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A Modeling Perspective of Global Carbon Cycle Science: From a Missing Sink to Net Zero Cover

A Modeling Perspective of Global Carbon Cycle Science: From a Missing Sink to Net Zero

Open Access
|Jun 2026

Figures & Tables

Figure 1

An estimate of the input of anthropogenic CO2 into the atmosphere and the increase of atmospheric CO2 since the mid-nineteenth century; units are in ppm. Updated from Keeling (1970).

Table 1

Global carbon budget in 1990, when the first IPCC report was published (IPCC, 1990), and now, in the latest global carbon budget report (Friedlingstein et al., 2026). All values are decadal averaged, in GtCyr–1. Fractions of total emissions are also shown (in %).

1980–1989FRACTION (%)2015–2024FRACTION (%)
Fossil emissions5.4 ± 0.577 ± 149.8 ± 0.588 ± 8
Land use change emissions1.6 ± 1.023 ± 151.4 ± 0.713 ± 6
Accumulation in the atmosphere3.4 ± 0.249 ± 85.6 ± 0.0250 ± 4
Uptake by the ocean2.0 ± 0.829 ± 83.2 ± 0.429 ± 4
Uptake by the land1.6 ± 1.423 ± 202.4 ± 0.821 ± 7
Figure 2

The remaining carbon budget for limiting warming to 1.5°C and 2°C above pre-industrial levels; units are in GtC. Adapted from Friedlingstein et al. (2026).

Language: English
Page range: 76 - 86
Submitted on: Mar 3, 2026
Accepted on: Jun 3, 2026
Published on: Jun 17, 2026
Published by: Stockholm University Press
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services

© 2026 Pierre Friedlingstein, published by Stockholm University Press
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.