The Impact of CO2-Driven Climate Change on the Arctic Atmospheric Energy Budget in CMIP6 Climate Model Simulations
By: Olivia Linke and Johannes Quaas
References
- Armour, KC, Siler, N, Donohoe, A and Roe, GH. 2019. Meridional Atmospheric Heat Transport Constrained by Energetics and Mediated by Large-Scale Diffusion. J. Climate, 3: 3655–3680. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0563.1
- Bintanja, R and Van der Linden, EC. 2013. The changing seasonal climate in the Arctic. Sci. Rep., 3: 1–8. DOI: 10.1038/srep01556
- Boeke, RC, Taylor, PC and Sejas, SA. 2021. On the nature of the Arctic’s positive lapse-rate feedback. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL091109
- Boucher, O, Servonnat, J, Albright, AL, Aumont, O, Balkanski, Y, Bastrikov, V, Bekki, S, Bonnet, R, Bony, S, Bopp, L and Braconnot, P. 2020. Presentation and evaluation of the IPSL-CM6A-LR climate model. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 12. DOI: 10.1029/2019MS002010
- Carmack, E, Polyakov, I, Padman, L, Fer, I, Hunke, E, Hutchings, J, Jackson, J, Kelley, D, Kwok, R, Layton, C and Melling, H. 2015. Toward quantifying the increasing role of oceanic heat in sea ice loss in the new Arctic. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 96: 2079–2105. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00177.1
- Döscher, R, Acosta, M, Alessandri, A, Anthoni, P, Arneth, A, Arsouze, T, Bergmann, T, Bernadello, R, Bousetta, S, Caron, LP and Carver, G. 2021. The EC-earth3 Earth system model for the climate model intercomparison project 6. Geosci. Model Devel. Discuss., 1–90. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2020-446
- Eyring, V, Bony, S, Meehl, GA, Senior, CA, Stevens, B, Stouffer, RJ and Taylor, KE. 2016. Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. Geosci. Model Devel., 9: 1937–1958. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016
- Feldl, N, Po-Chedley, S, Singh, HK, Hay, S and Kushner, PJ. 2020. Sea ice and atmospheric circulation shape the high-latitude lapse rate feedback. NPJ Clim. Atmos. Sci., 3: 1–9. DOI: 10.1038/s41612-020-00146-7
- Graversen, RG, Mauritsen, T, Tjernström, M, Källén, E and Svensson, G. 2008. Vertical structure of recent Arctic warming. Nature, 451: 53–56. DOI: 10.1038/nature06502
- Hajima, T, Watanabe, M, Yamamoto, A, Tatebe, H, Noguchi, MA, Abe, M, Ohgaito, R, Ito, A, Yamazaki, D, Okajima, H and Ito, A. 2020. Development of the MIROC-ES2L Earth system model and the evaluation of biogeochemical processes and feedbacks. Geosci. Model Devel., 13: 2197–2244. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-2197-2020
- IPCC. 2018.
Summary for Policymakers . In: Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty. WMO. - Lauer, M, Block, K, Salzmann, M and Quaas, J. 2020. CO2-forced changes of Arctic temperature lapse rates in CMIP5 models. Meteorol. Z., 29: 79–93. DOI: 10.1127/metz/2020/0975
- Mauritsen, T, Bader, J, Becker, T, Behrens, J, Bittner, M, Brokopf, R, Brovkin, V, Claussen, M, Crueger, T, Esch, M and Fast, I. 2019. Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1. 2) and its response to increasing CO2. J. Adv. Mode. Earth Syst., 11: 998–1038. DOI: 10.1029/2018MS001400
- Mayer, M, Haimberger, L, Pietschnig, M and Storto, A. 2016. Facets of Arctic energy accumulation based on observations and reanalyses 2000–2015. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43: 10–420. DOI: 10.1002/2016GL070557
- Mayer, M, Tietsche, S, Haimberger, L, Tsubouchi, T, Mayer, J and Zuo, H. 2019. An improved estimate of the coupled Arctic energy budget. J. Climate, 32: 7915–7934. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0233.1
- Miller, RL, Schmidt, GA, Nazarenko, LS, Bauer, SE, Kelley, M, Ruedy, R, Russell, GL, Ackerman, AS, Aleinov, I, Bauer, M and Bleck, R. 2021. CMIP6 Historical Simulations (1850–2014) With GISS-E2. 1. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 13:
e2019MS002034 . DOI: 10.1029/2019MS002034 - Müller, WA, Jungclaus, JH, Mauritsen, T, Baehr, J, Bittner, M, Budich, R, Bunzel, F, Esch, M, Ghosh, R, Haak, H and Ilyina, T. 2018. A higher-resolution version of the max planck institute earth system model (MPI-ESM1. 2-HR). J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 10: 1383–1413. DOI: 10.1029/2017MS001217
