Comparison Between Measurements and WRF Numerical Simulation of Global Solar Irradiation in Romania

Isvoranu, Dragos; Badescu, Viorel

doi:10.1515/awutp-2015-0103

Abstract

The paper presents a comparative analysis between the surface global irradiation measured for Romania and the predicted irradiation obtained by numerical simulation. The measured data came from the Romanian National meteorological Administration. Based on a preliminary analysis that took into account several criteria among which, performance, cost, popularity and meteorological and satellite data accessibility we concluded that a combination GFS-WRF(NMM) or GFS-WRF(ARW) is most suitable for short term global solar irradiation forecasting in order to assess the performance of the photovoltaic power stations (Badescu and Dumitrescu, 2012, [1], Martin et al., 2011, [2]).

References

[1] V. Badescu and A. Dumitrescu, "Testing Magicsol under the climate and latitudes of Romania", COST Action ES1002 "WIRE", Workshop on Remote Sensing Measurements for Renewable Energy, Technical University of Denmark DTU, Wind Energy Department Riso campus, Roskilde, Denmark, May 22-23, 2012.
Search in Google Scholar
[2] L. Martin, L. F. Zarzalejo, J. Polo, A. Navarro, R. Marchante, M. Cony, "Prediction of global solar irradiance based on time series analysis: Application to solar thermal power plants energy production planning", Solar Energy, 84 (2010) 1772-1781,
Search in Google Scholar
[3] D. Heinemann, E. Lorenz and M. Girodo, Forecasting of solar radiation in: Dunlop, E.D., Wald, L., Suri, M. (Eds.), Solar Energy Resource Management for Electricity Generation from Local Level to Global Scale. Nova Science Publishers, Hauppauge, 2006.
Search in Google Scholar
[4] A. Mellit and A.M. Pavan, Sol. Energy 84 (5) (2010) 807-821.10.1016/j.solener.2010.02.006
Search in Google Scholar
[5] IEA, Energy Technologies at the Cutting Edge, International Energy Agency, OECD Publication Service, OECD, Paris, 2007.
Search in Google Scholar
[6] G. Grell, J. Dudhia, and D. Stauffer, "A Description of the Fifth-Generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5)", NCAR Tech. Note, NCAR/TN-398+STR, USA, 1998.
Search in Google Scholar
[7] R.J. Zamora, E.G. Dutton, M. Trainer, S.A. McKeen, J.M. Wilczak, Y.T. Hou, Mon. Weather Rev. 133 (2005) 783-792.10.1175/MWR2886.1
Search in Google Scholar
[8] R.J. Zamora, S. Solomon, E.G. Dutton, J.W. Bao, M. Trainer, R.W. Portmann, A.B. White, D.W. Nelson, R.T. McNider, J. Geophys.Res. 108 (D2) (2003) 4050.10.1029/2002JD002122
Search in Google Scholar
[9] E. Lorenz, J. Remund, S.C. Muller, W. Traunmuller, G. Steinmaurer, D. Pozo, J.A. Ruiz- Arias, V.L. Fanego, L. Ramirez, M.G. Romeo, C. Kurz, L.M. Pomares, C.G. Guerrero, Benchmarking of different approaches to forecast solar irradiance. In: 24th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference, Hamburg, Germany, 21-25 September 2009.
Search in Google Scholar
[10] E. Lorenz, J. Hurka, D. Heinemann, H.G. Beyer, IEEE J. Selected Topics Appl. Earth Observations Remote Sens. 2 (1) (2009).10.1109/JSTARS.2009.2020300
Search in Google Scholar
[11] R. Remund, Y. Perez, E. Lorenz, Comparison of solar radiation forecasts for the USA. In: Proceedings of the 23rd European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference, Valencia, Spain, (2008) 1.9-4.9.
Search in Google Scholar
