||
| Anterior tooth | 27 (36.49) | 8 (30.77) | ||
| Premolar | 25 (33.78) | 7 (26.92) | ||
| Molar | 22 (29.73) | 11 (42.31) | ||
| PAI grade, n (%) | 4.168 | 0.124 | ||
| Grade 3 | 22 (29.73) | 5 (19.23) | ||
| Grade 4 | 38 (51.35) | 11 (42.31) | ||
| Grade 5 | 14 (18.92) | 10 (38.46) | ||
| Plaque index (point) | 1.65 ± 0.48 | 1.81 ± 0.55 | 1.407 | 0.163 |
| Gingival index (point) | 2.24 ± 0.79 | 2.41 ± 0.86 | 0.922 | 0.359 |
| Number of root canals, n (%) | 3.015 | 0.221 | ||
| Single | 28 (37.84) | 5 (19.23) | ||
| Double | 20 (27.03) | 9 (34.62) | ||
| Multiple | 26 (35.14) | 12 (46.15) | ||
| Coronal restoration materials, n (%) | 4.582 | 0.032 | ||
| Resin | 49 (66.22) | 11 (42.31) | ||
| Inlay | 25 (33.78) | 15 (57.69) | ||
| Root canal filling time (s) | 81.42 ± 13.56 | 82.78 ± 12.95 | 0.445 | 0.657 |
| Root canal filling status, n (%) | 0.001a | |||
| ≤2 mm | 65 (87.84) | 15 (57.69) | ||
| >2 mm | 8 (10.81) | 7 (26.92) | ||
| Overfilling | 1 (1.35) | 4 (15.38) | ||
| Repair status, n (%) | 0.434a | |||
| Nonrepair | 16 (21.62) | 8 (30.77) | ||
| Postrepair | 23 (31.08) | 4 (15.38) | ||
| Porcelain crown | 17 (22.97) | 6 (23.08) | ||
| Composite crown | 18 (24.32) | 8 (30.77) | ||
| Coronal microleakage, n (%) | 9.591 | 0.002 | ||
| No | 46 (62.16) | 7 (26.92) | ||
| Yes | 28 (37.84) | 19 (73.08) | ||
| Secondary caries, n (%) | 1.206 | 0.272 | ||
| No | 66 (89.19) | 21 (80.77) | ||
| Yes | 8 (10.81) | 5 (19.23) | ||
| Instrument fracture, n (%) | 10.534 | 0.001 | ||
| No | 59 (79.73) | 12 (46.15) | ||
| Yes | 15 (20.27) | 14 (53.85) | ||
| Retreatment during follow-up, n (%) | 4.476 | 0.034 | ||
| No | 46 (62.16) | 9 (34.62) | ||
| Yes | 28 (37.84) | 15 (57.69) |
“Retreatment during follow-up” refers to a second root canal procedure performed during the 3-, 6-, or 12-month follow-up period in cases showing persistent periapical pathology. It is a postoperative intervention.
aFisher’s exact text.
Table 2
Periapical radiograph signs before and after treatment (x ± s, mm)
| Group | n | X | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before treatment | 3 months after treatment | 6 months after treatment | 12 months after treatment | ||
| Healed | 74 | 2.65 ± 0.74 | 1.31 ± 0.41* | 0.89 ± 0.33*# | 0.37 ± 0.11*#△ |
| Unhealed | 26 | 2.72 ± 0.81 | 1.62 ± 0.49* | 1.24 ± 0.42*# | 0.66 ± 0.24*#△ |
| t | 0.405 | 3.149 | 4.323 | 8.262 | |
| P | 0.686 | 0.002 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| Group | n | Y | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before treatment | 3 months after treatment | 6 months after treatment | 12 months after treatment | ||
| Healed | 74 | 1.66 ± 0.51 | 1.26 ± 0.39* | 0.76 ± 0.25*# | 0.21 ± 0.08*#△ |
| Unhealed | 26 | 1.75 ± 0.58 | 1.58 ± 0.47* | 1.08 ± 0.36*# | 0.45 ± 0.16*#△ |
| t | 0.747 | 3.408 | 4.974 | 9.904 | |
| P | 0.457 | 0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| Group | n | L | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before treatment | 3 months after treatment | 6 months after treatment | 12 months after treatment | ||
| Healed | 74 | 0.69 ± 0.21 | 0.44 ± 0.19* | 0.21 ± 0.15*# | 0.05 ± 0.02*#△ |
| Unhealed | 26 | 0.75 ± 0.18 | 0.58 ± 0.20* | 0.37 ± 0.12*# | 0.11 ± 0.03*#△ |
| t | 1.298 | 3.188 | 4.91 | 11.458 | |
| P | 0.197 | 0.002 | <0.001 | <0.001 | |
| Group | n | H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before treatment | 3 months after treatment | 6 months after treatment | 12 months after treatment | ||
| Healed | 74 | 2.31 ± 0.69 | 1.72 ± 0.60* | 0.63 ± 0.26*# | 0.05 ± 0.02*#△ |
| Unhealed | 26 | 2.47 ± 0.72 | 2.01 ± 0.67* | 0.85 ± 0.39*# | 0.10 ± 0.04*#△ |
| t | 1.006 | 2.056 | 3.232 | 8.253 | |
| P | 0.317 | 0.042 | 0.002 | <0.001 | |
*p < 0.05 vs before treatment, # p < 0.05 vs at 3 months after treatment, and Δ p < 0.05 vs at 6 months after treatment.