- Porter, DF, Cassano, JJ and Serreze, MC. 2011. Analysis of the Arctic atmospheric energy budget in WRF: A comparison with reanalyses and satellite observations. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 116. DOI: 10.1029/2011JD016622
- Séférian, R, Nabat, P, Michou, M, Saint-Martin, D, Voldoire, A, Colin, J, Decharme, B, Delire, C, Berthet, S, Chevallier, M and Sénési, S. 2019. Evaluation of CNRM earth system model, CNRM-ESM2-1: Role of earth system processes in present-day and future climate. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 11: 4182–4227. DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001791
- Sellar, AA, Jones, CG, Mulcahy, JP, Tang, Y, Yool, A, Wiltshire, A, O’connor, FM, Stringer, M, Hill, R, Palmieri, J and Woodward, S. 2019. UKESM1: Description and evaluation of the UK Earth System Model. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 11: 4513–4558. DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001739
- Semmler, T, McGrath, R and Wang, S. 2012. The impact of Arctic sea ice on the Arctic energy budget and on the climate of the Northern mid-latitudes. Climate Dyn., 39: 2675–2694. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-012-1353-9
- Serreze, MC, Barrett, AP, Slater, AG, Steele, M, Zhang, J and Trenberth, KE. 2007. The large-scale energy budget of the Arctic. J. Geophys. Res.: Atmos., 112. DOI: 10.1029/2006JD008230
- Serreze, MC and Barry, RG. 2011. Processes and impacts of Arctic amplification: A research synthesis. Glob. Planet. Change, 77: 85–96. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.004
- Serreze, MC and Barry, RG. 2014.
The basic atmospheric heat budget . In: The Arctic Climate System. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 55–73. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781139583817.006 - Serreze, MC and Barry, RG. 2014.
Energy Exchanges at the Surface . In: The Arctic Climate System. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 138–176. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781139583817.008 - Serreze, MC, Holland, MM and Stroeve, J. 2007. Perspectives on the Arctic’s shrinking sea-ice cover. Science, 77: 1533–1536. DOI: 10.1126/science.1139426
- Tegen, I, Neubauer, D, Ferrachat, S, Drian, SL, Bey, I, Schutgens, N, Stier, P, Watson-Parris, D, Stanelle, T, Schmidt, H and Rast, S. 2019. The global aerosol–climate model ECHAM6. 3–HAM2. 3–Part 1: Aerosol evaluation. Geosci. Model Devel., 12: 1643–1677. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1643-2019
- Trenberth, KE. 1997. Using atmospheric budgets as a constraint on surface fluxes. J. Climate, 10: 2796–2809. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<;2796:UABAAC>2.0.CO;2
- Voldoire, A, Saint-Martin, D, Sénési, S, Decharme, B, Alias, A, Chevallier, M, Colin, J, Guérémy, JF, Michou, M, Moine, MP and Nabat, P. 2019. Evaluation of CMIP6 deck experiments with CNRM-CM6-1. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 11: 2177–2213. DOI: 10.1029/2019MS001683
- Volodin, EM, Mortikov, EV, Kostrykin, SV, Galin, VY, Lykossov, VN, Gritsun, AS, Diansky, NA, Gusev, AV, Iakovlev, NG, Shestakova, AA and Emelina, SV. 2018. Simulation of the modern climate using the INM-CM48 climate model. Rus. J. Num. Anal. Math. Model, 33: 367–374. DOI: 10.1515/rnam-2018-0032
- Wendisch, M, Brückner, M, Burrows, JP, Crewell, S, Dethloff, K, Ebell, K, Lüpkes, C, Macke, A, Notholt, J, Quaas, J and Rinke, A. 2017. Understanding causes and effects of rapid warming in the Arctic. Eos, 98. DOI: 10.1029/2017EO064803
- WMO. 1966. International meteorological tables. WMO, 210.
- Yukimoto, S, Kawai, H, Koshiro, T, Oshima, N, Yoshida, K, Urakawa, S, Tsujino, H, Deushi, M, Tanaka, T, Hosaka, M and Yabu, S. 2019. The Meteorological Research Institute Earth System Model version 2.0, MRI-ESM2. 0: Description and basic evaluation of the physical component. J. Meteorol. Soc. Japan. Ser. II. DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2019-051
DOI: https://doi.org/10.16993/tellusa.29 | Journal eISSN: 3035-9554
Language: English
Page range: 106 - 118
Submitted on: Feb 14, 2022
Accepted on: Feb 15, 2022
Published on: Mar 28, 2022
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Keywords:
© 2022 Olivia Linke, Johannes Quaas, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.