
Contributions from Changing Large-Scale Atmospheric Conditions to Changes in Scandinavian Temperature and Precipitation Between Two Climate Normals
References
- Barry, RG and Perry, AH. 1973. Synoptic Climatology: methods and applications. London: Methuen.
- Beck, C, Jacobeit, J and Jones, PD. 2007. Frequency and within-type variations of large-scale circulation types and their effects on low-frequency climate variability in Central Europe since 1780. Int. J. Climatol., 27(4): 473–491. DOI: 10.1002/joc.1410
- Bhend, J and von Storch, H. 2009. Is greenhouse gas forcing a plausible explanation for the observed warming in the Baltic Sea catchment area? Boreal Environ. Res, 14: 81–88.
- Busuioc, A, Chen, D and Hellström, C. 2001. Temporal and spatial variability of precipitation in Sweden and its link with the large-scale atmospheric circulation. Tellus A: Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanogr, 53: 348–367. DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0870.2001.01152.x
- Cahynova, M and Huth, R. 2016. Atmospheric circulation influence on climatic trends in Europe: an analysis of circulation type classifications from the COST733 catalogue. Int. J. Climatol, 36(7, SI): 2743–2760. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4003
- Cattiaux, J, Vautard, R, Cassou, C, Yiou, P, Masson-Delmotte, V and co-authors. 2010. Winter 2010 in Europe: A cold extreme in a warming climate. Geophys. Res. Lett, 37: L20704. DOI: 10.1029/2010GL044613
- Doblas-Reyes, FJ, Sörensson, AA, Almazroui, M, Dosio, A, Gutowski, WJ, Haarsma, R, Hamdi, R, Hewitson, B, Kwon, W-T, Lamptey, BL, Maraun, D, Stephenson, TS, Takayabu, I, Terray, L, Turner, A and Zuo, Z. 2021.
Linking Global to Regional Climate Change . In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Masson-Delmotte, V, Zhai, P, Pirani, A, Connors, SL, Péan, C, Berger, S, Caud, N, Chen, Y, Goldfarb, L, Gomis, MI, Huang, M, Leitzell, K, Lonnoy, E, Matthews, JBR, Maycock, TK, Waterfield, T, Yelekçi, O, Yu, R and Zhou, B (eds.). Cambridge University Press. In Press. - Gulev, SK, Thorne, PW, Ahn, J, Dentener, FJ, Domingues, CM, Gerland, S, Gong, D, Kaufman, DS, Nnamchi, HC, Quaas, J, Rivera, JA, Sathyendranath, S, Smith, SL, Trewin, B, von Shuckmann, K and Vose, RS. 2021.
Changing State of the Climate System . In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Masson-Delmotte, V, Zhai, P, Pirani, A, Connors, SL, Péan, C, Berger, S, Caud, N, Chen, Y, Goldfarb, L, Gomis, MI, Huang, M, Leitzell, K, Lonnoy, E, Matthews, JBR, Maycock, TK, Waterfield, T, Yelekçi, O, Yu, R and Zhou, B (eds.). Cambridge University Press. In Press. - Hansen, F and Belušić, D. 2021. Tailoring circulation type classification outcomes. Int. J. Climatol., 41(14): 6145–6161. DOI: 10.1002/joc.7171
- Hawkins, E and Sutton, R. 2009. The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc, 90: 1095–1107. DOI: 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1
- Hawkins, E and Sutton, R. 2012. Time of emergence of climate signals. Geophys. Res. Lett. 39: L01702. DOI: 10.1029/2011GL050087
- Hegerl, G and Zwiers, F. 2011. Use of models in detection and attribution of climate change. WIREs Clim. Change, 2(4), 570–591. DOI: 10.1002/wcc.121
- Hegerl, GC, Brönnimann, S, Schurer, A and Cowan, T. 2018. The early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences. WIREs Clim. Change, 9:
e522 . DOI: 10.1002/wcc.522 - Hersbach, H, Bell, B, Berrisford, P, Hirhara, S, Horányi, A and co-authors. 2020. The ERA5 global reanalysis. Q. J. R. Meteorolog. Soc. 146: 1999–2049. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3803
- Hurrell, JW. 1995. Decadal trends in the North Atlantic oscillation: regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269: 676–679.
- IPCC. 2018.
Global warming of 1.5°C . An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. Cambridge & New York: Cambridge University Press. - IPCC. 2019. IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, Pörtner, H-O, Roberts, DC, Masson-Delmotte, V, Zhai, P, Tignor, M, Poloczanska, E, Mintenbeck, K, Alegría, A, Nicolai, M, Okem, A, Petzold, J, Rama, B and Weyer, NM (eds.). In press.
