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Effect of Depreciation of the Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Albania Cover

Effect of Depreciation of the Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Albania

Open Access
|Sep 2017

Abstract

The paper investigates the effect of the real effective exchange rate depreciation of the lek on the trade balance of Albania using quarterly data from 1994 to 2015. Bounds testing cointegration approach, vector error correction model (VECM), and impulse response were used for the empirical analysis. The results of the study show a long-term cointegration between the real effective exchange rate (REER) and the trade balance (TB). Specifically, the REER depreciation positively affects the trade balance of Albania in both the long and short run, indicating the weak presence of the J-curve effect. Important recommendations were derived from the results.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/ngoe-2017-0016 | Journal eISSN: 2385-8052 | Journal ISSN: 0547-3101
Language: English
Page range: 27 - 36
Submitted on: Feb 1, 2017
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Accepted on: Jul 1, 2017
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Published on: Sep 23, 2017
Published by: University of Maribor
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 4 issues per year

© 2017 Safet Kurtović, Blerim Halili, Nehat Maxhuni, published by University of Maribor
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.