[12] Y. Perez and F.J. Ramos-Real, Renew. Sust. Energy Rev., 13, 1058-1066, 2009.10.1016/j.rser.2008.03.010
Search in Google Scholar
[13] J.A. Ruiz-Arias, D. Pozo-Vazquez, N. Sanchez-Sanchez, J.P. Montavez, A. Hayas-Barru, J. Tovar-Pescador, Il Nuovo Cimento, 31 (5-6) (2008) 825-842.
Search in Google Scholar
[14] D. Santos-Muñoz, J. Wolff, C. Santos, J.A. García-Moya and L. Nance, Implementation and validation of WRF model as ensemble member of a probabilistic prediction system over Europe. In: 10th Annual WRF Users’ Workshop, 23-26 June 2009 in Boulder, CO, (2009).
Search in Google Scholar
[15] A. A. Lacis and J. E. Hansen, "A parameterization for the absorption of solar radiation in the earth’s atmosphere", J. Atmos. Sci., 31 (1974) 118-133.
Search in Google Scholar
[16] J. Dudhia, "Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale two-dimensional model", J. Atmos. Sci., 46 (1989) 3077-3107.
Search in Google Scholar
[17] M.-D. Chou and M. J. Suarez, An efficient thermal infrared radiation parameterization for use in general circulation models. NASA Tech. Memo. 104606, 3 (1994) 85.
Search in Google Scholar
[18] G. L. Stephens, "Radiation profiles in extended water clouds. Part II: Parameterization schemes", J. Atmos. Sci., 35 (1978) 2123-2132. 10.1175/1520-0469(1978)035<;2123:RPIEWC>2.0.CO;2
Search in Google Scholar
[19] S.-Y. Hong, J. Dudhia and S.-H. Chen, "A Revised Approach to Ice Microphysical Processes for the Bulk Parameterization of Clouds and Precipitation", Mon. Wea. Rev., 132 (2004) 103-120.
Search in Google Scholar
[20] S.-Y. Hong, Y. Noh and J. Dudhia, "A new vertical diffusion package with an explicit treatment of entrainment processes", Mon. Wea. Rev., 134 (2006) 2318-2341.
Search in Google Scholar
[21] J. S. Kain and J. M. Fritsch, Convective parameterization for mesoscale models: The Kain-Fritcsh scheme, The representation of cumulus convection in numerical models. In: K. A.Emanuel and D.J. Raymond, Eds., Amer. Meteor. Soc., (1993) 246.10.1007/978-1-935704-13-3_16
Search in Google Scholar
[22] C. A. Paulson, "The mathematical representation of wind speed and temperature profiles in the unstable atmospheric surface layer", J. Appl. Meteor., 9 (1970) 857-861.10.1175/1520-0450(1970)009<;0857:TMROWS>2.0.CO;2
Search in Google Scholar
[23] A. J. Dyer and B. B. Hicks, "Flux-gradient relationships in the constant flux layer", Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 96 (1970) 715-721.10.1002/qj.49709641012
Search in Google Scholar
[24] E. K. Webb, "Profile relationships: The log-linear range, and extension to strong stability", Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 96 (1970) 67-90.10.1002/qj.49709640708
Search in Google Scholar
[25] E. J. Mlawer, S. J. Taubman, P. D. Brown, M. J. Iacono and S. A. Clough, "Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmosphere: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave", J. Geophys. Res., 102 (D14) (1997) 16663-16682.10.1029/97JD00237
Search in Google Scholar
[26] V. Lara-Fanego, J.A. Ruiz-Arias, D. Pozo-Vazquez, F.J. Santos-Alamillos, J. Tovar- Pescador, "Evaluation of the WRF model solar irradiance forecasts in Andalusia (southern Spain)", Solar Energy (2011) doi:10.1016/j.solener.2011.02.014. 10.1016/j.solener.2011.02.014
Search in Google Scholar

Comparison Between Measurements and WRF Numerical Simulation of Global Solar Irradiation in Romania

Abstract

Paradigm

My account