- IPCC. 2021.
Summary for Policymakers . In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Masson-Delmotte, V, Zhai, P, Pirani, A, Connors, SL, Péan, C, Berger, S, Caud, N, Chen, Y, Goldfarb, L, Gomis, MI, Huang, M, Leitzell, K, Lonnoy, E, Matthews, JBR, Maycock, TK, Waterfield, T, Yelekçi, O, Yu, R and Zhou, B (eds.). Cambridge University Press. In Press. - Kjellström, E. 2004. Recent and future signatures of climate change in Europe. Ambio, 33(4–5): 193–198.
- Kjellström, E, Nikulin, G, Hansson, U, Strandberg, G and Ullerstig, A. 2011. 21st century changes in the European climate: uncertainties derived from an ensemble of regional climate model simulations. Tellus A: Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanogr, 63(1): 24–40. DOI: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00475.x
- Kjellström, E, Thejll, P, Rummukainen, M, Christensen, JH, Boberg, F and co-authors. 2013. Emerging regional climate change signals for Europe under varying large-scale circulation conditions. Clim. Res., 56: 103–119. DOI: 10.3354/cr01146
- Kuettel, M, Luterbacher, J and Wanner, H. 2011. Multidecadal changes in winter circulation-climate relationship in Europe: frequency variations, within-type modifications, and long-term trends. Clim. Dyn., 36(5–6): 957–972. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-009-0737-y
- Morice, CP, Kennedy, JJ, Rayner, NA, Winn, JP, Hogan, E and co-authors. 2021. An updated assessment of near-surface temperature change from 1850: the HadCRUT5 dataset. J. Geophys. Res. D: Atmos., 126:
e2019JD032361 . DOI: 10.1029/2019JD032361 - NCAR. 2021. National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff (Eds). Last modified 05 Jun 2021. “The Climate Data Guide: Hurrell North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index (PC-based).” Retrieved from
https://climatedataguide.ucar.edu/climate-data/hurrell-north-atlantic-oscillation-nao-index-pc-based . - Parding, KM, Liepert, BG, Hinkelman, LM, Ackerman, TP, Dagestad, K-F and co-authors. 2016. Influence of synoptic weather patterns on solar irradiance variability in northern Europe. J. Clim., 29(11): 4229–4250. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0476.1
- Philipp, A, Della-Marta, PM, Jacobeit, J, Fereday, DR, Jones, PD and co-authors. 2007. Long-term variability of daily North Atlantic-European pressure patterns since 1850 classified by simulated annealing clustering. J. Clim., 20(16): 4065–4095. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-4175.1
- Philipp, A, Bartholy, J, Beck, C, Erpicum, M, Esteban, P and co-authors. 2010. Cost733cat-A database of weather and circulation type classifications. Phys. Chem. Earth., 35(9–12): 360–373. DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2009.12.010
- Philipp, A, Beck, C, Huth, R and Jacobeit, J. 2016. Development and comparison of circulation type classifications using the COST 733 dataset and software. Int. J. Climatol., 36: 2673–2691. DOI: 10.1002/joc.3920
- Rutgersson, A, Jaagus, J, Schenk, F and Stendel, M. 2014. Observed changes and variability of atmospheric parameters in the Baltic Sea region during the last 200 years. Clim. Res., 61: 177–190. DOI: 10.3354/cr01244
- Sui, C, Yu, L and Vihma, T. 2020. Occurrence and drivers of wintertime temperature extremes in Northern Europe during 1979–2016. Tellus A: Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanogr, 72(1): 1–19. DOI: 10.1080/16000870.2020.1788368
- Van Ulden, AP and van Oldenborgh, GJ. 2006. Large-scale atmospheric circulation biases and changes in global climate model simulations and their importance for climate change in Central Europe. Atmos. Chem. Phys, 6: 863–881.
- Wilcke, R, Kjellström, E, Liu, C, Matei, K and Moberg, A. 2020. The extreme warm summer 2018 in Sweden – set in a historical context. Earth Syst. Dyn, 11: 1107–1121. DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-1107-2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.16993/tellusa.49 | Journal eISSN: 3035-9554
Language: English
Page range: 204 - 221
Submitted on: Mar 23, 2022
Accepted on: Mar 23, 2022
Published on: Apr 18, 2022
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
© 2022 Erik Kjellström, Felicitas Hansen, Danijel Belušić, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.