Table 3
Factors contributing to non-healing of tooth apexes in patients analyzed using multivariate logistic regression model
| Indicator | β | SE | Wald χ 2 | p | OR (95%CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coronal restoration materials | |||||
| Resin (reference) | 1 | ||||
| Inlay | 1.123 | 0.536 | 4.387 | 0.011 | 3.074 (1.075–8.790) |
| Root filling status | <0.001 | ||||
| ≤2 mm (reference) | 1 | ||||
| >2 mm | 1.328 | 0.472 | 7.911 | <0.001 | 3.773 (1.496–9.517) |
| Overfilling | 1.363 | 0.501 | 7.396 | <0.001 | 3.908 (1.464–10.433) |
| Coronal microleakage | |||||
| No (reference) | 1 | ||||
| Yes | 1.437 | 0.425 | 11.425 | <0.001 | 4.208 (1.829–9.679) |
| Instrument fracture | |||||
| No (reference) | 1 | ||||
| Yes | 0.936 | 0.611 | 2.345 | 0.032 | 2.550 (0.770–8.445) |
| Retreatment | |||||
| No (reference) | 1 | ||||
| Yes | −0.875 | 0.624 | 1.965 | 0.039 | 0.417 (0.123–1.416) |
| X at 3 months after treatment | 1.048 | 0.563 | 3.465 | 0.017 | 2.852 (0.946–8.598) |
| Y at 3 months after treatment | 1.266 | 0.528 | 5.747 | 0.002 | 3.547 (1.260–9.983) |
| Lat 3 months after treatment | 0.97 | 0.582 | 2.778 | 0.025 | 2.638 (0.843–8.254) |
| Hat 3 months after treatment | 0.685 | 0.657 | 1.086 | 0.046 | 1.984 (0.547–7.190) |
Table 4
Multicollinearity test results
| Indicator | Tolerance | Variance inflation factor |
|---|---|---|
| Coronal restoration materials | 0.216 | 4.63 |
| Root filling status | 0.384 | 2.604 |
| Coronal microleakage | 0.275 | 3.636 |
| Instrument fracture | 0.421 | 2.375 |
| Retreatment | 0.506 | 1.976 |
| X at 3 months after treatment | 0.372 | 2.688 |
| Y at 3 months after treatment | 0.481 | 2.079 |
| L at 3 months after treatment | 0.515 | 1.942 |
| H at 3 months after treatment | 0.602 | 1.661 |

Figure 1
Dose–response relationship between periapical radiograph signs and non-healing risk of tooth apexes at 3 months after root canal treatment analyzed by restricted cubic spline. The red solid line represents the adjusted hazard ratio (HR), and the blue dashed lines indicate the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). The green dotted horizontal line denotes HR = 1 as the reference level. Radiographic variables include the (a) maximum horizontal diameter (X), (b) vertical diameter (Y), (c) horizontal length of alveolar bone resorption (L), and (d) vertical height of alveolar bone resorption (H)
Table 5
Performance of prediction model at different probability levels on non-healing of tooth apexes after root canal treatment
| Probability | Accuracy (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | False positive rate (%) | False negative rate (%) | Youden index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | 78.1 | 90.0 | 75.7 | 24.3 | 10.0 | 0.657 |
| 0.9 | 84.5 | 88.5 | 83.8 | 16.2 | 11.5 | 0.723 |
| 0.85 | 87.3 | 85.9 | 88.4 | 11.6 | 14.1 | 0.734 |
| 0.8 | 88.9 | 81.5 | 91.2 | 8.8 | 18.5 | 0.727 |
| 0.75 | 90.0 | 78.1 | 93.2 | 6.8 | 21.9 | 0.714 |
| 0.7 | 90.4 | 76.9 | 94.0 | 6.0 | 23.1 | 0.709 |
| 0.65 | 90.6 | 75.0 | 94.9 | 5.1 | 25.0 | 0.700 |
| 0.6 | 90.1 | 72.0 | 95.3 | 4.7 | 28.0 | 0.673 |
| 0.55 | 90.5 | 69.2 | 96.0 | 4.0 | 30.8 | 0.653 |
| 0.5 | 90.0 | 65.4 | 96.6 | 3.4 | 34.6 | 0.620 |
| 0.45 | 89.7 | 62.5 | 96.8 | 3.2 | 37.5 | 0.593 |
| 0.4 | 89.0 | 60.0 | 97.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 0.570 |
| 0.35 | 88.5 | 57.7 | 97.3 | 2.7 | 42.3 | 0.550 |
| 0.3 | 87.8 | 55.0 | 97.5 | 2.5 | 45.0 | 0.525 |
| 0.25 | 87.0 | 52.0 | 97.8 | 2.2 | 48.0 | 0.498 |
| 0.2 | 85.6 | 48.0 | 98.1 | 1.9 | 52.0 | 0.460 |
| 0.15 | 83.2 | 42.0 | 98.6 | 1.4 | 58.0 | 0.406 |
| 0.1 | 81.0 | 30.0 | 99.1 | 0.9 | 70.0 | 0.291 |
| 0.05 | 78.6 | 10.0 | 99.6 | 0.4 | 90.0 | 0.106 |
Table 6
Validation of stability of prediction model through crossing method
| Accuracy (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | False positive rate (%) | False negative rate (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model (cut-off = 0.85) | 87.3 | 85.9 | 88.4 | 11.6 | 14.1 |
| Bootstrap internal validation (1,000 resamples) | 86.8 | 84.9 | 88.0 | 12.0 | 15.1 |

Figure 2
ROC curve for the multivariate logistic regression model predicting nonhealing at 12 months after root canal treatment