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Hybrid C&RT-Logit Models In Churn Analysis Cover
Open Access
|Jun 2015

Abstract

This article attempts to explain and predict the termination of relationships in telecommunications services by using the hybrid C&RT-logit model. The combination of decision trees (C&RT algorithm) with the logistic model enriches the model interpretation and sometimes improves the accuracy of prediction. Decision trees permit to detect interactions among variables and make the model resistant to outliers and to lack of data. On the other hand, the logistic model can extend the interpretation by using odds ratios. The solution delivered by the hybrid approach was compared with the decision tree model and the logistic model. Due to the difficulty in obtaining the real dataset from the Polish market, it was decided to build a model based on the data obtained from the repository http://www.dataminingconsultant.com/DMMM.htm . The models’ performance was estimated by using popular measures such as accuracy, recall, precision, true negative rate, G-mean, F measure and lift charts.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/foli-2015-0006 | Journal eISSN: 1898-0198 | Journal ISSN: 1730-4237
Language: English
Page range: 37 - 52
Submitted on: Apr 14, 2014
Accepted on: Oct 24, 2014
Published on: Jun 3, 2015
Published by: University of Szczecin
In partnership with: Paradigm Publishing Services
Publication frequency: 2 issues per year

© 2015 Mariusz Łapczyński, published by University of Szczecin
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.